A new poll confirms that Pennsylvania Gov. Tom Corbett (R) faces huge hurdles in winning a second term. But Democrats are far from united on who they should nominate to face him. Rep. Allyson Schwartz‘s supporters hoped that an intimidating warchest and two leaked polls would establish an air of inevitability around her campaign. Months later, the outcome of the Democratic primary is far from certain.
— Several rival Democrats loom as potential roadblocks to Schwartz’s nomination. Businessman Tom Wolf has pledged to spend $10 million on his campaign. Treasurer Rob McCord, with two statewide wins under his belt, is expected to jump in next month. And former Department of Environmental Protection Secretary Katie McGinty has assembled a top-shelf campaign team, attracted influential labor supporters and generated buzz in Democratic circles. Ex-state Auditor General Jack Wagner may run, and could appeal to moderates and voters in western PA.
— Schwartz also has faced several rounds of speculation about a late entry from Attorney General Kathleen Kane, the hottest commodity in the state Democratic Party. While Kane has said she won’t run, lingering speculation about another heavyweight entering the race normally doesn’t occur when a field already contains an overwhelming favorite.
— Schwartz’s campaign released an internal last week showing her with a larger primary lead than public polls have shown. But rivals say Schwartz’s huge advantage in the Philly market is due to a head start in name recognition, and they question her appeal in the western half of the state.
Schwartz wants potential donors, her fellow candidates and reporters to think that her primary victory is all but assured. Her opponents don’t buy it. Corbett, for now, is happy to sit back and watch the Democrats fight it out.
— Kevin Brennan
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With three days until the first debate, the polls are coming fast and furious. The latest round:
- An Associated Press/Gfk poll of registered voters found very few voters committed, with Clinton leading Trump, 37% to 29%, and Gary Johnson at 7%.
- A McClatchy-Marist poll gave Clinton a six-point edge, 45% to 39%, in a four-way ballot test. Johnson pulls 10% support, with Jill Stein at 4%.
- Rasmussen, which has drawn criticism for continually showing Donald Trump doing much better than he does in other polls, is at it again. A new survey gives Trump a five-point lead, 44%-39%.
In contrast to Hillary Clinton's meticulous debate practice sessions, Donald Trump "is largely shunning traditional debate preparations, but has been watching video of…Clinton’s best and worst debate moments, looking for her vulnerabilities.” Trump “has paid only cursory attention to briefing materials. He has refused to use lecterns in mock debate sessions despite the urging of his advisers. He prefers spitballing ideas with his team rather than honing them into crisp, two-minute answers.”
Donald Trump "is on the precipice of becoming the only major-party presidential candidate this century not to reach out to millions of American voters whose dominant, first or just preferred language is Spanish. Trump has not only failed to buy any Spanish-language television or radio ads, he so far has avoided even offering a translation of his website into Spanish, breaking with two decades of bipartisan tradition."
Bill and Hillary Clinton have purchased the home next door to their primary residence in tony Chappaqua, New York, for $1.16 million. "By purchasing the new home, the Clinton's now own the entire cul-de-sac at the end of the road in the leafy New York suburb. The purchase makes it easier for the United States Secret Service to protect the former president and possible future commander in chief."