RACE FOR THE HOUSE | IL-5 | KS-4 | HI-1 | NY-21 | NJ-4 | CA-49 | NY-24 | ME-2 | NJ-2 | WI-1 | TX-32 | TX-7 | NY-19 | NJ-11 | NJ-7 | NE-2 | MN-3 | MI-6 | IL-6 | FL-26 | CA-48 | CA-25 | PA-6 | NY-22 | NV-3 | NC-9 | MN-2 | MI-8 | KS-2 | IL-12 | IA-1 | CO-6 | AZ-2

DCCC Names 11 Candidates to Red to Blue Program

New polling from Patriot Majority USA shows 12 incumbents trailing Democratic opponents.

Add to Briefcase
Ally Mutnick
Nov. 15, 2017, 9:48 a.m.

The DCCC named 11 candidates to the first round of its Red to Blue program, which offers extra assistance to strong recruits. The additions: Former Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick (D-01) in AZ-02; former Army Ranger Jason Crow in CO-06; state Rep. Abby Finkenauer in IA-01; St. Clair County State’s Attorney Brendan Kelly in IL-12; 2014 gubernatorial nominee Paul Davis in the open KS-02 seat; former Defense official Elissa Slotkin in MI-08; 2016 nominee Angie Craig in MN-02; Marine veteran Dan McCready in NC-09; 2016 NV-04 candidate Susie Lee in the open NV-03 seat; state Assemblyman Anthony Brindisi in NY-22; and Air Force veteran Chrissy Houlahan in PA-06.

The program will be led by DCCC Recruitment Chairman Denny Heck and Vice Chairwoman Katherine Clark. “This cycle’s first round is earlier than last cycle’s when the first 16 candidates were named in early February of the on-year. Additional rounds of Red to Blue candidates for 2018 will be rolled out more frequently and in more targeted batches than in previous election cycles.” (Roll Call)

BY THE NUMBERS. Public Policy Polling conducted polls in 14 House districts for Patriot Majority USA, with 12 of those polls showing incumbents losing to a named or generic Democratic challenger. The group also polled in retiring Rep. Frank LoBiondo’s (R-NJ 02) seat and found promising news for Democrats. The breakdowns:

CA-25: Rep. Steve Knight (R) trails a generic Democrat 38 percent to 50 percent in the IVR poll (Nov. 8-9; 576 voters; +/- 4%). Slightly more than half of voters in his district said they would be less likely to vote for him if he voted for the House GOP tax reform bill.

CA-48: Rep. Dana Rohrabacher (R) trails a generic Democrat 41 percent to 51 percent in an IVR poll (Nov. 8-10; 531 voters; +/- 4.3%) of the district.

FL-26: Rep. Carlos Curbelo (R) trails a generic Democrat 39 percent to 53 percent in an IVR poll (Nov. 8-9; 522 voters; +/- 4.3%) of his district. Slightly more than half of those voters district said they would be less likely to vote for him if he voted for the House GOP tax reform bill.

IL-06: Rep. Peter Roskam (R) trails a generic Democrat 41 percent to 51 percent in an IVR poll (Nov. 9-10; 599 voters; +/- 4%) of his district and 54 percent said they would be less likely to vote for him if he voted for the House GOP tax reform bill.

MI-06: Rep. Fred Upton (R) beat a generic Democrat 42 percent to 41 percent in an IVR poll (Nov. 8-9; 681 voters; +/- 3.8%) of his district and half of voters said they would be less likely to vote for him if he voted for the House GOP tax reform bill.

MN-03: Rep. Erik Paulsen (R) trails gelato tycoon Dean Phillips (D) 46 percent to 42 percent in an IVR poll (Nov. 9-10; 542 voters; +/- 4.2%) of his district and 52 percent said they would be less likely to vote for him if he voted for the House GOP tax reform bill.

NE-02: Rep. Don Bacon (R) trails former Rep. Brad Ashford (D) 49 percent to 40 percent in an IVR poll (Nov. 8-9; 535 voters; +/- 4.2%) of the district

NJ-07: Rep. Leonard Lance (R) trails a generic Democrat 42 percent to 41 percent in the IVR poll (Nov. 8-9; 528 voters; +/- 4.3%) and 54 percent said they would be less likely to vote for him if he voted for the House GOP tax reform bill.

NJ-11: Rep. Rodney Frelinghuysen (R) trails a generic Democrat 46 percent to 44 percent in an IVR poll (Nov. 8-9; 710 voters; +/- 3.7%) and 56 percent said they would be less likely to vote for him if he voted for the House GOP tax reform bill.

NY-19: Rep. John Faso (R) loses to a generic Democrat 40 percent to 46 percent in an IVR poll (Nov. 9-10; 506 voters; +/- 4.4 percent) and 53 percent said they would be less likely to vote for him if he voted for the House GOP tax reform bill.

NY-22: State Assemblyman Anthony Brindisi (D) leads Rep. Claudia Tenney 47 percent to 41 percent in an IVR poll (Nov. 9-10; 599 voters; +/- 4%) and half of voters said they would be less likely to vote for him if he voted for the House GOP tax reform bill.

TX-07: Rep. John Culberson (R) lags behind a Democratic opponent 39 percent to 49 percent in an IVR poll (Nov. 8-10; 518 voters; +/- 4.3%) and 53 percent said they would be less likely to vote for him if he voted for the House GOP tax reform bill.

TX-32: Rep. Pete Sessions (R) would lost to a Democratic opponent 48 percent to 43 percent in an IVR poll (Nov. 8-9; 534 voters; +/- 4.2%) and 51 percent said they would be less likely to vote for him if he voted for the House GOP tax reform bill.

WI-01: Speaker Paul Ryan (R) leads ironworker Randy Bryce 46 percent to 39 percent in an IVR poll (Nov. 9-10; 549 voters; +/- 4.2%) with 69 percent of voters reporting they don’t know who Bryce is.

In the open NJ-02 seat, a generic Republican trains a generic Democrat 39 percent to 44 percent in an IVR poll (Nov. 8-10: 565 voters; +/- 4.1%) of the district. (release)

A Quinnipiac poll (Nov. 7-13; 1,5777 voters; +/- 3%) found “American voters say” 51 percent to 38 percent “that they would like to see Democrats win control of the U.S. House of Representatives in 2018.” (release)

ON THE AIR. The League of Conservation Voters “announced a $550,000 TV ad campaign urging Congress to oppose Republican leadership’s attempt to drill in the iconic Arctic National Wildlife Refuge as part of the tax bill. The ads are running in the DC market and the districts of Paulsen, and Reps. Bruce Poliquin (R-ME 02) and John Katko (R-NY 24).

TAX REFORM. “Democrats on Tuesday found a new way to argue that the GOP tax bill will hurt the middle class when Republicans announced their legislation would eliminate Obamacare’s individual mandate penalty. Republicans said the penalty is hurting lower-income earners who cannot afford the rising price of insurance premiums and are then forced to pay what the Supreme Court has said is an Obamacare ‘tax.’” (Washington Examiner)

CALIFORNIA. “The 14 House Republicans representing California districts are under intense pressure from constituents, local elected officials and, in many cases, prospective Democratic opponents over provisions that could raise taxes for many residents of the high-tax, high-cost-of-living state. But so far, only one” — Rep. Darrell Issa (R-49) — “has come out against the bill as written; the others have either declared their support or say they are still reviewing the bill ahead of the House vote tentatively scheduled for Thursday.” (Washington Post)

ME-02. “Citing a desire to help families and spur growth,” Poliquin “said Tuesday he plans to vote in favor of a controversial tax bill Thursday that critics say favors the wealthiest Americans.” (Lewiston Sun Journal)

NEW JERSEY. Rep. Chris Smith (R-04) “joined colleagues Frank LoBiondo and Leonard Lance as ‘no’ votes on the proposed House bill. A vote on the measure by the full House is expected Thursday.” (Burlington County Times)

NEW YORK. “New York Republicans are making a last-minute attempt to save a tax deduction that heavily benefits homeowners, but the prospects of a compromise are looking increasingly unlikely, key lawmakers say. … Rep. Peter King (R) “said the New Yorkers’ proposed compromise — retain the deduction for four years for everyone, keep it after that for those who earn $400,000 or less annually — didn’t fly with GOP leaders. ‘No, I don’t think so at all,” said King. ‘They think they have the votes. So there was no hint of compromise.’” (Newsday)

Rep. Elise Stefanik (R-21) said she won’t vote for the bill because of the SALT deduction clause. (Syracuse Post-Standard)

Katko “told constituents during a telephone town hall meeting Tuesday that he is ‘leaning towards’ supporting the House tax reform bill. … Katko believes reducing the corporate tax rate will boost employment in his district. He met with IBM executives who told him that the company will bring 25,000 more jobs to the U.S. if the tax reform legislation is adopted.” (Auburn Citizen)

ON BOARD. The Underdog PAC, a political arm of Justice Democrats, has backed four House challengers: state Rep. Kaniela Ing (D) who is running in the open HI-01 seat; 2017 nominee James Thompson (D) in KS-04; law pro­fess­or Ant­oinette Se­dillo Lopez (D) in the open NM-01 race; and tenant advocate Sameena Mustafa running in IL-05. (release)

×
×

Welcome to National Journal!

You are currently accessing National Journal from IP access. Please login to access this feature. If you have any questions, please contact your Dedicated Advisor.

Login