March 8 Primary Cheat Sheet

Everything you need to prepare for Tuesday’s contests.

Republican presidential candidate, businessman Donald Trump, second from left, gestures as Sen. Marco Rubio, R-Fla., Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas, and Ohio Gov. John Kasich watch him a Republican presidential primary debate at Fox Theatre, Thursday, March 3, 2016, in Detroit.
AP Photo/Paul Sancya
Adam Wollner
Add to Briefcase
Adam Wollner
March 7, 2016, 8 p.m.

Four states from very dif­fer­ent parts of the coun­try — Michigan, Mis­sis­sippi, Idaho and Hawaii — hold pres­id­en­tial nom­in­at­ing con­tests Tues­day. There are 150 del­eg­ates up for grabs on the Re­pub­lic­an side and 166 pledged del­eg­ates at stake for the Demo­crats. Here is what you need to know be­fore the res­ults start pour­ing in:

MICHIGAN PRIMARY

Poll Times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m. ET. (A hand­ful of counties in the Up­per Pen­in­sula are open 8 a.m. to 9 p.m ET.)

Del­eg­ates: The Re­pub­lic­ans have 59 del­eg­ates al­loc­ated pro­por­tion­ally based on the statewide res­ults with a 15 per­cent threshold. If a can­did­ate takes more than half the vote, he re­ceives all the del­eg­ates. The Demo­crats have 130 pledged del­eg­ates al­loc­ated pro­por­tion­ally with a 15 per­cent threshold and 18 su­per del­eg­ates.  

What To Watch For: This is the biggest del­eg­ate prize of the day for both parties, and Don­ald Trump and Hil­lary Clin­ton enter as the fa­vor­ites. Both primar­ies are open to any voter, re­gard­less of party re­gis­tra­tion. For the Re­pub­lic­ans, keep an eye on Oak­land County, which pro­duced the most GOP votes in the past two primar­ies. Trump should find sup­port in areas like Ma­comb County where white, blue-col­lar voters hold sway. The west­ern part of the state was kinder to Rick San­tor­um in 2012 and could be fer­tile ter­rit­ory for Ted Cruz this time around.

On the Demo­crat­ic side, Clin­ton hopes to re­peat her strong 2008 per­form­ances in Wayne County (home to De­troit) and Gene­see County (home to Flint), while Bernie Sanders will need to run up the score in Washten­aw County (home to the col­lege town of Ann Ar­bor) to stay com­pet­it­ive.

MIS­SIS­SIPPI PRIMARY

Poll Times: 8 a.m. to 8 p.m ET.

Del­eg­ates: The Re­pub­lic­ans have 40 del­eg­ates al­loc­ated pro­por­tion­ally at the statewide and con­gres­sion­al dis­trict level. For the at-large del­eg­ates, there’s a 15 per­cent threshold. In each dis­trict, the top vote-get­ter re­ceives two del­eg­ates, and the run­ner-up re­ceives one. If the top vote-get­ter clears 50 per­cent in a dis­trict, that can­did­ate re­ceives all three del­eg­ates. The Demo­crats have 36 pledged del­eg­ates al­loc­ated pro­por­tion­ally with a 15 per­cent threshold and five su­per del­eg­ates.

What To Watch For: Trump and Clin­ton are also the front-run­ners here. Both parties’ primar­ies are open to all voters. This will be one of the last re­main­ing states where evan­gel­ic­als play an out­sized role: They ac­coun­ted for 83 per­cent of the GOP primary elect­or­ate in 2012. Marco Ru­bio will need to do well in Hinds County, where Jack­son is loc­ated, and the sur­round­ing Madis­on and Rankin counties, as that is where many of the state’s wealthy, col­lege-edu­cated voters are.

Re­li­gious voters are im­port­ant on the Demo­crat­ic side, too. Nearly 6 in 10 voters in the 2008 primary said they at­ten­ded church once a week. Black voters, which ac­count for 37 per­cent of Mis­sis­sippi’s pop­u­la­tion, will also be crit­ic­al, an­oth­er factor in Clin­ton’s fa­vor. Demo­crat­ic-heavy Hinds County, where Barack Obama dom­in­ated eight years ago, is a key area to watch.

IDAHO PRIMARY (GOP only)

Poll Times: The polls are open from 10 a.m. to 10 p.m. ET in the south­ern part of the state, which is in the Moun­tain Time Zone, and 11 a.m. to 11 p.m. ET in the north­ern part, which is in the Pa­cific Time Zone.

Del­eg­ates: The Re­pub­lic­ans have 32 del­eg­ates al­loc­ated at the statewide level with a 20 per­cent threshold. If a can­did­ate takes more than half the vote, he re­ceives all the del­eg­ates.  

What To Watch For: Only re­gistered Re­pub­lic­ans can vote in the primary, but same-day re­gis­tra­tion is per­mit­ted. Cruz and Ru­bio cam­paigned in Idaho in the days lead­ing up to the primary, but Trump, who has struggled in closed con­tests, did not make a trip. Mitt Rom­ney and John Mc­Cain won the last two nom­in­at­ing con­tests here. The state’s two most pop­u­lous counties, Ada County (home to Boise) and Bon­neville County (home to Idaho Falls) should point to the dir­ec­tion the state is go­ing.

HAWAII CAUCUSES (GOP only)

Poll Times: Caucus loc­a­tions are open from 11 p.m. to 1 a.m. ET.

Del­eg­ates: The Re­pub­lic­ans have 19 del­eg­ates al­loc­ated pro­por­tion­ally based on the statewide and con­gres­sion­al dis­trict res­ults with no threshold.

What To Watch For: No Re­pub­lic­an pres­id­en­tial hope­ful paid a vis­it to Hawaii this cycle. The caucuses are open only to re­gistered Re­pub­lic­ans, but voters are al­lowed to re­gister at their polling place the day of the elec­tion. Rom­ney and Mc­Cain won the state’s last two caucuses. Most of the Re­pub­lic­an votes are loc­ated in Hon­olulu County, so who­ever car­ries that county Tues­day will likely win the whole state.

What We're Following See More »
HOPES TO GET BIPARTISAN BILL EVENTUALLY
Trump: Time to Let Obamacare “Explode”
22 hours ago
THE LATEST
NO INDICATION WHEN IT WILL BE REVISITED
At Trump’s Behest, Ryan Pulls Healthcare Bill
23 hours ago
THE LATEST

Faced with a choice of Trump's way or the highway, the GOP chose the highway. In the worst possible development for the GOP, Speaker Paul Ryan pulled the healthcare bill from the floor for the second day in a row—even after President Trump demanded an up-or-down vote last night. According to multiple reports, Trump himself called Ryan at about 3 p.m. to tell him to cancel the vote. Trump has since blamed Democrats for the defeat. It's unclear when the legislation will be revisited.

SPOKESWOMAN CALLS IT ROUTINE MEETING
Comey at White House Now
1 days ago
THE LATEST
FROM ROGERS, COMEY
Nunes, Schiff Ask for Closed-Door Testimony on Russia
1 days ago
THE LATEST

"House Intelligence Committee Chairman Devin Nunes (R-CA) said he and ranking Democrat Adam Schiff of California have asked FBI Director James Comey and NSA Director Mike Rogers to testify behind closed doors about the committee's ongoing investigation into alleged ties between the Trump administration and Russia." He also said former Trump campaign manager Paul Manafort will also testify.

Source:
BRIEFING TRUMP ON HEALTHCARE VOTE
Paul Ryan en Route to White House
1 days ago
THE LATEST
×
×

Welcome to National Journal!

You are currently accessing National Journal from IP access. Please login to access this feature. If you have any questions, please contact your Dedicated Advisor.

Login