Which Republican senator is the most vulnerable to a primary challenge?
DEMOCRATS (91 VOTES)
Lindsey Graham: 39%
Mitch McConnell: 37%
Lamar Alexander: 12%
Michael Enzi: 9%
John Cornyn: 3%
“Because of his historical leadership on issues like immigration and a persona that is more pragmatic than the tea party.”
“He’s taken every side of every issue. He’s the Senate’s version of a weather vane in a tornado.”
“There are four people in the primary, and he has to get 50 percent or there will be a runoff. Runoffs are dangerous territory for an incumbent.”
“Rand Paul beat a McConnell candidate in 2010, and I think a tea-party candidate could beat the establishment D.C. candidate in Kentucky.”
“McConnell’s leadership position in a Congress that people hate makes him vulnerable. He will probably have to cut some kind of deal with the president on the debt-limit increase, which will make him a pariah to the tea-party activists who will dominate the GOP primary in Kentucky. And he has a wealthy primary challenger.”
“Isn’t it standing policy to run all moderates out of the GOP? While not all that moderate, isn’t Lamar next in line?”
“For no other reason than his opponent is raising a lot of money.”
“It is a close call as to whether Texas or South Carolina has more lunatics in a Republican primary, but Texas wins by a hair.”
Which Republican senator is the most vulnerable to a primary challenge?
REPUBLICANS (101 VOTES)
Lindsey Graham: 54%
Mitch McConnell: 17%
Lamar Alexander: 5%
Michael Enzi: 21%
John Cornyn: 4%
“South Carolina is the reddest of the red states, and Graham is getting hit hard, but the good news for him is that all of his opponents are clowns.”
“Lindsey is a classic moderate Republican, and that’s a tough philosophy if you come from South Carolina.”
“His bromance with John McCain doesn’t play well in South Carolina.”
“His support for Syria is just one of many reasons why Graham often finds himself out of touch with his constituencies.”
“Lindsey confuses Meet the Press with the base.”
“The Kentucky GOP is nuts.”
“A lot of Rand Paul primary voters won’t hold their noses.”
“The tea party seethes at the thought of McConnell being in power. A legitimate chance to throw him out of office would be nirvana.”
“My sense is that he could just tire of the nonsense and decide to not be bothered by it. That would be a political death sentence.”
“High-profile challenger with capability to raise money. It’s easier to change outcomes in a small election.”
“Lots of people like Cornyn but few love him, and being in leadership doesn’t help you win a primary.”
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The national polls, once again, tell very different stories: Clinton leads by just one point in the IBD, Rasmussen, and LA Times tracking polls, while she shows a commanding 12 point lead in the ABC news poll and a smaller but sizable five point lead in the CNN poll. The Republican Remington Research Group released a slew of polls showing Trump up in Ohio, Nevada, and North Carolina, a tie in Florida, and Clinton leads in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Virginia. However, an independent Siena poll shows Clinton up 7 in North Carolina, while a Monmouth poll shows Trump up one in Arizona
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Former Illinois GOP Congressman Aaron Schock "recently agreed to pay a $10,000 fine for making an excessive solicitation for a super PAC that was active in his home state of Illinois four years ago." Schock resigned from Congress after a story about his Downton Abbey-themed congressional office raised questions about how he was using taxpayer dollars.