SPOTLIGHT

Lee Terry’s Declining Returns

with Rep. Ed Whitfield (2R), R-KY, and Rep. Bobby Rush, D-IL, during a meeting of the House Rules Committee on Capitol Hill on May 21, 2013 in Washington. The committee met to discuss legislation to approve the construction of the Keystone XL pipeline to bring Canadian tar sand oil to refineries in Texas on the Gulf of Mexico. 
National Journal
Scott Bland
Add to Briefcase
See more stories about...
Scott Bland
May 14, 2014, 7:40 a.m.

Ben Sas­se (R) swept aside his chal­lengers to take the Re­pub­lic­an Sen­ate nom­in­a­tion in Neb­raska and Pete Rick­etts (R) eked out the gubernat­ori­al nom­in­a­tion, her­ald­ing change in the state’s top of­fices. An­oth­er primary res­ult may have fore­shad­owed more change in the fu­ture: Rep. Lee Terry (R) is not look­ing se­cure in NE-02.

— Terry took just 53% in the GOP primary Tues­day night, run­ning head-to-head against un­der-fun­ded, little-no­ticed chal­lenger Dan Frei (R). It’s the third suc­cess­ive primary Terry’s vote share has dipped. Over the last few terms, his con­gres­sion­al vot­ing scores from a few groups like the Club for Growth and the Amer­ic­an Con­ser­vat­ive Uni­on have also de­clined, though Terry’s stand­ing with the U.S. Cham­ber of Com­merce, for ex­ample, has re­mained steady.

— Mean­while, Demo­crats are clos­ing in on his oth­er side. Terry’s dis­trict has got­ten more com­pet­it­ive in gen­er­al elec­tions, as Pres­id­ent Obama high­lighted by nar­rowly win­ning NE-02’s elect­or­al vote in 2008. After win­ning his first four races with 60% or more, Terry has cleared 55% once in the last four gen­er­als, and he won by less than 2 per­cent­age points in 2012.

— Present weak­ness be­gets fu­ture trouble. Some of the can­did­ates and strategists watch­ing anti-GOP in­cum­bent chal­lenges in ID-02 and TX-04 this year had been eye­ing Rep. Mike Simpson‘s (R) and Rep. Ral­ph Hall‘s (R) primary un­der­per­form­ance for some time be­fore mak­ing bet­ter-or­gan­ized chal­lenges in 2014. And while Demo­crats had some well-pub­li­cized re­cruit­ing is­sues in NE-02 last year, the next pres­id­en­tial year could be an en­ti­cing draw for a new chal­lenger — as­sum­ing Terry’s for­tunes don’t con­tin­ue fall­ing this Novem­ber.

As Terry said last night, he won, and “that’s the ma­jor is­sue.” But his mar­gins don’t have much more room to de­cline in vic­tory, and they may be at­tract­ing fu­ture op­pon­ents.
— Scott Bland

What We're Following See More »
TRUMP CONTINUES TO LAWYER UP
Kasowitz Out, John Dowd In
2 days ago
THE LATEST

As the Russia investigation heats up, "the role of Marc E. Kasowitz, the president’s longtime New York lawyer, will be significantly reduced. Mr. Trump liked Mr. Kasowitz’s blunt, aggressive style, but he was not a natural fit in the delicate, politically charged criminal investigation. The veteran Washington defense lawyer John Dowd will take the lead in representing Mr. Trump for the Russia inquiry."

Source:
ALSO INQUIRES ABOUT PARDON POWER
Trump Looking to Discredit Mueller
2 days ago
THE LATEST

President Trump's attorneys are "actively compiling a list of Mueller’s alleged potential conflicts of interest, which they say could serve as a way to stymie his work." They plan to argued that Mueller is going outside the scope of his investigation, in inquiring into Trump's finances. They're also playing small ball, highlighting "donations to Democrats by some of" Mueller's team, and "an allegation that Mueller and Trump National Golf Club in Northern Virginia had a dispute over membership fees when Mueller resigned as a member in 2011." Trump is said to be incensed that Mueller may see his tax returns, and has been asking about his power to pardon his family members.

Source:
INCLUDES NY PROBE INTO MANAFORT
Why Yes, Mueller Is Looking into Trump Businesses
2 days ago
THE LATEST

In addition to ties between Russia and the Trump campaign, Robert Mueller's team is also "examining a broad range of transactions involving Trump’s businesses as well as those of his associates, according to a person familiar with the probe. FBI investigators and others are looking at Russian purchases of apartments in Trump buildings, Trump’s involvement in a controversial SoHo development in New York with Russian associates, the 2013 Miss Universe pageant in Moscow, and Trump’s sale of a Florida mansion to a Russian oligarch in 2008, the person said. The investigation also has absorbed a money-laundering probe begun by federal prosecutors in New York into Trump’s former campaign chairman Paul Manafort."

Source:
Mueller Expands Probe to Trump Business Transactions
2 days ago
THE DETAILS

Special Counsel Robert Mueller's team is "is examining a broad range of transactions involving Trump’s businesses as well as those of his associates", including "Russian purchases of apartments in Trump buildings, Trump’s involvement in a controversial SoHo development with Russian associates, the 2013 Miss Universe pageant in Moscow and Trump’s sale of a Florida mansion to a Russian oligarch in 2008."

Source:
ANALYSIS FROM CBO
32 Million More Uninsured by 2026 if Obamacare Repealed
2 days ago
THE LATEST

"A Senate bill to gut Obamacare would increase the number of uninsured people by 32 million and double premiums on Obamacare's exchanges by 2026, according to an analysis from the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office. The analysis is of a bill that passed Congress in 2015 that would repeal Obamacare's taxes and some of the mandates. Republicans intend to leave Obamacare in place for two years while a replacement is crafted and implemented."

Source:
×
×

Welcome to National Journal!

You are currently accessing National Journal from IP access. Please login to access this feature. If you have any questions, please contact your Dedicated Advisor.

Login