If the government shutdown has an adverse impact on Republicans’ efforts at retaking the Senate, one race where the impact would be felt is Montana. Democrats landed an untested but potentially compelling recruit in Lt. Gov. John Walsh, a military veteran and fourth-generation Montanan.
— Montana amounts to a must-win for Republicans, and when former Gov. Brian Schweitzer (D) passed on the race, many thought the race was in the bag for them. But the state has been inhospitable for GOP Senate candidates lately, with Democrats winning 19 of the last 23 races. And on paper, the likely matchup against Rep. Steve Daines (R) provides some opportunities for Dems.
— Dems plan to portray Daines as a Washington insider responsible for the Washington gridlock. They view Daines, like Rick Berg last year in neighboring North Dakota, as a weaker candidate than his resume indicates. Daines spent most of his career outside politics as a businessman, but the Congressional label is toxic these days.
— Across the board, the GOP underperformed in Montana last year. Mitt Romney won 55% of the vote, but MT GOV nominee Rick Hill (R) ran 8 points behind, and MT SEN nominee, then-Rep. Denny Rehberg, only carried 45%. Even Daines won just 53% for the open seat. This despite running against the president and his unpopular health care law.
In a libertarian state skeptical of government, Republicans should be able to exploit Obama’s weaknesses on the economy, spending and health care. But with the GOP’s image so poor and a spotty track record in Montana, that’s far from a guarantee.
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Donald Trump went on a Twitter rampage Sunday morning, promising a 35 percent tariff on goods imported by businesses that leave America. Not so fast, say Republican leaders in Congress. "I don’t want to get into some kind of trade war," said House Majority Leader Kevin McCarthy, a comment later reiterated by Speaker of the House Paul Ryan, who instead called for overhaul of corporate taxes instead of a punitive tax.
Former Vice President Al Gore found himself in a room with Donald Trump Monday just after meeting with Trump's daughter, Ivanka. Gore discussed the topic of climate change with both Trumps and called his discussion with Donald Trump "extremely interesting." It remains to be seen if Donald Trump will deal with the topic of climate change during his presidency.
House Majority Leader Kevin McCarthy told reporters on Monday that the government funding bill will be released on Tuesday. The bill is the last piece of legislation Congress needs to pass before leaving for the year and is expected to fund the government through the spring. The exact time date the bill would fund the government through is unclear, though it is expected to be in April or May.
D.C. Mayor Muriel Bowser is making the pilgrimage to Trump Tower tomorrow, where she and Chief of Staff John Falchiccio and Senior Adviser Beverly Perry will meet with President-elect Donald Trump. In a statement, she said she'd be discussing "DC’s growth and common areas of interest."
As has been rumored for a week, Donald Trump will nominate Ben Carson, his former rival, to lead the Department of Housing and Urban Development. In a statement, Trump said, "We have talked at length about my urban renewal agenda and our message of economic revival, very much including our inner cities. Ben shares my optimism about the future of our country and is part of ensuring that this is a Presidency representing all Americans. He is a tough competitor and never gives up."