RACE FOR THE HOUSE

Dems Up 10 Points on PPP Generic Ballot

Internal DCCC polling shows voters trust Democrats on tax reform.

Nov. 1, 2017, 10:54 a.m.

Democrats lead Republicans on a generic congressional ballot by 10 points, 50 to 40 percent in a Public Policy Polling survey (Live Caller + IVR). And 41 percent in the survey (Oct. 27-29; 572 RVs; +/- 4.1%) said they would be less likely to vote for a member of Congress that backed the GOP tax reform plan, compared to 26 percent who said they would be more likely. (release)

TAX REFORM. Internal DCCC polling shows voters trust Democrats on tax reform by a margin of 53 percent to 47 percent. “This is a jump from last month, when Republicans led Democrats with trust on tax reform, 52 percent to 48 percent. The internal poll also showed Democrats leading Republicans on taxes and government spending by 3 percentage points.” (Politico)

LONG READ. “The Democratic Party now has more candidates than it can support, and next spring is likely to be a season of what national Democratic officials tactfully refer to as ‘messy primaries.’ And even with” President “Trump as a foil,” some “candidates were struggling to make a case for themselves. ‘Right now it’s such a target-rich environment for us,’ former DCCC deputy executive director Ian Russell said. But ‘we’re having trouble explaining why we’re the heroes and the Republicans are the villains. At some point, our narrative will have to become more coherent than it is now.’” (New York Times Magazine)

ADVICE FROM ISRAEL. “If you’re one of the coveted swing voters in a low-turnout midterm election … those voters don’t wake up and go to bed with Mueller and Manafort on their minds. For them, it’s about their economic mobility and the futures of their children. … Democrats, meanwhile, can’t make the mistake of chomping at the Trump bait and helping him obfuscate the issues.” (CNN)

MONEY MATTERS. Pelosi will attend a fundraiser in Rhode Island on Sunday to benefit the DCCC. “Tickets run as high as $33,900 to attend a VIP reception along with dinner. … The lowest-dollar tickets are $1,000 for dinner guests.” (WPRI)

CANDIDATE TALK. Inside Election’s Nathan Gonzales interviewed 16 House candidates in two days. One takeaway: “Nancy Pelosi causes smart people to say strange things. Whenever we brought up the former speaker and whether she should continue to be the leader of the House Democrats, candidates were often flummoxed that we would even ask. These smart and successful challengers with advanced degrees, some of whom were involved in military operations in foreign theaters, suddenly lost the ability to think in advance and address a reasonable situation that could happen 12 months from now.” (Roll Call)

What We're Following See More »
AVOIDS SHUTDOWN WITH A FEW HOURS TO SPARE
Trump Signs Border Deal
2 days ago
THE LATEST

"President Trump signed a sweeping spending bill Friday afternoon, averting another partial government shutdown. The action came after Trump had declared a national emergency in a move designed to circumvent Congress and build additional barriers at the southern border, where he said the United States faces 'an invasion of our country.'"

Source:
REDIRECTS $8 BILLION
Trump Declares National Emergency
2 days ago
THE DETAILS

"President Donald Trump on Friday declared a state of emergency on the southern border and immediately direct $8 billion to construct or repair as many as 234 miles of a border barrier. The move — which is sure to invite vigorous legal challenges from activists and government officials — comes after Trump failed to get the $5.7 billion he was seeking from lawmakers. Instead, Trump agreed to sign a deal that included just $1.375 for border security."

Source:
COULD SOW DIVISION AMONG REPUBLICANS
House Will Condemn Emergency Declaration
2 days ago
THE DETAILS

"House Democrats are gearing up to pass a joint resolution disapproving of President Trump’s emergency declaration to build his U.S.-Mexico border wall, a move that will force Senate Republicans to vote on a contentious issue that divides their party. House Judiciary Committee Chairman Jerrold Nadler (D-N.Y.) said Thursday evening in an interview with The Washington Post that the House would take up the resolution in the coming days or weeks. The measure is expected to easily clear the Democratic-led House, and because it would be privileged, Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) would be forced to put the resolution to a vote that he could lose."

Source:
MILITARY CONSTRUCTION, DRUG FORFEITURE FUND
Where Will the Emergency Money Come From?
2 days ago
THE DETAILS

"ABC News has learned the president plans to announce on Friday his intention to spend about $8 billion on the border wall with a mix of spending from Congressional appropriations approved Thursday night, executive action and an emergency declaration. A senior White House official familiar with the plan told ABC News that $1.375 billion would come from the spending bill Congress passed Thursday; $600 million would come from the Treasury Department's drug forfeiture fund; $2.5 billion would come from the Pentagon's drug interdiction program; and through an emergency declaration: $3.5 billion from the Pentagon's military construction budget."

Source:
TRUMP SAYS HE WILL SIGN
House Passes Funding Deal
3 days ago
THE DETAILS

"The House passed a massive border and budget bill that would avert a shutdown and keep the government funded through the end of September. The Senate passed the measure earlier Thursday. The bill provides $1.375 billion for fences, far short of the $5.7 billion President Trump had demanded to fund steel walls. But the president says he will sign the legislation, and instead seek to fund his border wall by declaring a national emergency."

Source:
×
×

Welcome to National Journal!

You are currently accessing National Journal from IP access. Please login to access this feature. If you have any questions, please contact your Dedicated Advisor.

Login