After dominating last week’s primaries in the northeast, Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton are seeking knockout blows in Indiana. Here’s what you need to know before the results start rolling in Tuesday:
Poll times: The polls are open from 6 a.m. to 6 p.m. local time, so all polls in Indiana will close by 7 p.m. ET.
Results: The Associated Press will report the results here as they come in.
Delegates: The Republicans have 57 total delegates up for grabs, 30 of which go to the overall statewide winner. The other 27 are awarded to the top vote-getter in each of the state’s nine congressional districts. The Democrats have 83 pledged delegates at stake, as well as nine super delegates, who are free to support any candidate.
What to watch for: If recent polling is correct, Trump has an opportunity to sweep all 57 of Indiana’s delegates, which would be a devastating blow to Ted Cruz and the “Stop Trump” movement. An NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist survey found the real estate mogul with a 15-point lead over the senator from Texas. Trump should run particularly strong in the blue-collar 1st District, which is situated in the northwestern part of the state, and the 8th and 9th districts further south. Cruz’s best chance for success will likely come in the conservative 3rd District, located in the northeastern corner of the state, and the 5th District in central Indiana, which boasts the highest share of college-educated voters. Despite his pact with Cruz, John Kasich is still polling in the double-digits in Indiana and could rack up support in the eastern region, which shares a border with Ohio.
On the Democratic side, the race is looking as tight as it was in 2008. The NBC/WSJ poll showed Bernie Sanders trailing by 4 points to Clinton, who beat Barack Obama in Indiana by 1.4 points eight years ago. Obama performed best in the vote-rich counties of Marion (home to Indianapolis), Lake (home to Gary), and Allen (home to Fort Wayne), while Clinton largely cleaned up in the rest of the state. But this time, Clinton will likely run better in the population centers and Sanders in the more rural areas. The state’s open primary system should help the Vermont senator, who has been buoyed by independent voters throughout the campaign.
Looking ahead: After Tuesday, the June 7 California primary is the most important contest left on the calendar. Of the 445 GOP delegates still on the board after Tuesday, nearly 40 percent come from California. And the Golden State accounts for more than half of the remaining 926 pledged Democratic delegates.
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