Spotlight

Byrne (On) Notice

None

WASHINGTON, DC - SEPTEMBER 10: Tea Party activists cheer during the 'Exempt America from Obamacare' rally, on Capitol Hill, September 10, 2013 in Washington, DC. Some conservative lawmakers are making a push to try to defund the health care law as part of the debates over the budget and funding the federal government.
National Journal
Josh Kraushaar
Nov. 1, 2013, 7:40 a.m.

The biggest di­vide with­in the Re­pub­lic­an party is as much over style as sub­stance ““ wheth­er con­ser­vat­ives should be more con­front­a­tion­al or seek to achieve their goals more quietly and stra­tegic­ally. It’s more of a cul­tur­al di­vide as it as an ideo­lo­gic­al one.

— That di­vide is play­ing it­self out in an Alabama Re­pub­lic­an run­off for the Mo­bile-based seat of former GOP Rep. Jo Bon­ner. Re­pub­lic­ans, con­ser­vat­ive and es­tab­lish­ment alike, have ral­lied be­hind Brad­ley Byrne, who is as cre­den­tialed as they come. He’s a former gubernat­ori­al fron­trun­ner, state com­munity col­lege chan­cel­lor, and at­tor­ney. His op­pon­ent, Dean Young, eked out a second-place fin­ish in the primary, thanks to a so­cially-con­ser­vat­ive mes­sage tar­geted to evan­gel­ic­al Chris­ti­ans.

— Just check out this Guard­i­an (UK) Q&A with the two can­did­ates. Byrne’s polit­ic­al idol is Win­ston Churchill. Young’s is Roy Moore, the Alabama Su­preme Court Justice who fought to keep a monu­ment of the 10 Com­mand­ments on gov­ern­ment prop­erty. Young said he’s not a “big world trav­el­er” when asked what county he ad­mired. Byrne said Pres­id­ent Obama‘s birth­place was Hawaii; Young called it the “$64,000 ques­tion.”

— And Young, des­pite be­ing out­spent and outen­dorsed, is run­ning neck-and-neck with the pro­hib­it­ive fa­vor­ite. (One GOP robo-poll showed him with a with­in-the-mar­gin lead.) Des­pite only hav­ing one cam­paign staffer, his com­par­is­ons to Ted Cruz and out­spoken so­cial con­ser­vat­ism are draw­ing grass­roots con­ser­vat­ives to his side in a low-turnout elec­tion.

Re­mem­ber: Bon­ner’s old dis­trict isn’t a tea-party hot­bed; it’s the busi­ness epi­cen­ter of the state. The Cook Polit­ic­al Re­port wrote: “A Young vic­tory would send shock waves throughout the House GOP.” As if the party needed any more re­mind­ers.

What We're Following See More »
A DARK CLOUD OVER TRUMP?
Snowstorm Could Impact Primary Turnout
2 days ago
THE LATEST

A snowstorm is supposed to hit New Hampshire today and “linger into Primary Tuesday.” GOP consultant Ron Kaufman said lower turnout should help candidates who have spent a lot of time in the state tending to retail politicking. Donald Trump “has acknowledged that he needs to step up his ground-game, and a heavy snowfall could depress his figures relative to more organized candidates.”

Source:
IN CASE OF EMERGENCY
A Shake-Up in the Offing in the Clinton Camp?
2 days ago
THE DETAILS

Anticipating a primary loss in New Hampshire on Tuesday, Hillary and Bill Clinton “are considering staffing and strategy changes” to their campaign. Sources tell Politico that the Clintons are likely to layer over top officials with experienced talent, rather than fire their staff en masse.

Source:
THE LAST ROUND OF NEW HAMPSHIRE POLLS
Trump Is Still Ahead, but Who’s in Second?
1 days ago
THE LATEST

We may not be talking about New Hampshire primary polls for another three-and-a-half years, so here goes:

  • American Research Group’s tracking poll has Donald Trump in the lead with 30% support, followed by Marco Rubio and John Kasich tying for second place at 16%. On the Democratic side, Bernie Sanders leads Hillary Clinton 53%-41%.
  • The 7 News/UMass Lowell tracking poll has Trump way out front with 34%, followed by Rubio and Ted Cruz with 13% apiece. Among the Democrats, Sanders is in front 56%-40%.
  • A Gravis poll puts Trump ahead with 28%, followed by Kasich with 17% and Rubio with 15%.
IT’S ALL ABOUT SECOND PLACE
CNN Calls the Primary for Sanders and Trump
1 days ago
THE LATEST

Well that didn’t take long. CNN has already declared Bernie Sanders and Donald Trump the winners of the New Hampshire primary, leaving the rest of the candidates to fight for the scraps. Five minutes later, the Associated Press echoed CNN’s call.

Source:
×