A LOOK AHEAD

Global Security Newswire Staff
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Global Security Newswire Staff
Feb. 7, 2014, 3:48 a.m.

What’s next on non­pro­lif­er­a­tion and in­ter­na­tion­al se­cur­ity, in Wash­ing­ton and around the globe.

— Feb. 10: The At­lantic Coun­cil will hold a for­um to dis­cuss this ques­tion: “Will a Coun­terter­ror­ism Op­er­a­tion in Pakistan Suc­ceed un­der Cur­rent Con­di­tions?” As the world awaits the rol­lout of Nawaz Sharif’s new se­cur­ity strategy, the Pakistani prime min­is­ter has tried to keep op­tions open for both dia­logue with, and war against, Tehrik-e Taliban Pakistan in­sur­gents. Speak­ers at the Wash­ing­ton event are Im­tiaz Gul, who dir­ects the Cen­ter for Re­search and Se­cur­ity Stud­ies in Is­lamabad, and Shuja Nawaz, head of the At­lantic Coun­cil’s South Asia Cen­ter.

— Feb. 10: The Stim­son Cen­ter in Wash­ing­ton takes its turn ad­dress­ing “Ir­an, The Deal and The Gulf.” Its pan­el of ex­perts will in­clude: Jean-Fran­cois Seznec of Johns Hop­kins Uni­versity’s School of Ad­vanced In­ter­na­tion­al Stud­ies; Mi­chael Con­nell of the Cen­ter for Nav­al Ana­lyses’ Ir­a­ni­an Stud­ies Pro­gram; and Geneive Abdo of the Stim­son Cen­ter’s Middle East Pro­gram. El­len Laipson, the cen­ter’s pres­id­ent and CEO, mod­er­ates.

— Feb. 10-12: The three-year-old Urani­um Film Fest­iv­al — which ori­gin­ates in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil — hits Wash­ing­ton’s Goethe In­sti­tute. Over the course of the glob­al fest­iv­al, par­ti­cipants will screen more than 60 movies about atom­ic power, ra­dio­activ­ity, urani­um min­ing, nuc­le­ar bombs and the dis­asters at Fukushi­ma, Ja­pan, and Chernobyl, Rus­sia. It all starts with “The Atom­ic States of Amer­ica,” a 92-minute doc­u­ment­ary that travels to com­munit­ies across the na­tion to gauge the im­pact of nuc­le­ar power on people’s lives. Some of the film­makers will be on hand to dis­cuss their work at the Wash­ing­ton events, as well as at ad­di­tion­al screen­ings when the fest­iv­al moves on to the Pa­vil­ion Theat­er in Brook­lyn, N.Y., Feb. 14-19.

— Feb. 11: U.S. Dir­ect­or of Na­tion­al In­tel­li­gence James Clap­per and De­fense In­tel­li­gence Agency Dir­ect­or Lt. Gen. Mi­chael Flynn will testi­fy be­fore the Sen­ate Armed Ser­vice Com­mit­tee about “Cur­rent and Fu­ture World­wide Threats.” The hear­ing likely will be­gin with un­clas­si­fied dis­cus­sion, but might go in­to closed ses­sion. Ex­pect some up­dated as­sess­ments about the status of al-Qaida and vari­ous af­fil­i­ated and un­af­fili­ated vi­ol­ent-ex­trem­ist net­works around the globe.

— Feb. 11: The U.S. House Home­land Se­cur­ity Sub­com­mit­tee on Coun­terter­ror­ism and In­tel­li­gence will con­vene a hear­ing on the pos­sib­il­ity that an ex­pan­sion in the pres­ence of al-Qaida in Egypt might height­en the ter­ror­ism threat to U.S. cit­ies.

— Feb. 11: Same day, dif­fer­ent Home­land Se­cur­ity Com­mit­tee pan­el. The U.S. House Home­land Se­cur­ity Sub­com­mit­tee on Emer­gency Pre­pared­ness, Re­sponse and Com­mu­nic­a­tions will as­sess the bi­o­ter­ror­ism threat.

— Feb. 11: Pres­id­ent Obama and the first lady Michelle Obama wel­come French Pres­id­ent François Hol­lande to the White House for a state vis­it. Bey­ond the vi­tal ques­tion of wheth­er Hol­lande will bring along his re­cently re­vealed new girl­friend, will he and Obama quietly ex­plore po­ten­tial con­tin­gency plans for the chance that Syr­ia will at­tempt to re­tain some of its most dan­ger­ous chem­ic­al weapons, which have been slated for elim­in­a­tion? Mean­time, Hol­lande last year called the spread of nuc­le­ar weapons a top threat to the Middle East.

— Feb. 11-14: Ex­chan­ge­Mon­it­or Pub­lic­a­tions will blow our minds again with its con­sist­ently com­pre­hens­ive and in­ter­est­ing an­nu­al “Nuc­le­ar De­terrence Sum­mit” in Ar­ling­ton, Va., just across the bridge from Wash­ing­ton. Head­liners in­clude U.S. Rep­res­ent­at­ive Mac Thorn­berry (R-Texas), the House Armed Ser­vices Com­mit­tee vice chair­man; Daniel Pone­man, the deputy En­ergy sec­ret­ary; Maj. Gen. Gar­rett Har­en­cak, the top Air Force brass for stra­tegic de­terrence and nuc­le­ar in­teg­ra­tion; Vice Adm. Terry Be­ne­dict, who dir­ects the Navy’s Stra­tegic Sys­tems Pro­grams; Rose Got­te­moeller, act­ing un­der­sec­ret­ary of State for arms con­trol and in­ter­na­tion­al se­cur­ity; and Bruce Held, act­ing head of the Na­tion­al Nuc­le­ar Se­cur­ity Ad­min­is­tra­tion.

— Feb. 13: Chath­am House in Lon­don is to host an event ex­plor­ing the “Im­ple­ment­a­tion of Eco­nom­ic Sanc­tions: Com­mer­cial and Pub­lic Policy Per­spect­ives.” Five is­sue ex­perts — in­clud­ing Richard Wood, deputy head of the U.K. For­eign and Com­mon­wealth Of­fice’s In­ter­na­tion­al Or­gan­iz­a­tions De­part­ment – will sit down with Chath­am House’s Eliza­beth Wilmshurst to “con­sider pub­lic and com­mer­cial per­spect­ives on eco­nom­ic sanc­tions, in­clud­ing dif­fer­ent view­points on is­sues of com­pli­ance, sanc­tions in prac­tice, and co­ordin­a­tion between the Brit­ish gov­ern­ment and its E.U. part­ners.”

— Feb. 13-14: Na­yar­it, Mex­ico, is the site of the Second Con­fer­ence on the Hu­man­it­ari­an Im­pact of Nuc­le­ar Weapons. This top­ic, say event plan­ners at Mex­ico’s For­eign Min­istry, “must be at the core of all de­lib­er­a­tions on nuc­le­ar dis­arm­a­ment and nuc­le­ar non-pro­lif­er­a­tion.” It fol­lows the first such gath­er­ing in Oslo, Nor­way, last March, where “par­ti­cipants un­an­im­ously con­cluded that there is no type of pre­par­a­tion and ca­pa­city in the world that can pro­tect the pop­u­la­tion of any city from the hu­man­it­ari­an cata­strophe of a nuc­le­ar ex­plo­sion.” The Mex­ico con­fab is to “broaden the dis­cus­sion about the dam­age and risks of nuc­le­ar weapons,” and will not aim to pro­duce a ne­go­ti­ated out­come but rather a “fac­tu­al sum­mary” by the chair­per­son.

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