The national political environment is still a variable with Election Day exactly five months away, but this week was a significant mile marker in the fight for the House majority.
Unless outstanding mail-in ballots alter the primary night results, Democrats will have avoided disaster in California and emerged with viable candidates in more than a dozen top targets across three of the states holding primaries on Super Tuesday.
The matchups are all but set for showdowns from Orange County and the Central Valley to Iowa and New Jersey, where well-funded contenders, a potentially favorable national climate, and suburban distaste for President Trump give the party a chance to get more than halfway to the 23 seats needed for a majority.
Four could conceivably come from the Garden State alone, where Democrats hope to capitalize on a couple of helpful Republican retirements and a pair of vulnerable incumbents. They’ll have to unseat members to pick up either of their two targets in Iowa, while California provides a smorgasbord of options, including seven GOP-held districts that voted for Hillary Clinton.
— Kyle Trygstad