RACE FOR THE HOUSE

DCCC Polling Shows Dems Overperformed National Environment

The GOP's base focus is unlikely to lead it back to the majority in 2020.

Dec. 12, 2018, 9:54 a.m.

“According to polling conducted by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner," released by the DCCC, "voters in 45 battleground districts backed Donald Trump for president by two points; on average, they ended up favoring Democrats by six points. Voters viewed the average Democratic candidate more favorably than the average Republican candidate by 16 points. … By far, the No. 1 issue cited for voters' support of Democrats was health care; 44 percent of them said that they wanted their vote to ‘lower the cost of health care and prescription drugs.’”

Sena: “We were able to overperform the national environment in districts where the president was relatively popular. If you look at the persuadable voters, and fact that president is net positive, it’s a huge testament to these candidates.” (Washington Post)

DELUSIONS. NRCC Chairman Tom Emmer's comments to Hotline "are a sign that Republicans are delusional about the 2018 election results, a midterm that was defined by voters’ views of the Trump presidency, or they have no better options than to stick with a president who has swiftly transformed the Republican Party in his image. There’s a reasonable strategic case for House Republicans to own their Trump base, maintaining the seats they have and hoping to win back some of their losses in more conservative territory with stronger candidates. But House Republicans should be clear-eyed that such a strategy merely stops the political bleeding, and isn’t a formula to win back the majority in 2020." (National Journal)

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