RACE FOR THE HOUSE | AK-0 | MD-1 | NJ-4 | OH-15 | SC-5 | TX-31 | WI-7 | AR-2 | CA-4 | CA-10 | FL-7 | FL-16 | FL-18 | IL-12 | IN-2 | MI-6 | MN-3 | MO-2 | NC-13 | NH-1 | NY-11 | NY-22 | OR-5 | PA-7 | TX-21 | VA-2 | VA-7 | NJ-2 | KY-6 | PA-18 | PA-11

DCCC Expands Target List to 101 Districts

The Cook Political Report shifted its House ratings to favor Democrats in 21 districts.

Ally Mutnick
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Ally Mutnick
Feb. 9, 2018, 10:42 a.m.

The DCCC added several new districts to its target list, bringing their offensive battlefield to 101 districts. The new additions are seats held by Reps. Don Young (AK-AL), Andy Harris (MD-01), Chris Smith (NJ-04), Steve Stivers (OH-15), Ralph Norman (SC-05), John Carter (TX-31) and Sean Duffy (WI-07). The committee has also expanded its field program. It plans to deploy 33 percent more field staff by Election Day 2018 than in 2016, and will build out voter registration programs in 33 states. (release)

The DCCC’s own polling of key districts has been more promising than national trends, showing President Donald Trump underwater not just in the 23 GOP-held districts Hillary Clinton won, but also in the more than 60 districts Trump won, and the 11 where retirements have left the seat open. Democrats are now fielding candidates in all but 12 of the 238 districts held by Republicans, according to Lujan, including in places like Alabama, where Democrats are competing in every single district for the first time in years.” (NBC News)

COOK RATINGS. The Cook Political Report changed ratings to favor Democrats in 21 House races. As House races editor Dave Wasserman pointed out, this marks the first time all cycle that there are 24 GOP-held seats in either the “Toss Up” or the “Lean Democratic” column. Democrats need 24 seats to take the House. The ratings changes:

AR-02, held by Rep. French Hill (R), moved from “Solid Republican” to “Likely Republican”

CA-04, held by Rep. Tom McClintock (R), moved from “Solid Republican” to “Likely Republican”

CA-10, held by Rep. Jeff Denham (R), moved from “Lean Republican” to “Toss Up”

FL-07, held by Rep. Stephanie Murphy (D), moved from “Lead Democratic” to “Likely Democratic”

FL-16, held by Rep. Vern Buchanan (R), moved from “Solid Republican” to “Likely Republican”

FL-18, held by Rep. Brian Mast (R), moved from “Likely Republican” to “Lean Republican”

IL-12, held by Rep. Mike Bost (R), moved from “Lean Republican” to “Toss Up”

IN-02, held by Rep. Jackie Walorski (R), moved from “Solid Republican” to “Likely Republican”

MI-06, held by Rep. Fred Upton (R), moved from “Solid Republican” to “Likely Republican”

MN-03, held by Rep. Erik Paulsen (R), moved from “Lean Republican” to “Toss Up”

MO-02, held by Rep. Ann Wagner (R), moved from “Solid Republican” to “Likely Republican”

NC-13, held by Rep. Ted Budd (R), moved from “Likely Republican” to “Lean Republican”

NH-01, an open seat, moved from “Toss Up” to “Lean Democratic”

NJ-02, an open seat, moved from “Toss Up” to “Lean Democratic”

NY-11, held by Rep. Dan Donovan (R), moved from “Likely Republican” to “Lean Republican”

NY-22, held by Rep. Claudia Tenney (R), moved from “Lean Republican” to “Toss Up”

OR-05, held by Rep. Kurt Schrader (R), moved from “Likely Democratic” to “Solid Democratic”

PA-07, an open seat, moved from “Toss Up” to “Lean Democratic”

TX-21, an open seat, moved from “Solid Republican” to “Likely Republican”

VA-02, held by Rep. Scott Taylor (R), moved from “Likely Republican” to “Lean Republican”

VA-07, held by Rep. Dave Brat (R), moved from “Likely Republican” to “Lean Republican”

SHOW OF SUPPORT. The Blue Dog Coalition PAC endorsed four more candidates in the 2018 cycle: former federal prosecutor Conor Lamb (D) in the PA-18 special election; Lexington Mayor Jim Gray (D) in KY-06, state Sen. Jeff Van Drew (D) in NJ-02, and former agricutlure secretary Dennis Wolff (D) in the open PA-11. (Real Clear Politics)

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