The starting gun is ready to fire on the run of House members facing each other in Senate primaries. A total of 14 House members are running for Senate this year, and 10 of them must first dispatch with a fellow member of their state’s delegation before moving on to the general election.
— On Tuesday, the tense race between Democratic Reps. Chris Van Hollen and Donna Edwards will finally be decided. Van Hollen always looked to have the upper hand in both establishment support and money, but Edwards has benefited from a few million dollars in outside spending, including from EMILY’s List, and has kept the contest tantalizingly close. Van Hollen, a former DCCC chairman, has emphasized his effectiveness in Congress, something that could help him significantly in the D.C. area. This race nearly featured a third member, as Rep. Elijah Cummings didn’t announce he would seek reelection until early February, less than three months before the primary.
— Two members of the Republican wave class of 2010 are locked in a competitive battle in Indiana for the outsider mantle in the May 3 primary. An establishment-aligned super PAC is spending significantly to help Rep. Todd Young over the finish line. He might be aided by an Associated Press report last week that pointed out that Rep. Marlin Stutzman’s campaign since he entered Congress has spent about three times as much as Young’s on flights, vehicle charges, meals, and hotels. Young would be heavily favored in the general against Democratic former Rep. Baron Hill, Stutzman less so.
— Nearly four months later, on Aug. 30, two pairs of House members will tee off in the Republican and Democratic primaries in Florida. Rep. Patrick Murphy, who was endorsed by President Obama and the DSCC, has the upper hand in the Democratic race against ethically challenged Rep. Alan Grayson. The Republican side is a jumble, with Reps. David Jolly and Ron DeSantis, a member of the House Freedom Caucus, also facing the lieutenant governor, a defense contractor, and a wealthy real estate developer with strong ties to the governor.
Louisiana Reps. John Fleming and Charles Boustany will face off in the crowded jungle primary for the state’s open Senate seat on Nov. 8. Of the four other House members running for Senate, Reps. Tammy Duckworth, a Democrat in Illinois, and Joe Heck, a Republican in Nevada, stand the best chance in November. But two other Democrats are putting up a fight: Reps. Ann Kirkpatrick in Arizona and Loretta Sanchez, who could face a fellow Democrat, California Attorney General Kamala Harris, in the general.
— Kyle Trygstad