What’s next on nonproliferation and international security, in Washington and around the globe.
— August 17: The Proliferation Security Initiative’s PANAMAX 2013 exercise wraps up. The multinational drill focuses on defending the Panama Canal and implementing the PSI mandate to interdict and prevent the illegal trafficking in weapons of mass destruction. As the annual exercise marks its first decade, Panama recently stopped a shipment of Soviet-vintage jets, missile-control vehicles and other Cuban military equipment being transported through the canal — amid 100,000 tons of sugar — en route to North Korea. Havana authorities say the gear was being shipped to Pyongyang for repair and eventual return to the Caribbean island, despite the imposition of sanctions against North Korea that would bar such transfers.
— August 19: U.S. Senator Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.), his chamber’s minority leader, will tour the Chemical Agent-Destruction Pilot Plant at the Blue Grass Army Depot in his home state. Once construction is complete, the facility is expected to offer a state-of-the-art capability to safely “neutralize” the 523 tons of lethal nerve and blister agents stored at Blue Grass, along with a variety of associated munitions. The federal government last month began furloughing firefighters at the base, due to budget sequestration, which triggered warnings of potentially dire safety risks. Good thing, then, that “safety is of paramount importance” at the Army depot’s construction area, according to guidance issued to reporters who will accompany McConnell, and that “flame-producing devices (such as matches or cigarette-lighters) may not be brought onto the site.”
— August 19-August 30: The United Nations-sponsored “open-ended working group” on nuclear disarmament meets at the Palais des Nations in Geneva, Switzerland, for its third and final session of this year. Chaired by Manuel Dengo, Costa Rica’s envoy to U.N. office in Geneva, the group is to develop proposals for international negotiations on the global abolition of atomic weapons and the maintenance of a nuclear-free world.
— August 20: The Foundation for Defense of Democracies is holding a Washington discussion on “Al-Qaida and its Affiliates: On Life Support or an Imminent Threat?” Speakers include three journalists and issue experts, who will explore whether the killing of Osama bin Laden more than two years ago has weakened al-Qaida — or if, instead, instability from Iraq to Syria to Yemen and beyond has bolstered the terrorist organization.
— August 22: As part of its “Cross-Straits Series,” the Atlantic Council is hosting a discussion called “The Coming Asian Arms Race?” The Washington event will feature Ely Ratner, the Center for a New American Security’s Asia-Pacific Security Program deputy director, and Randall Schriver, president and chief executive officer of the Project 2049 Institute, exploring mounting defense spending in the Asia-Pacific region, increased military activity by Japan and the possibility of associated tensions between China and Taiwan, North and South Korea, and other neighboring competitors.
What We're Following See More »
Despite trailing Hillary Clinton by a significant margin, Bernie Sanders wasn't going the way of Ted Cruz tonight. The Vermont senator upset Clinton in Indiana, with MSNBC calling the race at 9pm. Sanders appears poised to win by a five- or six-point spread.
And just like that, it's over. Ted Cruz will suspend his presidential campaign after losing badly to Donald Trump in Indiana tonight. "While Cruz had always hedged when asked whether he would quit if he lost Indiana; his campaign had laid a huge bet on the state." John Kasich's campaign has pledged to carry on. “From the beginning, I’ve said that I would continue on as long as there was a viable path to victory,” said Cruz. “Tonight, I’m sorry to say it appears that path has been foreclosed."
The Republican establishment's last remaining hope—a contested convention this summer—may have just ended in Indiana, as Donald Trump won a decisive victory over Ted Cruz. Nothing Cruz seemed to have in his corner seemed to help—not a presumptive VP pick in Carly Fiorina, not a midwestern state where he's done well in the past, and not the state's legions of conservatives. Though Trump "won't secure the 1,237 delegates he needs to formally claim the nomination until June, his Indiana triumph makes it almost impossible to stop him. Following his decisive wins in New York and other East Coast states, the Indiana victory could put Trump within 200 delegates of the magic number he needs to clinch the nomination." Cruz, meanwhile, "now faces the agonizing choice of whether to remain in the race, with his attempt to force the party into a contested convention in tatters, or to bow out and cede the party nomination to his political nemesis." The Associated Press, which called the race at 7pm, predicts Trump will win at least 45 delegates.