SPOTLIGHT

From the House to the Senate

Sen. John McCain, R-Ariz., left, Rep. John Fleming, R-La., and Senate candidate, Rep. Bill Cassidy, R-La., right, wait to speak at a campaign stop at VFW Post 5951 in Bossier City, La., Monday, Oct. 13, 2014.
AP Photo/Gerald Herbert
Andrea Drusch
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Andrea Drusch
Nov. 4, 2016, 6:54 a.m.

Just two of the 14 House mem­bers who sought Sen­ate seats this cycle are favored to win with less than a week to go. Reps. Chris Van Hol­len of Mary­land and Tammy Duck­worth of Illinois are the only mem­bers hold­ing sig­ni­fic­ant leads, while Flor­ida Rep. Ron De­S­antis is the only failed Sen­ate can­did­ate poised for reelec­tion to his House seat.

Reps. Joe Heck of Nevada and Todd Young of In­di­ana, are dead­locked in com­pet­it­ive Sen­ate races that are cent­ral to de­term­in­ing who holds the ma­jor­ity, while Flor­ida Rep. Patrick Murphy trails Sen. Marco Ru­bio by a few points. Ari­zona Rep. Ann Kirk­patrick chal­lenged Sen. John Mc­Cain after her House dis­trict was re­shaped, but Mc­Cain holds a sol­id lead.

In Cali­for­nia and Louisi­ana, both of which hold un­usu­al top-two primar­ies, three House mem­bers are run­ning be­hind statewide-elec­ted of­fi­cials from their own party. Pub­lic polling shows a dif­fi­cult path for either of Reps. Charles Bous­tany or John Flem­ing to ad­vance to Louisi­ana’s Dec. 10 run­off. Re­pub­lic­an state Treas­urer John Kennedy leads the pack and could face an easy race against either of two lead­ing Demo­crats. Mean­while Cali­for­nia Rep. Lor­etta Sanc­hez, who ad­vanced from a June primary with Demo­crat­ic state At­tor­ney Gen­er­al Kamala Har­ris, trails her Pres­id­ent Obama-en­dorsed op­pon­ent by double di­gits.

Reps. Marlin Stutz­man of In­di­ana, Alan Grayson of Flor­ida, and Donna Ed­wards of Mary­land lost primar­ies earli­er this year to fel­low mem­bers of Con­gress. Flor­ida Rep. Dav­id Jolly, like De­S­antis, re­turned to his House race after Ru­bio an­nounced his plans to seek reelec­tion. But Jolly’s seat was re­dis­tric­ted to add a sig­ni­fic­ant num­ber of Demo­crats, mak­ing him the un­der­dog against former Gov. Charlie Crist.

If Ru­bio wins, all three sen­at­ors who ran for pres­id­ent, in­clud­ing Texas Sen. Ted Cruz and Ken­tucky Sen. Rand Paul, who is also up for reelec­tion this year, will re­main in the Sen­ate. Should Vir­gin­ia Sen. Tim Kaine be­come vice pres­id­ent, the spe­cial elec­tion a year from now could be between a Re­pub­lic­an con­gress­man and a former House Demo­crat ap­poin­ted to the Sen­ate in Janu­ary.

An­drea Drusch

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