AZ SEN: Rep. Martha McSally (R) bested Rep. Kyrsten Sinema (D) 49-46 percent in an OH Predictive Insights poll (Sept. 5-6; 597 LVs; +/-4%).
"McSally’s lead comes on the back of a change of heart among a vital demographic group that has been cold to her and Trump in the past: middle-aged women, especially those with college degrees." (release)
Heller’s favorability was 38-42 percent while Rosen’s was 31-36 percent. President Trump notched a 45-49 favorability. (Reno Gazette-Journal)
OH SEN: Sen. Sherrod Brown (D) led Rep. Jim Renacci (R) 47-31 percent in an Morning Consult/AARP poll (Sept. 2-11; 1,603 RVs; +/-2%). "Brown, the two-term incumbent, is winning among Democrats, 85 percent to 2 percent. Among Republicans, Renacci leads, 71 percent to 13 percent. Brown also has a nearly 2-to-1 lead among independents — 38 percent, to Renacci’s 20 percent — though 42 percent of independents are undecided. Among voters 50 and older, Brown holds a similar lead over Renacci, 49 percent to 33 percent, with 18 percent undecided." (Politico)
TX SEN: Sen. Ted Cruz (R) led Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D) 47-44 percent in a Crosswind Media & Public Relations poll (Sept.6-9; 800 LVs; +/-4%). (release)