Republicans have held a 9-5 seat advantage in the Michigan House delegation since the state lost one through reapportionment following the 2010 census. But Democrats hope to chop that margin down in a cycle when as many as five GOP-held seats could be competitive.
Tuesday’s candidate filing deadline set in stone the Aug. 7 primary lineups for those races, as well as for an open governor race and the Republican primary to take on Sen. Debbie Stabenow, who is one of 10 Democrats seeking reelection in a state President Trump carried. Of those two statewide contests, term-limited Republican Gov. Rick Snyder’s seat looks at this point like the more likely of the two to flip.
The top House race to watch is in the 11th District, where GOP Rep. Dave Trott is retiring and which Trump won with 49 percent of the vote. The other four feature Republican incumbents who were all outraised by a Democrat in the first quarter: Jack Bergman, Fred Upton, Tim Walberg, and Mike Bishop.
Bishop and his top Democratic challenger Elissa Slotkin, a former Defense Department official, both ended March with more than $1.3 million on hand.
— Kyle Trygstad