Highlights From Tuesday’s National Journal Events -  PICTURES

Naureen Khan
Sept. 4, 2012, 9:19 a.m.

On the first of­fi­cial day of the Demo­crat­ic Na­tion­al Con­ven­tion, Na­tion­al Journ­al hos­ted a series of events to get the Demo­crat­ic take on many of the top­ics covered dur­ing the Re­pub­lic­an con­ven­tion.

To start, Na­tion­al Journ­al hos­ted a lead­ing group of Demo­crat­ic poll­sters, in­clud­ing Joel Ben­en­son, best known as Barack Obama’s lead poll­ster dur­ing the 2008 cam­paign. The pan­el said that Mitt Rom­ney re­ceived a neg­li­gible bump from the GOP con­ven­tion. But the can­did­ate had re­ceived a small bump among eld­erly white voters as a res­ult of his con­tro­ver­sial wel­fare ad

With polling tech­niques ad­van­cing rap­idly, pan­el­ists said, each cam­paign has lit­er­ally nar­rowed each swing state down to a few house­holds in a couple spe­cif­ic me­dia mar­kets. The concept of a swing “state” is no more.

Re­gard­less, it will be hard for Rom­ney to take the White House without sweep­ing these swing states. There are scen­ari­os, the pan­el­ists agreed, in which Obama could lose Ohio, Inid­ana, North Car­o­lina, and Vir­gin­ia, but still pre­vail in the elec­tion. 

Dur­ing the “Path to Power Lunch­eon,” House Minor­ity Lead­er Nancy Pelosi, D-Cal­if., and Demo­crat­ic Con­necti­c­ut Gov. Dan­nel Mal­loy gave their in­put on what the next four years of a po­ten­tial Obama pres­id­ency would look like. Pelosi also out­lined a scen­ario where the Demo­crats take the 25 seats ne­ces­sary to re­gain con­trol of the House.

In the early af­ter­noon, Na­tion­al Journ­al hos­ted a pan­el of lead­ing journ­al­ists and con­sult­ants who com­pared both can­did­ates and parties. Neera Tanden, pres­id­ent of the Cen­ter for Amer­ic­an Pro­gress, said that the 2012 elec­tion will de­term­ine how we will deal with the so-called fisc­al cliff. The broad out­lines of a “grand bar­gain” are there. It just takes Re­pub­lic­ans agree­ing to some rev­en­ue ad­di­tions. 

CNN’s seni­or polit­ic­al ana­lyst Dav­id Ger­gen had a grim out­look on the com­ing four years. Re­gard­less of who is elec­ted, he said, the next two to four years are go­ing to be “rough.” Oth­ers ad­ded that we may make pro­gress on im­mig­ra­tion re­form, but eco­nom­ic and en­ergy-policy de­cisions will likely re­main elu­sive. 

(Check out Monday’s event high­lights)


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