RACE FOR THE HOUSE | PA-10 | WA-8 | SC-1 | OH-12 | MN-8 | CT-5 | SC-6 | MD-5 | CA-28 | MA-4 | MN-3 | MN-2 | VA-10 | VA-7 | KS-3 | VA-2

Dems Take Large Lead on CNN, Quinnipiac Generic Ballots

Pelosi spoke about building a bridge to new leaders in the party.

Aug. 16, 2018, 10:29 a.m.

Democrats led Republicans by 11 points, 52-41 percent, in a CNN/SSRS generic ballot (Aug. 9-12; 921 RVs; +/- 4.1%). Independents broke for Republicans, 43-41 percent. And 68 percent of respondents said President Trump was “extremely important” or “very important” to their 2018 vote. Just 34 percent said the same about Nancy Pelosi. (CNN) Meanwhile, in a new Quinnipiac generic ballot (Aug. 9-13; 1,175 voters; +/- 3.4%), Democrats led by 9 points, 52-41 percent. Independents broke for Democrats by 12 points. 50-38 percent. (release)

MONEY MOVES. “Through June, House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi “had raised an eye-popping $83 million for the” DCCC “for the 2018 election cycle, more than double the next closest Democrat, according to an internal list for the group. A source briefed on the matter said that through July she had raised nearly $91 million for the party committee.”

“The internal DCCC list also offers clues to how individual lawmakers are performing for the party committee. Rep. Katherine Clark (D-MA 05), “who is running to be vice chairwoman of the House Democratic Caucus next year, had doubled her fundraising goal through June, raising $1.1 million, … while transferring an additional $300,000 to the DCCC. The second biggest fundraiser is” DCCC Chairman Ben Ray Lujan, “who has pulled in $35 million for House candidates, including $2 million for Democrats in tough races. Other potential Pelosi successors have raised seven figures for their party but far less than the leader, with” House Minority Whip Steny Hoyer (MD-05) “pulling in $3 million and” Rep. James Clyburn (SC-06), “the assistant Democratic leader, helping pull in $3.7 million -- each exceeding his goal. Other prominent Democrats, like” Reps. Adam Schiff (D-CA 28) and Joe Kennedy (D-MA 04), “have far exceeded their goals, with each pulling in roughly $2.1 million for the committee.” (CNN)

PELOSI’S FUTURE. “Nancy Pelosi is confronting rising threats from different corners of the Democratic Party, and is girding for a mortal challenge to her leadership after the November midterm elections or even sooner. … While she remains intent on reclaiming the speakership, Ms. Pelosi, 78, has also begun to acknowledge more candidly that a transfer of power is coming at some point. And in an interview on Wednesday, Ms. Pelosi sent a message of reassurance to anxious Democrats, speaking with specificity about building a ‘bridge’ to new leaders in the party. Most immediately perilous for Ms. Pelosi may be an impatient mood in the Congressional Black Caucus, where senior legislators have begun arguing that it is past time to elect an African-American speaker.” (New York Times)

RED TO BLUE. The DCCC added six candidates to its Red to Blue program: 2016 National Teacher of the Year Jahana Hayes in CT-05, former state Rep. Joe Radinovich in MN-08, Franklin County Recorder Danny O'Connor in OH-12, pastor George Scott in PA-10, attorney Joe Cunningham in SC-01, and pediatrician Kim Schrier in WA-08. (release)

McCARTHY ON 2018. House Majority Leader Kevin McCarthy “argued that Republicans have a built-in advantage from relying more on suburban districts while Democrats have their base in urban areas, which he said means ‘if we get 49 percent of the vote, we’ll get about 51, 53 percent of the seats.’ And he predicted voters would reward Republicans for economic growth while rejecting Democratic overreach on immigration, healthcare and the drive to impeach President Donald Trump.” (Politico)

TOP OF THE TICKET. "The GOP fears House candidates down ballot could be the casualties if moderate and independent voters balk at backing Republicans because of opposition to conservative Senate and gubernatorial candidates. ... In Minnesota, conservative Hennepin County Commissioner Jeff Johnson (R) defeated former Gov. Tim Pawlenty (R). ... Hours earlier, another arch conservative won the GOP nomination for governor in Kansas after" Gov. Jeff Colyer (R) conceded defeat to Secretary of State Kris Kobach (R). And conservative Prince William County Board of Supervisors Chairman Corey Stewart (R) won the Senate nomination in Virginia. Strategists say these nominations could put Reps. Erik Paulsen (R-MN 03), Jason Lewis (R-MN 02), Dave Brat (R-VA 07), Scott Taylor (R-VA 02), Barbara Comstock (R-VA 10), and Kevin Yoder (R-KS 03). (The Hill)

What We're Following See More »
AVOIDS SHUTDOWN WITH A FEW HOURS TO SPARE
Trump Signs Border Deal
1 weeks ago
THE LATEST

"President Trump signed a sweeping spending bill Friday afternoon, averting another partial government shutdown. The action came after Trump had declared a national emergency in a move designed to circumvent Congress and build additional barriers at the southern border, where he said the United States faces 'an invasion of our country.'"

Source:
REDIRECTS $8 BILLION
Trump Declares National Emergency
1 weeks ago
THE DETAILS

"President Donald Trump on Friday declared a state of emergency on the southern border and immediately direct $8 billion to construct or repair as many as 234 miles of a border barrier. The move — which is sure to invite vigorous legal challenges from activists and government officials — comes after Trump failed to get the $5.7 billion he was seeking from lawmakers. Instead, Trump agreed to sign a deal that included just $1.375 for border security."

Source:
COULD SOW DIVISION AMONG REPUBLICANS
House Will Condemn Emergency Declaration
1 weeks ago
THE DETAILS

"House Democrats are gearing up to pass a joint resolution disapproving of President Trump’s emergency declaration to build his U.S.-Mexico border wall, a move that will force Senate Republicans to vote on a contentious issue that divides their party. House Judiciary Committee Chairman Jerrold Nadler (D-N.Y.) said Thursday evening in an interview with The Washington Post that the House would take up the resolution in the coming days or weeks. The measure is expected to easily clear the Democratic-led House, and because it would be privileged, Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) would be forced to put the resolution to a vote that he could lose."

Source:
MILITARY CONSTRUCTION, DRUG FORFEITURE FUND
Where Will the Emergency Money Come From?
1 weeks ago
THE DETAILS

"ABC News has learned the president plans to announce on Friday his intention to spend about $8 billion on the border wall with a mix of spending from Congressional appropriations approved Thursday night, executive action and an emergency declaration. A senior White House official familiar with the plan told ABC News that $1.375 billion would come from the spending bill Congress passed Thursday; $600 million would come from the Treasury Department's drug forfeiture fund; $2.5 billion would come from the Pentagon's drug interdiction program; and through an emergency declaration: $3.5 billion from the Pentagon's military construction budget."

Source:
TRUMP SAYS HE WILL SIGN
House Passes Funding Deal
1 weeks ago
THE DETAILS

"The House passed a massive border and budget bill that would avert a shutdown and keep the government funded through the end of September. The Senate passed the measure earlier Thursday. The bill provides $1.375 billion for fences, far short of the $5.7 billion President Trump had demanded to fund steel walls. But the president says he will sign the legislation, and instead seek to fund his border wall by declaring a national emergency."

Source:
×
×

Welcome to National Journal!

You are currently accessing National Journal from IP access. Please login to access this feature. If you have any questions, please contact your Dedicated Advisor.

Login