May the Schwartz Be With You

Rep. Allyson Schwartz, D-Pa. speaks after a round table discussion with Vice President Joe Biden on gun control, Monday, Feb. 11, 2013, at Girard College in Philadelphia. (AP Photo/Matt Rourke)
National Journal
See more stories about...
Aug. 29, 2013, 5:21 a.m.

A new poll con­firms that Pennsylvania Gov. Tom Corbett (R) faces huge hurdles in win­ning a second term. But Demo­crats are far from united on who they should nom­in­ate to face him. Rep. Allyson Schwartz‘s sup­port­ers hoped that an in­tim­id­at­ing warchest and two leaked polls would es­tab­lish an air of in­ev­it­ab­il­ity around her cam­paign. Months later, the out­come of the Demo­crat­ic primary is far from cer­tain.

— Sev­er­al rival Demo­crats loom as po­ten­tial road­b­locks to Schwartz’s nom­in­a­tion. Busi­ness­man Tom Wolf has pledged to spend $10 mil­lion on his cam­paign. Treas­urer Rob Mc­Cord, with two statewide wins un­der his belt, is ex­pec­ted to jump in next month. And former De­part­ment of En­vir­on­ment­al Pro­tec­tion Sec­ret­ary Katie Mc­Ginty has as­sembled a top-shelf cam­paign team, at­trac­ted in­flu­en­tial labor sup­port­ers and gen­er­ated buzz in Demo­crat­ic circles. Ex-state Aud­it­or Gen­er­al Jack Wag­n­er may run, and could ap­peal to mod­er­ates and voters in west­ern PA.

— Schwartz also has faced sev­er­al rounds of spec­u­la­tion about a late entry from At­tor­ney Gen­er­al Kath­leen Kane, the hot­test com­mod­ity in the state Demo­crat­ic Party. While Kane has said she won’t run, linger­ing spec­u­la­tion about an­oth­er heavy­weight en­ter­ing the race nor­mally doesn’t oc­cur when a field already con­tains an over­whelm­ing fa­vor­ite.

— Schwartz’s cam­paign re­leased an in­tern­al last week show­ing her with a lar­ger primary lead than pub­lic polls have shown. But rivals say Schwartz’s huge ad­vant­age in the Philly mar­ket is due to a head start in name re­cog­ni­tion, and they ques­tion her ap­peal in the west­ern half of the state.

Schwartz wants po­ten­tial donors, her fel­low can­did­ates and re­port­ers to think that her primary vic­tory is all but as­sured. Her op­pon­ents don’t buy it. Corbett, for now, is happy to sit back and watch the Demo­crats fight it out.
Kev­in Bren­nan

What We're Following See More »
More People Watched Trump’s Acceptance Speech
1 days ago

Hillary Clinton hopes that television ratings for the candidates' acceptance speeches at their respective conventions aren't foreshadowing of similar results at the polls in November. Preliminary results from the networks and cable channels show that 34.9 million people tuned in for Donald Trump's acceptance speech while 33.3 million watched Clinton accept the Democratic nomination. However, it is still possible that the numbers are closer than these ratings suggest: the numbers don't include ratings from PBS or CSPAN, which tend to attract more Democratic viewers.