It’s a political hazard to start thinking about a presidential race while you still have your day job. Ask Mitt Romney, whose approval ratings plummeted as he plotted a 2008 presidential campaign. Or Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal (R), whose sky-high popularity dropped as he spent more time away from Louisiana. Former Georgia Gov. Roy Barnes (D) often drew comparisons with Bill Clinton — that is, before he was blindsided in a 2002 reelection upset against Sonny Perdue.
— That’s the situation that Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker (R) is in, as he faces another reelection campaign (sans recall) while his name is regularly being touted as presidential timber. His new book, “Unintimidated: A Governor’s Story and a Nation’s Challenge” is designed to enhance his national profile, but it’s unlikely to convince Wisconsin voters that he’s committed to serving out a full second term.
— Don’t assume Walker is a shoo-in for reelection. Instead of catering to the base, Dems recruited a moderate businesswoman, Trek Bicycle executive Mary Burke, who has the ability to self-finance a campaign. A new Marquette Law School poll shows just how competitive the race could be. Walker’s job approval rating is at 49%, and he narrowly leads the little-known Burke, 47-45%.
— To be sure, Walker is a very intriguing dark-horse presidential candidate for 2016. He’s an executive with a record of principled conservative governance in a Democratic-leaning state. Unlike the conservative rhetoric of a Ted Cruz, Rand Paul or Marco Rubio, he can point to tangible accomplishments. He’s one of the few prospective candidates who could generate tea party excitement along with boasting establishment cred.
But Walker has to get to the starting line first. And if he takes his reelection for granted in the face of a credible Democratic challenger, that would be a recipe for trouble.
What We're Following See More »
In town to receive the Mark Twain Prize for American Humor at the Kennedy Center, Bill Murray casually strolled into the White House Briefing Room this afternoon. A spokesman said he was at the executive mansion for a chat with President Obama, his fellow Chicagoan.
"A federal appeals court's decision that declared the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau an arm of the White House relies on a novel interpretation of the constitution's separation of powers clause that could have broader effects on how other regulators" like the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency and the Federal Housing Finance Agency.
"According to a new POLITICO/Morning Consult poll, the first national post-debate survey, 43 percent of registered voters said the Democratic candidate won, compared with 26 percent who opted for the Republican Party’s standard bearer. Her 6-point lead over Trump among likely voters is unchanged from our previous survey: Clinton still leads Trump 42 percent to 36 percent in the race for the White House, with Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson taking 9 percent of the vote."
Twitter bots, "automated social media accounts that interact with other users," accounted for a large part of the online discussion during the first presidential debate. Bots made up 22 percent of conversation about Hillary Clinton on the social media platform, and a whopping one third of Twitter conversation about Donald Trump.
The International Consortium of Investigative Journalists, the nonprofit that published the Panama Papers earlier this year, is being spun off from its parent organization, the Center for Public Integrity. According to a statement, "CPI’s Board of Directors has decided that enabling the ICIJ to chart its own course will help both journalistic teams build on the massive impact they have had as one organization."