Political Insiders Poll

Jeb Bush.
National Journal
Peter Bell, Sarah Mimms and Michael Catalini
Add to Briefcase
See more stories about...
Peter Bell Sarah Mimms and Michael Catalini
June 18, 2014, 4 p.m.

Q: Who do you think will be the Re­pub­lic­an nom­in­ee in 2016?

DEMO­CRATS (90 votes)

Jeb Bush: 54%
Chris Christie: 2%
Ted Cruz: 1%
Bobby Jin­dal: 0%
John Kasich: 8%
Rand Paul: 10%
Mike Pence: 2%
Rick Perry: 4%
Marco Ru­bio: 2%
Paul Ry­an: 9%
Rick San­tor­um: 3%
Scott Walk­er: 4%
Oth­er: 1%

… … … .

Jeb Bush

Jeb Bush (Getty Im­ages)”If Bush runs, he has a bet­ter than 50-50 chance of get­ting the nom­in­a­tion.”

“The need to have a cred­ible can­did­ate will trump the oth­ers in the clown car.”

“It will be a tough ride. He is the es­tab­lish­ment fa­vor­ite, and they will win.”

“If he runs, he’ll be the nom­in­ee.”

“The GOP is tired of los­ing, and they will go with the es­tab­lish­ment can­did­ate.”

“If Jeb res­ists the urge to join the ‘me-too’ chants of the far-right can­did­ates, he can sur­vive the slug­fest and be­come a for­mid­able nom­in­ee. If not, it’s a jump ball.”

“There’s an­oth­er Bush in our polit­ic­al fu­ture.”

“They love the Bushes.”

John Kasich

“Kasich may be the true com­pas­sion­ate con­ser­vat­ive who can ap­peal broadly.”

“A per­son­able gov­ernor who has run be­fore and from Ohio, Ohio, Ohio.”

“This will be a de­moli­tion derby — Kasich may take it if Jeb stays in the stands.”

Rand Paul

“He has a base.”

“Re­pub­lic­ans will go where their heart is, and it’s all Paul.”

“He’s the smartest polit­ic­ally, and craft­i­est. He’s everything his fath­er wasn’t.”

Paul Ry­an

 “It has to be someone who can stand the scru­tiny. Ry­an had already stood the test.”

Scott Walk­er

“Bush will get cold feet or go all Gi­uliani. Paul is too weird, Ru­bio is too lame, and the rest are either noth­ing-bur­gers or freaks.”

“With Jeb play­ing Ham­let and Christie play­ing God­fath­er, the GOP es­tab­lish­ment will even­tu­ally co­alesce be­hind Scott Walk­er. The es­tab­lish­ment will not let the oth­ers win.”

Oth­er

“Rick Scott from Flor­ida.”

Q: Who do you think will be the Re­pub­lic­an nom­in­ee in 2016?

RE­PUB­LIC­ANS (92 votes)

Jeb Bush: 44%
Chris Christie: 11%
Ted Cruz: 2%
Bobby Jin­dal: 1%
John Kasich: 4%
Rand Paul: 2%
Mike Pence: 1%
Rick Perry: 1%
Marco Ru­bio: 22%
Paul Ry­an: 3%
Rick San­tor­um: 0%
Scott Walk­er: 8%
Oth­er: 1%

… … … .

Jeb Bush

“If it’s not him, we are doomed.”

“If the Clin­ton name isn’t dis­qual­i­fy­ing, neither is the Bush name.”

“The most adult can­did­ate — and prob­ably the best of all the Bushes.”

“Best fits the pro­file of all GOP primary win­ners for the past three dec­ades.”

“As gov­ernor, Bush was known in con­ser­vat­ive circles as ‘the Re­agan Bush.’ If he can re­vive that iden­tity, he can unite the party.”

“Jeb Bush with Rand Paul as VP.”

“This is more of a ‘should be’ rather than a ‘will be’ pick.”

Chris Christie

“Christie emerges from the over-hyped bridge-clos­ing is­sue and shows Re­pub­lic­ans what a full-spec­trum con­ser­vat­ive can ac­com­plish when prag­mat­ism and mov­ing the ball for­ward tri­umphs over lit­mus tests that keep us from even break­ing the huddle.”

“He is still re­cov­er­ing, but the Dems wer­en’t able to sink him.”

“Only Bush and Christie have a chance against Hil­lary.”

Ted Cruz

“After los­ing their shirts in this year’s primary battles, the ex­treme ele­ments of the party will rise up and take over the pres­id­en­tial nom­in­at­ing con­test and start the jour­ney to the most over­whelm­ing gen­er­al-elec­tion de­feat in the coun­try’s his­tory.”

Bobby Jin­dal

“Jin­dal has demon­strated elect­or­al suc­cess in tough cir­cum­stances, has the most com­pel­ling story, is ideo­lo­gic­ally sound, and is the smartest one of the bunch.”

John Kasich

“Kasich’s brash prag­mat­ism has won over many Demo­crats in this crit­ic­al swing state. If he’s reelec­ted gov­ernor in Novem­ber, look out.”

Mike Pence

“Great story and keeps all the dif­fer­ent parts of the GOP [to­geth­er].”

Rick Perry

“Perry will pull a Nix­on and re­bound from a sear­ing de­feat to unite both wings of the party.”

Sen. Marco Ru­bio (Getty Im­ages)Marco Ru­bio

“Ru­bio’s polit­ic­al skills will gradu­ally over­come his dis­astrous flir­ta­tion with am­nesty.”

“Vis­ion, en­ergy, youth. Ru­bio is the fu­ture of the party, today.”

“Ru­bio could emerge as the more dis­cip­lined can­did­ate than Christie and with a bet­ter abil­ity to unite base voters and mod­er­ates than the rest of the field.”

“Pick­ing Ru­bio re­quires two as­sump­tions: 1) Jeb is out; 2) We want to keep a loss to Hil­lary to 3 points.”

Paul Ry­an

“He is tested and ac­cept­able to all fac­tions and gen­er­a­tion­ally right.”

“He’s a genu­inely smart per­son and a genu­ine con­ser­vat­ive. He’ll plug along, while the prima don­nas tear each oth­er up … and come out the win­ner.”

Scott Walk­er

“But is he Tim Pawlenty 2.0: great résumé that does not trans­late out­side his state?”

“Checks all the boxes. Won con­sist­ently in a swing state, fought hard on con­ser­vat­ive prin­ciples and pre­vailed.”

Oth­er

“This [ques­tion is] about a year pre­ma­ture. Might as well throw a dart.”

… … … .

Demo­crat­ic Polit­ic­al In­siders Jill Alp­er, John An­za­lone, Brad Ban­non, Dave Beat­tie, Andy Bech­hoe­fer, Cor­nell Belch­er, Matt Ben­nett, Mitchell W. Ber­ger, Mike Ber­man, Stephanie Bosh, Paul Brath­waite, Donna Brazile, Mark Brew­er, Ed Bruley, George Bruno, Bon­nie Camp­bell, Bill Car­rick, Guy Cecil, Mar­tin J. Chavez, Tony Coelho, Larry Co­hen, Jerry Craw­ford, Jeff Daniel­son, Peter Daou, Howard Dean, Scott De­Fife, Jim De­mers, Tad Dev­ine, Dav­id Di Mar­tino, Debbie Din­gell, Mon­ica Dix­on, Patrick Dor­ton, Pat Du­jakovich, An­ita Dunn, Jeff Eller, Steve El­men­d­orf, Carter Eskew, Vic Fazio, Peter Fenn, Scott Fer­son, Jim Fleischmann, Tina Flournoy, Don Fo­ley, Jef­frey For­bes, Vin­cent Fril­lici, Gina Glantz, Niles Godes, John Mi­chael Gonza­lez, Joe Grand­mais­on, Anna Green­berg, Stan Green­berg, Pat Griffin, Larry Griso­lano, Mi­chael Gron­stal, Lisa Grove, Mar­cia Hale, Jill Hanauer, Dick Har­poot­li­an, Paul Harstad, Laura Hartigan, Doug Hat­t­away, Mike Henry, Kar­en Hicks, Leo Hindery Jr., Har­old Ickes, Mar­cus Jadotte, John Jameson, Steve Jard­ing, Jona­thon Jones, Jim Jordan, Gale Kauf­man, Lisa Koun­toupes, Celinda Lake, Dav­id Lang, Penny Lee, Chris Le­hane, Jeff Link, Bob Malo­ney, Jim Man­ley, Steve Marchand, Jim Mar­gol­is, Paul Maslin, Keith Ma­son, Susan Mc­Cue, Ger­ald McEntee, Steve McMa­hon, Tom McMa­hon, Phil Mc­Namara, Dav­id Med­ina, Mi­chael Mee­han, Mark Mell­man, John Mer­rigan, Mi­chael Mon­roe, Steve Murphy, Janet Na­pol­it­ano, Dav­id Nas­sar, Mar­cia Nich­ols, John Nor­ris, Tom Ochs, Tom O’Don­nell, Jef­frey Peck, De­bora Pig­na­telli, Tony Podesta, Je­frey Pol­lock, Jack Quinn, Larry Rasky, Mame Re­iley, Ed Rendell, Steve Ric­chetti, Will Robin­son, Steve Rosenth­al, Dav­id Rudd, Ry­an Rudom­in­er, John Ry­an, Mi­chael Sar­geant, Stephanie Schriock, Terry Shu­maker, Sean Sin­clair, Phil Sing­er, Erik Smith, Doug Sosnik, Greg Speed, Darry Sragow, Ken Strasma, Doug Thor­nell, Jef­frey Tram­mell, Ed Tur­l­ing­ton, Rick Wien­er, James Wil­li­ams, JoDee Win­ter­hof, Bri­an Wolff, Jon Young­dahl, and Jim Zo­gby.

GOP Polit­ic­al In­siders Dan Al­len, Stan An­der­son, Gary An­dres, Saul­i­us (Saul) Anuzis, Rich Ashooh, Whit Ayres, Brett Bader, Mitch Bain­wol, Bri­an Baker, Gary Bauer, Dav­id Beck­with, Paul Ben­necke, Clark Ben­son, Wayne Ber­man, Bri­an Bieron, Charlie Black, Kirk Bla­lock, Car­mine Boal, Jeff Boeyink, Ron Bon­jean, Jeff Bu­ley, Luke Byars, Nick Calio, Al Carde­n­as, Danny Car­roll, Alex Cas­tel­lanos, Ron Christie, Jim Cic­coni, Jonath­an Col­le­gio, Rob Collins, Cesar Conda, Jake Cor­man, Scott Cot­ting­ton, Jay Cran­ford, Greg Crist, Di­ane Crookham-John­son, Fer­gus Cul­len, Tom Dav­is, Mike Den­nehy, Ken Duber­stein, Debi Durham, Sara Fa­gen, Frank Fahren­kopf, John Fee­hery, Don Fierce, Mindy Finn, Carl Forti, Alex Gage, Bruce A. Gates, Sam Geduldig, Adam Geller, Ben­jamin Gins­berg, Dav­id Gir­ard-di­Carlo, Bill Green­er, Jonath­an Grella, Lanny Grif­fith, Janet Mullins Gris­som, Doug Gross, Todd Har­ris, Steve Hart, Chris­toph­er Healy, Ral­ph Hell­mann, Chris Hen­ick, Terry Holt, Dav­id Ian­nel­li, Ed Ingle, Jim In­no­cenzi, Clark Judge, Dav­id Keat­ing, Dav­id Ken­sing­er, Bob Kjel­lander, Ed Kut­ler, Chris La­Civ­ita, Jim Lake, Steven Law, Steve Lom­bardo, Kev­in Mad­den, Joel Maiola, Gary Malo­ney, Dav­id Mar­in, Mary Matal­in, Dan Mat­toon, Bri­an Mc­Cor­mack, Mark McKin­non, Kyle Mc­Slar­row, Ken Mehl­man, Jim Mer­rill, Lisa Cam­ooso Miller, Tim Mor­ris­on, Mike Murphy, Phil Musser, Ron Nehring, Terry Nel­son, Neil Ne­w­house, Dav­id Nor­cross, Zi­ad Ojakli, Jack Oliv­er, Todd Olsen, Kev­in O’Neill, Con­nie Par­toy­an, Billy Piper, Van B. Poole, Tom Rath, Scott Reed, Dav­id Rehr, Tom Reyn­olds, Steve Roberts, Jason Roe, Dav­id Roeder­er, Dan Schnur, Russ Schriefer, Rich Schwarm, Brent Seaborn, Rick Shelby, An­drew Shore, Kev­in Shuvalov, Don Sipple, Ken Spain, Fred Steep­er, Bob Steven­son, Terry Sul­li­van, Dav­id Tamasi, Eric Tan­en­blatt, Richard Temple, Heath Thompson, Jay Tim­mons, War­ren Tomp­kins, Ted Van Der Meid, Dirk van Don­gen, Jan van Lo­huizen, Stew­art Ver­dery, Dick Wadhams, John Weaver, Lezlee West­ine, Dave Win­ston, Ginny Wolfe, Fred Wszolek, and Mat­thew Zablud.

What We're Following See More »
TALKING CLIMATE CHANGE
Al Gore Meeting with Ivanka Trump
49 minutes ago
THE LATEST
PLENTIFUL OIL RESERVES
Trump Native American Council Recommends Privatizing Indian Land
55 minutes ago
THE LATEST

A group advising Donald Trump on Native American issues is encouraging him to privatize Indian reservations, taking the land out of the hands of the "suffocating federal bureaucracy." Currently, tribes have rights to the land but don't own it, meaning they can drill, but only under strenuous government restriction. Markwayne Mullin, a Republican congressman from Oklahoma and a member of the Cherokee tribe thinks the plan would be supported by Native American tribes nationally.

Source:
IT’S OFFICIAL
Trump to Nominate Carson to Lead HUD
4 hours ago
THE LATEST

As has been rumored for a week, Donald Trump will nominate Ben Carson, his former rival, to lead the Department of Housing and Urban Development. In a statement, Trump said, "We have talked at length about my urban renewal agenda and our message of economic revival, very much including our inner cities. Ben shares my optimism about the future of our country and is part of ensuring that this is a Presidency representing all Americans. He is a tough competitor and never gives up."

Source:
TOO COSTLY, SAYS GREEN PARTY
Stein Drops Pennsylvania Recount
4 hours ago
THE LATEST

"Supporters of Green Party presidential candidate Jill Stein on Saturday withdrew a last-ditch lawsuit in Pennsylvania state court aimed at forcing a statewide ballot recount, another major setback in the effort to verify the votes in three states that provided President-elect Donald Trump his margin of victory. Ms. Stein’s campaign announced in a statement Saturday that the Pennsylvania lawsuit had been dropped after the court demanded that a $1 million bond be posted by the 100 Pennsylvania residents who brought the suit."

Source:
ANOTHER MORNING TWEETSTORM
Trump Threatens 35% Tariff on Companies that Move Overseas
4 hours ago
THE LATEST

In a series of early-morning tweets on Sunday, Donald Trump threatened companies that attempt to relocate out of the country. "Any business that leaves our country for another country, fires its employees, builds a new factory or plant in the other country, and then thinks it will sell its product back into the U.S. without retribution or consequence, is WRONG!," he wrote. "There will be a tax on our soon to be strong border of 35% for these companies."

Source:
×
×

Welcome to National Journal!

You are currently accessing National Journal from IP access. Please login to access this feature. If you have any questions, please contact your Dedicated Advisor.

Login