Weiner to New York Post: I Will Not Resign

Add to Briefcase
June 9, 2011, 9:41 a.m.

As part of their nat’l poll of adults, CBS News con­duc­ted an over­sample of Tea Party sup­port­ers. They then presen­ted demo­graph­ic data of that over­sample. The poll was con­duc­ted 10/1-5, and the over­sample con­sisted of 429 adults who IDed them­selves as sup­port­ers of the Tea Party move­ment; mar­gin of er­ror +/- 4.7% (re­lease, 10/7).

- Now 4/12 Men 58% 59% Wo­men 42 41 - Now 4/12 Age 18-29 9% 7% Age 30-44 24 16 Age 45-64 35 46 Age 65+ 31 29 - Now 4/12 White 93% 89% Black 2 1 Asi­an 1 1 Oth­er 3 6 - Now 4/12 North­east 19% 18% Mid­w­est 25 22 South 34 36 West 22 25 - Now 4/12 H.S. or less 35% 29% Some col­lege 28 33 Col­lege grad 28 37 - Now 4/12 Un­der $30K 18% 18% $50K + 59 53 $100K + 16 20 - Now 4/12 GOP­er 53% 54% Dem 6 5 In­die 41 41 - Now 4/12 Lib­er­al 4% 4% Mod­er­ate 23 20 Con­ser­vat­ive 73 73 - Now 4/12 Evan­gel­ic­al 45% 39% - Now 4/12 Prot­est­ant 64% 61% Cath­ol­ic 18 22 Oth­er 8 6 None 8 7

It’s un­clear wheth­er the life­line that Sen. Marco Ru­bio, R-Fla., is of­fer­ing Mitt Rom­ney is long enough to lift the pre­sumptive Re­pub­lic­an pres­id­en­tial nom­in­ee from the hole he dug with His­pan­ic voters dur­ing the primary race. But Rom­ney’s odds of ex­tric­at­ing him­self will al­most cer­tainly im­prove if he ac­cepts, rather than re­jects, Ru­bio’s help.

Ru­bio’s life­line is the al­tern­at­ive he is for­mu­lat­ing to the Dream Act backed by Pres­id­ent Obama and most con­gres­sion­al Demo­crats. Their pro­pos­al would al­low the chil­dren of il­leg­al im­mig­rants to re­main leg­ally in the U.S. and even­tu­ally to ob­tain cit­izen­ship if they serve in the mil­it­ary or at­tend col­lege. Ru­bio’s ver­sion, which he will likely in­tro­duce this sum­mer, would in­stead provide to these young people non­im­mig­rant work visas that would al­low them to re­main leg­ally in the U.S. but would not guar­an­tee them cit­izen­ship. Sig­ni­fic­antly, though, Ru­bio’s ap­proach as he has de­scribed it would not pre­clude those chil­dren from fol­low­ing the same path­ways to cit­izen­ship avail­able to oth­ers hold­ing that type of visa, such as mar­ry­ing an Amer­ic­an cit­izen or re­ceiv­ing spon­sor­ship from an em­ploy­er.

Rom­ney re­mained non­com­mit­tal about Ru­bio’s pro­pos­al on Monday as the two men cam­paigned to­geth­er in Pennsylvania. Al­though he didn’t cri­ti­cize Ru­bio’s ini­ti­at­ive, neither did he say any­thing that might boost the sen­at­or’s on­go­ing ef­forts to build sup­port with con­ser­vat­ives and oth­er Sen­ate Re­pub­lic­ans. Rom­ney’s lan­guage was tep­id enough to dis­ap­point and worry some in the party who hope that the GOP will rally around the pro­pos­al.

Even if Rom­ney sup­ports Ru­bio’s le­gis­la­tion, that by it­self is un­likely to undo all of the dam­age the former Mas­sachu­setts gov­ernor suffered with His­pan­ic voters dur­ing the GOP primar­ies, when he used im­mig­ra­tion as a club to un­der­mine his rivals’ con­ser­vat­ive cre­den­tials. In that ef­fort, he pledged to veto the Demo­crat­ic-ver­sion of the Dream Act; praised the tough Ari­zona im­mig­ra­tion-en­force­ment law (and said he would have dropped the fed­er­al law­suit against it that the Su­preme Court heard this week); and de­nounced any path­way to cit­izen­ship for il­leg­al im­mig­rants. In­stead, he said, he would pres­sure the es­tim­ated 11 mil­lion il­leg­al im­mig­rants to “self-de­port” by stiff­en­ing en­force­ment of laws against hir­ing and aid­ing them.

The ef­fect of all those pro­pos­als is evid­ent in re­cent polls show­ing Obama, when matched against Rom­ney, equal­ing (or ex­ceed­ing) the two-thirds of the His­pan­ic vote that he won in 2008. In sev­er­al of those sur­veys (such as last week’s Uni­versity of Phoenix/Na­tion­al Journ­al Next Amer­ica Poll), Obama’s share of the vote among Lati­nos not­ably ex­ceeds his ap­prov­al rat­ing with them. That’s a telling meas­ure of how much Rom­ney has ali­en­ated those voters, be­cause it’s un­usu­al for a pres­id­ent to poll much above his ap­prov­al rat­ing with any group. Obama’s cur­rent stand­ing also rep­res­ents a re­cov­ery from the Demo­crats’ de­cline with His­pan­ics in the 2010 elec­tion. While Lati­nos are dis­ap­poin­ted about the eco­nomy and dis­en­chanted with Obama for not stress­ing im­mig­ra­tion re­form, “Re­pub­lic­ans have to ad­opt a tone that clearly views His­pan­ics as a part of a cen­ter-right co­ali­tion and be very ag­gress­ive in their ef­forts to reach out,” says GOP poll­ster Whit Ayres, who ad­vises the right-lean­ing His­pan­ic Lead­er­ship Net­work.

Ru­bio isn’t for­mu­lat­ing his bill to be­ne­fit Rom­ney. But for Rom­ney to em­brace it would send “a very im­port­ant sig­nal to His­pan­ic voters,” Ayres ar­gues. It could also align Rom­ney with groups hold­ing sub­stan­tial cred­ib­il­ity in that com­munity. Pub­licly, im­mig­rant-rights groups gen­er­ally ar­gue that Ru­bio’s concept doesn’t go far enough be­cause it lacks a guar­an­teed path­way to cit­izen­ship for the young people in­volved. But private con­ver­sa­tions already un­der way sug­gest that Ru­bio’s concept could di­vide Demo­crats and at­tract sig­ni­fic­ant sup­port among im­mig­ra­tion ad­voc­ates, at least as a start­ing point for dis­cus­sion and per­haps even as the en­d­point of an agree­ment. “If the concept as he has laid it out is trans­lated in­to de­cent le­gis­la­tion and he brings Re­pub­lic­an sup­port to the table, it’s a game changer,” said Frank Sharry, ex­ec­ut­ive dir­ect­or of the pro-im­mig­ra­tion re­form group Amer­ica’s Voice.

Ru­bio’s abil­ity to de­liv­er on the second half of Sharry’s equa­tion — at­tract­ing oth­er Re­pub­lic­ans — re­mains un­cer­tain. The sen­at­or’s sup­port­ers take heart from the dogs that aren’t bark­ing yet on the right. “Giv­en how much cov­er­age this po­ten­tial bill has re­ceived “¦ so far, at least, there have been very, very few con­ser­vat­ive voices who have sprung up to cri­ti­cize it,” one Ru­bio ad­viser said. The one ex­cep­tion is Kris Kobach, the hard-line Kan­sas sec­ret­ary of state, who Rom­ney earli­er wel­comed as an ad­viser but has lately tried to dis­tance him­self from.

In Ayres’s polling for the His­pan­ic Lead­er­ship Net­work, most rank-and-file Re­pub­lic­ans sup­por­ted Ru­bio’s ap­proach. But Kobach has poin­tedly re­af­firmed his op­pos­i­tion to any pro­gram that provides leg­al status to those who ar­rived il­leg­ally, even though he hasn’t en­tirely closed the door on Ru­bio’s ap­proach. That sug­gests oth­er con­ser­vat­ives may yet re­coil at it as well. If that pro­spect de­ters Rom­ney from en­dors­ing Ru­bio’s plan, such a pub­lic snub would hobble the sen­at­or’s ef­fort to win GOP sup­port and sim­ul­tan­eously deep­en Rom­ney’s prob­lems with His­pan­ic voters. It would also leave Rom­ney vi­ol­at­ing one of the old­est rules in polit­ics: When you’re in a hole, stop dig­ging. 

What We're Following See More »
North Korean Chemical Weapons Shipments to Syria Intercepted
7 hours ago

"Two North Korean shipments to a Syrian government agency responsible for the country's chemical weapons program were intercepted in the past six months, according to a confidential United Nations report on North Korea sanctions violations."

14 Charities Cancel Fundraisers at Mar-a-Lago
10 hours ago

"Corporate fallout over President Donald Trump's comments on the violence that erupted in Charlottesville, Virgina continues as two more charities announced this weekend they would be canceling gala fundraisers at Trump’s Mar-a-Lago Club in Palm Beach, Florida ... In all, 14 have canceled and only two events remain: The Palm Beach Police Foundation's annual Policeman Ball and the Palm Beach County Republican Party's annual Lincoln Day Dinner, according to reports."

Report: White House Tried to Kill Mountaintop Removal Study
10 hours ago

"Trump administration officials have told the National Academy of Sciences to cease all work on a study of the public health risks for people living near mountaintop removal coal-mining sites in Appalachian, the academy said in a statement late this morning." The Department of the Interior blamed the move on a review of contracts in the wake of a "changing budget situation."

Putin Appoints New Ambassador to U.S.
10 hours ago

"The Kremlin announced today that Russian President Vladimir Putin appointed Anatoly Antonov as Russia’s ambassador to the United States, replacing Sergey Kislyak. Antonov, a former deputy defense minister who has been sanctioned by the European Union for his role in Russia's takeover of Crimea in 2014, will come to Washington with a reputation as a hardline negotiator. He is best known to American officials from his time fronting Russia's negotiations at arms control talks with the Obama administration, which in 2009 produced a treaty renewing U.S. and Russian commitments to cut their nuclear arsenals. From 2011 until last December he also served as a reliable defender of the Kremlin's positions on the Ukraine crisis."

Ryan: “There Are No Sides” on Charlottesville
16 hours ago

After taking fire for not forcefully condemning President Trump's statements on Charlottesville, Speaker Paul Ryan today issued a statement that takes issue with any "moral relativism" when it comes to Neo-Nazis. "There are no sides," he wrote. "There is no other argument. We will not tolerate this hateful ideology in our society." Ryan participates in a CNN town hall tonight from Racine, Wis.


Welcome to National Journal!

You are currently accessing National Journal from IP access. Please login to access this feature. If you have any questions, please contact your Dedicated Advisor.