As it ramps up research efforts ahead of November, internal polling conducted for mega-donor Tom Steyer’s (D) Need to Impeach campaign has found that Democratic voters want their party’s candidates to talk about impeaching President Trump. The poll found that a majority of voters surveyed responded favorably to messaging urging accountability for Trump: 59 percent said that when given a choice, candidates should talk about impeaching the president, while 32 percent said they shouldn't. The survey, conducted June 10-23 among 1,200 voters, was one part of ongoing research the campaign has collected from national polling, weekly surveys, and 30 town halls this year.
The internal data, conducted by public opinion research firm Marttila Strategies and reviewed exclusively by Hotline, also provides a snapshot into the campaign’s contribution to recent success in a special congressional election. In Pennsylvania’s 18th Congressional District, the Need to Impeach campaign’s post-election turnout analysis indicates that the group’s “petition signers turned out to vote at a 30% higher rate” than Democrats who had not signed the petition prior to Election Day. The group notes that despite over 40 percent of Need to Impeach signers “being infrequent mid-term voters, 78 percent actually voted in the special election,” netting Democratic candidate Conor Lamb an additional 1,668 votes.
In addition, the group’s research shows Republicans “are more concerned about weakness on immigration (55 percent are extremely worried), House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi as Speaker (52 percent are extremely worried), and higher taxes (48 percent are extremely worried) at a much higher rate of intensity than impeachment.” The data collected indicates that “21 percent of Republicans are extremely worried about impeachment, while 43 percent of Republicans are not worried about impeachment at all when heading to the polls.” (Hotline reporting)
WARREN. Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) introduced her Anti-Corruption and Public Integrity Act at the National Press Club Tuesday. The bill would ban members of Congress and Cabinet secretaries from owning individual stocks, ban lobbyists from donating to congressional campaigns, institute a lifetime ban on lobbying by former Members of Congress, and create a new independent agency to enforce federal ethics laws, among other provisions. (Hotline reporting)
CLINTON. Hillary Clinton will help “raise money for the Democratic National Committee in a series of fundraisers,” including events “in San Francisco, Chicago and New York for the DNC this fall to boost the party’s chances of seizing control of the U.S. House and Senate.
“Billed as ‘intimate dinners with discussion,’ the first invitations were set to go out Monday night for a September event in San Francisco. … She is also planning fundraisers for some women running for Congress in key races.” (NBC News)
BIDEN. Former Vice President Joe Biden (D) on Monday “endorsed January Contreras, a Democratic former prosecutor who is running to unseat Arizona Attorney General Mark Brnovich (R). If elected, Contreras would be the first Latina to hold the position in Arizona.” (The Hill)
ELLISON. “A conservative super PAC launched an ad campaign on Monday that uses domestic abuse allegations against Rep. Keith Ellison (D-MN), the Democratic nominee for attorney general in Minnesota, to attack other members of his party running for office in the state.
“The ad, titled ‘Ashamed,’ has been tailored to target several Democrats running for the House of Representatives and chastises them for not calling on Mr. Ellison, who is also the deputy chairman of the Democratic National Committee, to drop out of the race.” (New York Times)
HARRIS. Sen. Kamala Harris’s (D-CA) first book, “‘Smart on Crime’ fits a moment in which the public is demanding legal investigations of government corruption and justice for the victims of sexual abuse. It also cuts wildly against many progressives’ broad rethinking of the criminal justice system when it comes to racial bias, police presence, and more.
“Harris … was a prosecutor for a long time, and in many ways, she still thinks and speaks as one. As she begins to mount a case for herself to Democratic primary voters in 2020, it’s her past as a prosecutor turned California attorney general—a ‘cop,’ in the words of some on the far left—that is likely to help define her.”
“The 205-page book is also unapologetically pro–law enforcement and largely colorblind, a relic of an era in which the country’s conversation on criminal justice focused not on reducing arrests or diagnosing racial injustice in the system, but preventing offenders from committing crimes. The book mentions racial bias in policing just twice.
“‘Virtually all law-abiding citizens feel safer when they see officers walking a beat,’ Harris writes in her 2009 book. ‘This is as true in economically poor areas as in wealthy ones.’
“Though they’re separated by just five years, the contrast between the race-neutral vision of Smart on Crime—prevalent among most Democratic politicians at the time—and the post-Ferguson, Black Lives Matter era of race-conscious criminal justice reform that has swept the Democratic Party is stark.” (BuzzFeed)
Harris will meet with Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh Tuesday at 5:30 p.m. (release)
SWALWELL. Rep. Eric Swalwell (D-CA) said Monday “he is planning to consider a 2020 run for president after the midterms." Swalwell: "I'm going to do all I can, first, to win my way back to Congress ... and then after the midterms ... I am going to consider it." (CNN)
MICHIGAN. “Michigan’s most influential labor union on Monday endorsed Dana Nessel, the Democratic nominee for state attorney general. The move by the United Automobile Workers marks a crucial step toward the unification of the Democratic Party following a bruising nomination battle in which the union backed former United States Attorney Pat Miles, a centrist, over the more progressive Nessel.”
“Nessel, a prominent LGBT rights advocate and former Wayne County prosecutor, defeated Miles for the nomination at a state Democratic Party convention in Detroit in April.” (HuffPost)