At a Tuesday afternoon press conference, the president pushed against the Republican strategy on the government shutdown and the debt-ceiling, saying that he and his party are the ones who have been trying to negotiate, not Republicans. The president pointed to the 19 times that Republicans rejected a conference committee on a budget, saying that Republicans are willing to risk “economic chaos” if they don’t get “100 percent” of what they want.
The president also high-lighted the risks of a debt-ceiling breach, saying that “a decision to actually go through with it, to actually permit default, according to many CEOs would be, insane, catastrophic, chaos — these are more polite words.”
“Let’s lift these threats from our families and our businesses,” Obama said, and “get back to work.”
Obama opened his White House statement on his earlier phone call with Speaker Boehner. The president said he told the speaker that he’s “happy to talk with him and other Republicans about anything,” but that he will only negotiate with congressional Republicans over the budget after the threat of a default and the government shutdown have concluded. The president signaled that he’d be willing to negotiate on the tax code, job creation policies, and the Affordable Care Act. This could bring changes in the health care law if Boehner takes up the offer, although it’s not clear now how far the president is willing to go. The Speaker has been sticking firm in not allowing a “clean” (void of Obamacare stipulations) continuing resolution to reach the House floor.
Obama also called on Boehner to allow the House to vote on a measure that would extend the debt limit for a year. A clean one-year extension, however, seems like a long-shot right now. Speaker Boehner explicitly ruled out such a plan on Sunday, and certain Republican congressmen believe the administration is bluffing on the threat of the debt limit. The latest public polling shows 47 percent of the country believes the debt ceiling needs to be avoided, though there is a big partisan divide. Fifty-four percent of Republicans think we can pass the deadline “without major problems.”
Speaker Boehner and House Republicans, for their part, are set to introduce a bill Tuesday that would establish a panel of House and Senate members to hash out a deal. This plan is already getting hammered as a blueprint for just another “super committee.”
It’s over. The full conference lasted for a bit over an hour, and aside from the news made by Harry Reid outside of it, we didn’t learn much new. And we particularly didn’t get any insight on one topic that wasn’t raised by any of the reporters in the room: the roll-out of the Affordable Care Act.
UPDATE (3:20 p.m.): Towards the end of the conference, Obama talked about his negotiations with House Republicans and Speaker Boehner back in 2011: “Whenever I see John Boehner, to this day, I say, ‘Shoulda taken the deal that I offered back then.’” If that’s literally true, we imagine it could help to explain why the two don’t get along better. That conversation could get repetitive.
UPDATE (3:05 p.m.): Asked about the possibility of a new “super committee” to come up with a budget, agreement, the president didn’t immediately throw out the idea:
“I know that Speaker Boehner has talked about setting up some new processor some new super committee or what have you. The leaders up in congress can work through whatever processes they want. But the bottom line is … you’re having good faith negotiations in which there’s give and take or you’re not. “
At the same time, Obama dismissed some of the rumored parameters of the committee, saying that he isn’t sure why Democrats would agree to a negotiation only on Republican terms.
UPDATE (3:05 p.m.): Obama, in his opening statement, attempted to describe the current situation in a way that many Americans could relate to: “You don’t get a chance to call your bank and say I’m not going to pay my mortgage this month unless you throw in a new car and an Xbox.” Conservatives and journalists, however, quickly mocked the Xbox line, on Twitter.
UPDATE (3:02 p.m.): In an otherwise pat bit of political speak about how “compromise” is not a dirty word, the president said that though he has flaws, an inability to compromise is not one of them. “I’ve been willing to compromise my whole political career.”
UPDATE (2:56 p.m.): In other news… While the president was speaking, Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid announced his plans to introduce a clean debt ceiling bill to the Senate later on Tuesday.
UPDATE (2:54 p.m.): Speaking about Citizens United and the state of U.S. politics, the president tried his hand at diagnosing how the U.S. has gotten into this political situation:
“A big chunk of the Republican right now are in gerrymandered districts where there’s no competition. And those folks are much more worried about a tea party challenger than a general election”¦and in that environment, it’s a lot harder for them to compromise.”
UPDATE (2:48 p.m.): Hitting back on the idea that the Treasury Department has “other rabbits in [their] hat” to prevent a debt default, the president said that the department has already just about used up all the “extraordinary measures” available.
Obama did address the concept of using the 14th amendment or a platinum coin to act unilaterally to raise the ceiling. He was slightly vague, but said that
“Setting aside the legal analysis, what matters is that if you start having a situation in which there’s legal controversy about Treasury’s authority to issue debt, the damage will have been done even if that were constitutional because people wouldn’t be sure. It would be tied up in litigation for a long time. “
“There are no magic bullets here,” he said.
UPDATE (2:42 p.m.): The president tried to also make an oft-touted Democratic point that a “clean” budget already includes the sequestration “meat cleaver” cuts. Those cuts, Obama said, have already hurt thousands of families with cuts to Head Start. The shutdown just makes that worse.
UPDATE (2:38 p.m.): Obama, responding to a question, tried to speak to the people—including members of Congress—who don’t view a debt-ceiling breach as a big deal:
“What I have to remind them is, we have a lot of other obligations, not just people who pay treasury bills. We have senior citizens counting on their social security arriving on time. We have veterans who are disabled who are counting on their benefits.”
And to, you know, draw a clear line: “It is a big deal.”
UPDATE (2:36 p.m.): The president, speaking about what would happen if Congress does not raise the debt-limit, made things personal:
“I say, imagine in your private life, if you decided that I’m not going to pay my mortgage for a month or two — first of all you’re not saving money by not paying your mortgage. You’re just a dead beat. And you can anticipate that will hurt your credit. “
“Which means that in addition to debt collectors calling, you’re going to have trouble borrowing in the future. In you’re able to borrow in future, it will be a higher rate. What’s true for individuals is also true for nations, even the most powerful nation on earth. “
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Before we get to the specifics of this exposé about escorts working the Iowa and New Hampshire primary crowds, let’s get three things out of the way: 1.) It’s from Cosmopolitan; 2.) most of the women quoted use fake (if colorful) names; and 3.) again, it’s from Cosmopolitan. That said, here’s what we learned:
- Business was booming: one escort who says she typically gets two inquiries a weekend got 15 requests in the pre-primary weekend.
- Their primary season clientele is a bit older than normal—”40s through mid-60s, compared with mostly twentysomething regulars” and “they’ve clearly done this before.”
- They seemed more nervous than other clients, because “the stakes are higher when you’re working for a possible future president” but “all practiced impeccable manners.”
- One escort “typically enjoy[s] the company of Democrats more, just because I feel like our views line up a lot more.”
No matter where you stand on mandating companies to include a backdoor in encryption technologies, it doesn’t make sense to allow that decision to be made on a state level. “The problem with state-level legislation of this nature is that it manages to be both wildly impractical and entirely unenforceable,” writes Brian Barrett at Wired. There is a solution to this problem. “California Congressman Ted Lieu has introduced the ‘Ensuring National Constitutional Rights for Your Private Telecommunications Act of 2016,’ which we’ll call ENCRYPT. It’s a short, straightforward bill with a simple aim: to preempt states from attempting to implement their own anti-encryption policies at a state level.”
Much has been made of David Brooks’s recent New York Times column, in which confesses to missing already the civility and humanity of Barack Obama, compared to who might take his place. In NewYorker.com, Jeffrey Frank reminds us how critical such attributes are to foreign policy. “It’s hard to imagine Kennedy so casually referring to the leader of Russia as a gangster or a thug. For that matter, it’s hard to imagine any president comparing the Russian leader to Hitler [as] Hillary Clinton did at a private fund-raiser. … Kennedy, who always worried that miscalculation could lead to war, paid close attention to the language of diplomacy.”
The New Covenant. The Third Way. The Democratic Leadership Council style. Call it what you will, but whatever centrist triangulation Bill Clinton embraced in 1992, Hillary Clinton wants no part of it in 2016. Writing for Bloomberg, Sasha Issenberg and Margaret Talev explore how Hillary’s campaign has “diverged pointedly” from what made Bill so successful: “For Hillary to survive, Clintonism had to die.” Bill’s positions in 1992—from capital punishment to free trade—“represented a carefully calibrated diversion from the liberal orthodoxy of the previous decade.” But in New Hampshire, Hillary “worked to juggle nostalgia for past Clinton primary campaigns in the state with the fact that the Bill of 1992 or the Hillary of 2008 would likely be a marginal figure within today’s Democratic politics.”
At first, “it was pleasant” to see Trevor Noah “smiling away and deeply dimpling in the Stewart seat, the seat that had lately grown gray hairs,” writes The Atlantic‘s James Parker in assessing the new host of the once-indispensable Daily Show. But where Jon Stewart was a heavyweight, Noah is “a very able lightweight, [who] needs time too. But he won’t get any. As a culture, we’re not about to nurture this talent, to give it room to grow. Our patience was exhausted long ago, by some other guy. We’re going to pass judgment and move on. There’s a reason Simon Cowell is so rich. Impress us today or get thee hence. So it comes to this: It’s now or never, Trevor.”