Oct. 16, 2025, 8:42 a.m.
Mid-decade redistricting has cast a shadow over the House battlefield, making it the most uncertain playing surface in years. At this point, it’s yet unclear what seats might remain competitive or fall off the map completely due to rampant uncertainty over redistricting and subsequent litigation.
Amid the uncertainty, candidate fundraising continued apace, according to quarterly reports filed with the Federal Election Commission Wednesday night.
Republican incumbents on average outpaced their Democratic counterparts. The 17 “Patriots”—those the National Republican Congressional Committee considers the most vulnerable—raised an average of $763,000 and had an average of $2.4 million in cash on hand. “Frontliners”—the 26 incumbents considered most vulnerable by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee—raised an average of $664,000 and had an average of $1.6 million on hand.
Scoring the fundraising numbers of the challenger candidates is not a perfect metric. Some candidates have a less serious operation and haven’t raised sufficient funds to be competitive in battleground districts. But the numbers give a general sense of the level of competition with primaries on the horizon.
As is to be expected, most incumbents outraised their challengers across the battleground districts. But a handful of challengers stood out. Three Democratic and three Republican challengers outraised incumbents—however, each of the Republicans loaned or contributed significantly to their own campaign during the third quarter. Democratic challengers JoAnna Mendoza in Arizona’s 6th, Christina Bohannan in Iowa’s 1st, and Janelle Stelson in Pennsylvania’s 10th outraised their Republican opponents.
Campaign committees and super PACs are not required to disclose their quarterly totals. Party committees submit monthly reports, while PACs file at the half year. As of publication, no major entity released third-quarter fundraising numbers. The NRCC entered September with $36.4 million in cash on hand while the DCCC had $41.1 million on hand.
Below are the reports from the top 10 most vulnerable seats from Hotline’s initial power rankings of the seats most likely to flip.
Nebraska’s 2nd (R-Open):
- Omaha City Councilor Brinker Harding (R): $562,000
- Political operative Denise Powell (D): $311,000
- Former state Sen. Brett Lindstrom (R): $287,000
- Former Biden administration official Kishla Askins: $251,000, with a $21,000 candidate contribution
- Former congressional staffer James Leuschen (D): $219,000, with a $7,000 candidate contribution
- State Sen. John Cavanaugh (D): $200,000
- Douglas County District Court Clerk Crystal Rhoades (D): $51,000
Colorado’s 8th (R):
- Rep. Gabe Evans (R): $615,000
- State Rep. Manny Rutinel (D): $493,000
- State Rep. Shannon Bird (D): $387,000
- Marine Corps veteran Evan Munsing (D): $261,000
- State Treasurer Dave Young (D): $89,000
- Former Colorado Education Association President Amie Baca-Oehlert (D): $72,000
California’s 13th (D):
- Rep. Adam Gray (D): $613,000
- 2014 Calif.-14 nominee Vin Kruttiventi (R): $176,000
- Ceres Mayor Javier Lopez (R): $71,000
Pennsylvania’s 7th (R):
- Rep. Ryan Mackenzie (R): $457,000
- Former federal prosecutor Ryan Crosswell (D): $380,000
- Firefighter Bob Brooks (D): $308,000, with a $3,500 candidate contribution
- Northampton County Executive Lamont McClure: $229,000, with a $200,000 candidate loan
- Energy engineering manager Carol Obando-Derstine (D): $123,000
- Lehigh County Controller Mark Pinsley (D): $73,000
Iowa’s 1st (R):
- 2024 nominee Christina Bohannan (D): $1 million
- Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R): $807,000
- Attorney Taylor Wettach (D): $429,000
Ohio’s 9th (D):
- Rep. Marcy Kaptur (D): $447,000
- 2024 nominee Derek Merrin (R): $403,000, with a $115,000 candidate loan
- State Rep. Josh Williams (R): $265,000
- Air Force veteran Alea Nadeem (R): $189,000
Maine’s 2nd (D):
- Rep. Jared Golden (D): $1 million
- Former Gov. Paul LePage (R): $364,000
Pennsylvania’s 10th (R):
- 2024 nominee Janelle Stelson (D): $1.2 million
- Rep. Scott Perry (R): $649,000
- Dauphin County Commissioner Justin Douglas (R): $56,000
Texas’s 34th (D):
- Army veteran Eric Flores (R): $550,000, with a $250,000 candidate loan
- Rep. Vicente Gonzalez (D): $444,000
- Former Rep. Mayra Flores (R): $429,000
North Carolina’s 1st (D):
- Rocky Mount Mayor Sandy Roberson (R): $1.3 million, with a $1 million candidate loan
- Rep. Don Davis (D): $557,000
- State Sen. Bobby Hanig (R): $249,000, with a $101,000 candidate loan
