If the government shutdown has an adverse impact on Republicans’ efforts at retaking the Senate, one race where the impact would be felt is Montana. Democrats landed an untested but potentially compelling recruit in Lt. Gov. John Walsh, a military veteran and fourth-generation Montanan.
— Montana amounts to a must-win for Republicans, and when former Gov. Brian Schweitzer (D) passed on the race, many thought the race was in the bag for them. But the state has been inhospitable for GOP Senate candidates lately, with Democrats winning 19 of the last 23 races. And on paper, the likely matchup against Rep. Steve Daines (R) provides some opportunities for Dems.
— Dems plan to portray Daines as a Washington insider responsible for the Washington gridlock. They view Daines, like Rick Berg last year in neighboring North Dakota, as a weaker candidate than his resume indicates. Daines spent most of his career outside politics as a businessman, but the Congressional label is toxic these days.
— Across the board, the GOP underperformed in Montana last year. Mitt Romney won 55% of the vote, but MT GOV nominee Rick Hill (R) ran 8 points behind, and MT SEN nominee, then-Rep. Denny Rehberg, only carried 45%. Even Daines won just 53% for the open seat. This despite running against the president and his unpopular health care law.
In a libertarian state skeptical of government, Republicans should be able to exploit Obama’s weaknesses on the economy, spending and health care. But with the GOP’s image so poor and a spotty track record in Montana, that’s far from a guarantee.
What We're Following See More »
In town to receive the Mark Twain Prize for American Humor at the Kennedy Center, Bill Murray casually strolled into the White House Briefing Room this afternoon. A spokesman said he was at the executive mansion for a chat with President Obama, his fellow Chicagoan.
"A federal appeals court's decision that declared the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau an arm of the White House relies on a novel interpretation of the constitution's separation of powers clause that could have broader effects on how other regulators" like the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency and the Federal Housing Finance Agency.
"According to a new POLITICO/Morning Consult poll, the first national post-debate survey, 43 percent of registered voters said the Democratic candidate won, compared with 26 percent who opted for the Republican Party’s standard bearer. Her 6-point lead over Trump among likely voters is unchanged from our previous survey: Clinton still leads Trump 42 percent to 36 percent in the race for the White House, with Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson taking 9 percent of the vote."
Twitter bots, "automated social media accounts that interact with other users," accounted for a large part of the online discussion during the first presidential debate. Bots made up 22 percent of conversation about Hillary Clinton on the social media platform, and a whopping one third of Twitter conversation about Donald Trump.
The International Consortium of Investigative Journalists, the nonprofit that published the Panama Papers earlier this year, is being spun off from its parent organization, the Center for Public Integrity. According to a statement, "CPI’s Board of Directors has decided that enabling the ICIJ to chart its own course will help both journalistic teams build on the massive impact they have had as one organization."