Newsweek’s Clift writes, “While it’s unlikely that the GOP will pick up all 10 seats needed to gain control of the Senate, what’s going on is reminiscent of” ‘80, “when the GOP won the Senate by knocking off a bunch of” Dem stalwarts. 6 years later, “many of the victors … would be turned out by the voters in what proved a short-lived majority.”
Winners rode Ronald Reagan’s coattails, “but the bulk of the winning class had no staying power. They were perfect for the moment, but, to put it gently, not all had the look of eagles.” Paula Hawkins (R-FL) and Jeremiah Denton (R-AL) “are remembered more for their personal eccentricities than any legislative achievement.” This year, “Exhibit A” is KY SEN nominee Rand Paul (R).
CT’s Linda McMahon (R) and NV’s Sharron Angle (R) and Sue Lowden all “seem just as unlikely to last on the national scene should they succeed” in Nov. Dems “should take heart. It could be six long years, but the tide that washes in some of these outliers will be there to carry them out, just as it has in elections past” (5/28).
“Any year there’s a huge anti-incumbent, populist tide, it’s bound to wash in its share of oddballs.” ‘94 gave us IN’s John Hostettler, who “tried boarding a DC-bound plane with a loaded 9-mm Glock in his carry-on”; TX’s Steve Stockman, who said Waco “was a government conspiracy”; and ID’s Helen Chenoweth, who “held endangered-sockeye-salmon fundraising bakes.”
OR’s Jim Bunn left his wife for his 31-year old CoS. IN’s Mark Souder just resigned over an affair with an aide. FL’s Mark Foley resigned in ‘06. And Rep. Steve LaTourette (R-OH) and Sen. John Ensign (R-NV) have each dealt with affairs (Senior, New York magazine, 5/30).
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With three days until the first debate, the polls are coming fast and furious. The latest round:
- An Associated Press/Gfk poll of registered voters found very few voters committed, with Clinton leading Trump, 37% to 29%, and Gary Johnson at 7%.
- A McClatchy-Marist poll gave Clinton a six-point edge, 45% to 39%, in a four-way ballot test. Johnson pulls 10% support, with Jill Stein at 4%.
- Rasmussen, which has drawn criticism for continually showing Donald Trump doing much better than he does in other polls, is at it again. A new survey gives Trump a five-point lead, 44%-39%.
In contrast to Hillary Clinton's meticulous debate practice sessions, Donald Trump "is largely shunning traditional debate preparations, but has been watching video of…Clinton’s best and worst debate moments, looking for her vulnerabilities.” Trump “has paid only cursory attention to briefing materials. He has refused to use lecterns in mock debate sessions despite the urging of his advisers. He prefers spitballing ideas with his team rather than honing them into crisp, two-minute answers.”
Donald Trump "is on the precipice of becoming the only major-party presidential candidate this century not to reach out to millions of American voters whose dominant, first or just preferred language is Spanish. Trump has not only failed to buy any Spanish-language television or radio ads, he so far has avoided even offering a translation of his website into Spanish, breaking with two decades of bipartisan tradition."
Bill and Hillary Clinton have purchased the home next door to their primary residence in tony Chappaqua, New York, for $1.16 million. "By purchasing the new home, the Clinton's now own the entire cul-de-sac at the end of the road in the leafy New York suburb. The purchase makes it easier for the United States Secret Service to protect the former president and possible future commander in chief."