RACE FOR THE HOUSE | WA-1 | WA-10 | IL-6 | CA-10

Heck, DelBene Eye DCCC Chair for 2020 Cycle

Massive Q3 hauls are giving Democrats an advantage on the air in October.

Oct. 12, 2018, 11:22 a.m.

“The race to lead the” DCCC “next cycle could come down to two members of the Washington state delegation. Reps. Denny Heck (WA-10) and Suzan DelBene (WA-01) have expressed interest to colleagues and party leadership about running, which, depending on the party's midterm showing, could entail protecting the majority and its swath of moderate freshmen in red-leaning districts. ... Several other members floated as potential candidates are seeking chairmanships or spots on influential committees.”

Heck's "pitch to current and prospective members will be that after six years at the committee, he needs little on-the-job training, begins with in-depth knowledge of the district dynamics, and has relationships with DCCC staff and vulnerable members in their first terms." Meanwhile, "DelBene has proven fundraising prowess. She brought in $3.3 million this cycle for the DCCC as the committee’s finance cochair and has also contributed $100,000 to Red-to-Blue candidates. A former Microsoft executive, she is personally wealthy and gave herself $2.8 million in her successful 2012 bid." (Hotline reporting)

AIR WARS. Large fundraising hauls from House Democratic candidates are providing a clear advantage in the final month of TV advertising. Investor Josh Harder (D) raised $3.5 million in Q3 for his CA-10 bid and "is now poised to have a large advantage in the closing weeks. His campaign reserved $4.1 million in advertising in the final months of the season, almost double the $2.1 million reserved by” Rep. Jeff Denham’s (R-CA 10) “campaign, according to” media data. “The same dynamic is taking place outside Chicago, where” Rep. Peter Roskam (R-IL 06) “is in the fight of his life against” clean-energy entrepreneur Sean Casten (D).” He “has reserved $4.6 million worth of ads, well ahead of Roskam’s $2 million in ads.” (Washington Post)

MONEY MOVES. House Majority Leader Kevin McCarthy “has transferred $5.71 million to the NRCC and state party committees over the last two weeks, in addition to moving $1.51 million to members. McCarthy has raised $60 million this cycle. He's transferred $18.3 million to the NRCC and state party committees and $5.77 million to members.” (Politico) And Minority Whip Steve Scalise "announced Thursday that he raised more than $4.8 million in the third quarter, almost doubling his total from the previous three-month period." He sent $1.2 million of his haul to the NRCC. (The Hill)

The National Democratic Training Committee, a group that provides online and in-person campaign training for federal and local candidates, raised $1.4 million in the third quarter from 126,000 donations. Notable alumni of the program: registered nurse Lauren Underwood in IL-14 and attorney Cort VanOstran (D) in MO-02. (release)

BY THE NUMBERS. Democrats led by 10 points, 48-38 percent, with 14 percent undecided on an online Politico/Morning Consult generic ballot (Oct. 7; 2,189 RVs; +/- 2%). “Last week, Democrats’ lead was slightly smaller, 43 percent to 36 percent. ... While Republicans have cited an increase in excitement among their voters during the Kavanaugh fight ... both the POLITICO/Morning Consult poll and a CNN/SSRS survey conducted over the past weekend and released Tuesday show Democrats more animated than Republicans.” (Politico)

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