If you’re looking for a signs of an emerging schism between the establishment and tea party within the GOP, look no further than the mounting crop of primary challengers to Republican Senate incumbents. In 2010 and 2012, tea party activists picked their most vulnerable targets, like Lugar, Hatch and Bennett. Now they’re going after the entire establishment.
— With state senator Chris McDaniel‘s campaign against Mississippi Sen. Thad Cochran, half of the 12 Republican senators up for reelection now face threats from the right. A seventh, Texas Sen. John Cornyn, is worried enough about a primary that he voted against the government-funding compromise.
— While most of the upstarts are clear underdogs, McDaniel is the closest to actually winning a Senate seat. The state legislator’s well-orchestrated entrance was designed as much to put pressure on Cochran to retire. The Senate Conservatives Fund and Club for Growth each blasted endorsements out within minutes of his announcement. One conservative operative involved in the race called him “the Jim DeMint of the Mississippi state legislature” and expects him to be more formidable than any of the other conservative Senate challengers.
— McDaniel and his allies read the political tea leaves in Mississippi effectively. Cochran only raised $53,000 in the third quarter, a telltale sign the longtime appropriator is heading to the exits. If Cochran does step down, McDaniel would become an early frontrunner as the conservative candidate, with national fundraising assets behind him. Mississippi, after all, is a deeply Republican state with a very conservative primary electorate.
It’s striking that the Club for Growth, which traditionally focuses on the House, has now endorsed more candidates for the Senate (2) this cycle. The Senate Conservatives Fund is now officially opposing Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, backing his tea party challenger Matt Bevin. With House Republicans already marching in line with the base, outside groups are working to reshape the Senate more to their liking.
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When it comes to name-calling among America's upper echelon of politicians, there may be perhaps no greater spat than the one currently going on between Sen. Elizabeth Warren and Donald Trump. While receiving an award Tuesday night, she continued a months-long feud with the presumptive GOP presidential nominee. Calling him a "small, insecure moneygrubber" who probably doesn't know three things about Dodd-Frank, she said he "will NEVER be president of the United States," according to her prepared remarks."We don't know what Trump pays in taxes because he is the first presidential nominee in 40 years to refuse to disclose his tax returns. Maybe he’s just a lousy businessman who doesn’t want you to find out that he’s worth a lot less money than he claims." It follows a long-line of Warren attacks over Twitter, Facebook and in interviews that Trump is a sexist, racist, narcissistic loser. In reply, Trump has called Warren either "goofy" or "the Indian"—referring to her controversial assertion of her Native American heritage.
The House on Tuesday voted 403-12 "to pass an overhaul to the nation’s chemical safety standards for the first time in four decades. The Frank R. Lautenberg Chemical Safety for the 21st Century Act aims to answer years of complaints that the Environmental Protection Agency lacks the necessary authority to oversee and control the thousands of chemicals being produced and sold in the United States. It also significantly clamps down on states’ authorities, in an effort to stop a nationwide patchwork of chemical laws that industry says is difficult to deal with."
"Leaders of the Republican Party have begun internal deliberations over making fundamental changes to the way its presidential nominees are chosen, a recognition that the chaotic process that played out this year is seriously flawed and helped exacerbate tensions within the party." Among the possible changes: forbidding independent voters to cast ballots in Republican primaries, and "doubling the number of early states to eight."
Citing the unpredictable nature of this primary season and the possible leverage they could bring at the convention, John Kasich is hanging onto his 161 delegates. "Kasich sent personal letters Monday to Republican officials in the 16 states and the District of Columbia where he won delegates, requesting that they stay bound to him in accordance with party rules."
"Speaker Paul Ryan is changing the rules of how the House will consider spending measures to try to prevent Democrats from offering surprise amendments that have recently put the GOP on defense. ... Ryan announced at a House GOP conference meeting Tuesday morning that members will now have to submit their amendments ahead of time so that they are pre-printed in the Congressional Record, according to leadership aides." The change will take effect after the Memorial Day recess.