The “final week of the” UN Climate Change summit “boils down to a battle between” Pres. Obama and “the self-described ‘skunk at the picnic’” — Sen. James Inhofe (R-OK).
Inhofe, “who has called global warming a hoax, plans to travel this week to Copenhagen” where he’ll stay “just long enough — as few as three hours, he says — to tell heads of state that the Senate will not pass an energy bill that would limit greenhouse gas emissions.”
Inhofe: “We know (the bill) is never going to go to a vote. It’s dead. It’s gone … I’m not going to allow them to think America is going to do something it’s not.”
Delegates from other countries “say that without Congress’ support, Obama won’t be able to keep whatever promises he makes when he arrives” 12/18 “to try to seal a deal on capping emissions” (Winter, USA Today, 12/14).
In the weekly GOP address, Rep. Marsha Blackburn (R-TN) “slammed” the summit, saying it “could result in emissions mandates” that “would destroy millions of American jobs and damage our economic competitiveness for decades to come.”
Blackburn: “With Americans already facing double-digit unemployment, there could be no worse time to unilaterally disarm our energies of job creation and economic growth.” (Zimmermann, The Hill, 12/12).
But “despite a multitude of impasses, conflicts, and dramas playing out in hotel lobbies, restaurants, and meeting halls in Denmark’s frigid capital city, hope remains the dominant mood” as the summit enters its final five days.
Even if a final agreement on greenhouse gas emissions is not achieved, “many environmentalists, academics, and scientists say, the groundwork to reach one next year appears to be getting done” (Daley, Boston Globe, 12/14).
War Of The Bills
“As if the debate … wasn’t complicated enough,” Sens. Maria Cantwell (D-WA) and Susan Collins (R-ME) 12/11 “introduced their own bill to cut emissions, one that’s a lot simpler to explain to voters” and that “plays off the anti-Wall Street mood that’s popular” on both sides of the aisle.
The “question is whether the latest bill will be any easier to pass.” Like other bills it would “require companies to hold government-issued permits in order to emit greenhouse gases” but the Cantwell-Collins measure “would give the vast majority of revenues raised under such a system — 75% — back to consumers each month in the form of checks.”
At “39 pages, the Cantwell-Collins bill is a lot easier to understand than the” 1.4K-paged “behemoth the House approved” over the summer and it’s also “a lot closer to the spirit of” Obama’s “campaign pledge, which called for ‘all pollution credits to be auctioned.’” But “does that make it easier to pass?”
Cantwell “says her bill,” with Collin’s co-sponsorship, “has a better chance of securing the votes of” GOPers and moderate Dems (Power, Wall Street Journal, 12/11).
Their version may give critics of the House bill “something to rally around.” Cantwell-Collins “has attracted support from some new quarters, however, it could lose support from segments of the business community that have helped propel the climate legislation” forward in the House and Senate cmte.
Wall Street “may be particularly disappointed in the new bill” because it “would restrict trading in a new carbon market to entities regulated by the act, a move that may have more populist appeal” (Snyder, The Hill, 12/14).
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The national polls, once again, tell very different stories: Clinton leads by just one point in the IBD, Rasmussen, and LA Times tracking polls, while she shows a commanding 12 point lead in the ABC news poll and a smaller but sizable five point lead in the CNN poll. The Republican Remington Research Group released a slew of polls showing Trump up in Ohio, Nevada, and North Carolina, a tie in Florida, and Clinton leads in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Virginia. However, an independent Siena poll shows Clinton up 7 in North Carolina, while a Monmouth poll shows Trump up one in Arizona
Since the release of the Access Hollywood tape, on which Donald Trump boasted of sexually assaulting women, "Senate Republicans have seen their fortunes dip, particularly in states like Florida, North Carolina, New Hampshire, Nevada and Pennsylvania," where Hillary Clinton now leads. Jennifer Duffy writes that she now expects Democrats to gain five to seven seats—enough to regain control of the chamber.
"Of the Senate seats in the Toss Up column, Trump only leads in Indiana and Missouri where both Republicans are running a few points behind him. ... History shows that races in the Toss Up column never split down the middle; one party tends to win the lion’s share of them."
"Some Republicans are running so far away from their party’s nominee that they are threatening to sue TV stations for running ads that suggest they support Donald Trump. Just two weeks before Election Day, five Republicans―Reps. Bob Dold (R-Ill.), Mike Coffman (R-Colo.), David Jolly (R-Fla.), John Katko (R-N.Y.) and Brian Fitzpatrick, a Pennsylvania Republican running for an open seat that’s currently occupied by his brother―contend that certain commercials paid for by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee provide false or misleading information by connecting them to the GOP nominee. Trump is so terrible, these Republicans are essentially arguing, that tying them to him amounts to defamation."
Former Illinois GOP Congressman Aaron Schock "recently agreed to pay a $10,000 fine for making an excessive solicitation for a super PAC that was active in his home state of Illinois four years ago." Schock resigned from Congress after a story about his Downton Abbey-themed congressional office raised questions about how he was using taxpayer dollars.