The Scan — January 15, 2014

National Journal
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Jan. 14, 2014, 4:28 p.m.

“In a vi­brant and fast-paced de­bate” 10/2, GOP GOV can­did­ates “told a packed crowd about their bed­rock con­ser­vat­ive prin­ciples and why they would make the best re­place­ment for” Gov. Tim Pawlenty (R). Ex-Aud. Pat An­der­son (R), state Rep. Tom Em­mer (R), state Rep. Paul Kohls (R), state Rep. Marty Seifert (R), ex-state Rep. Bill Haas (R), en­vir­on­ment­al act­iv­ist Leslie Dav­is (R), state Sen. Dav­id Hann (R) and busi­ness­man Phil Her­wig “em­phat­ic­ally agreed in an­swers to six dozen ques­tions that” gov’t “should be smal­ler, largely let people make their own de­cisions and should tax less.”

State Sen. Mi­chael Jun­g­bauer (R) “was ex­pec­ted” at the 10/2 for­um but “did not show, leav­ing his po­di­um empty dur­ing” the two hour event (Stassen-Ber­ger, Min­neapol­is Star-Tribune, 10/3).

The eight can­did­ates who at­ten­ded “offered their own reas­on to get party sup­port.” They ap­peared in front of 550 party act­iv­ists at the for­um on 10/2, fol­lowed by the 10/3 con­ven­tion and straw poll. “The most emo­tion­al com­ments in” the 10/2 for­um came from Em­mer, “known for his pas­sion­ate speeches on the House floor.” Em­mer: “It’s about pas­sion. Who can in­spire, who can ig­nite Min­nesotans to fol­low the Re­pub­lic­an prin­ciple?”

Seifert, who won the 10/3 straw poll, “re­ceived the most ap­plause” on 10/2. Seifert “pro­moted his policy of tak­ing no money from lob­by­ists, say­ing that would keep him away from ob­lig­a­tions to them. ” An­der­son “em­phas­ized her back­ground as” aud. and com­mis. She re­minded GOP­ers “that she has shrunken two state agen­cies and said the state should only provide ‘es­sen­tial ser­vices … and get rid of the rest.’ She pledged to change loc­al” gov’t aid, “al­though said some small com­munit­ies need the state fin­an­cial help the pro­gram provides.”

Haas “said he has passed more le­gis­la­tion than any oth­er can­did­ate, and led more le­gis­lat­ive” cmtes. Hann “said edu­ca­tion is at the top of” state gov’t’s “pri­or­ity list.” Hann: “There is noth­ing more im­port­ant than edu­ca­tion in this state.” Kohls “pro­moted his ‘sig­ni­fic­ant busi­ness’ ex­per­i­ence as” an atty and in­sur­ance com­pany ex­ec. He also “took cred­it for the first le­gis­lat­ive pro­pos­al call­ing for no new spend­ing, much like what happened when” Pawlenty “cut the state budget on his own after the Le­gis­lature ad­journed in May. He prom­ised to pro­mote a plan to freeze spend­ing at” the ‘04-‘05 level. Dav­is “was the only can­did­ate who said he would not abide by” the Aprl. MN con­ven­tion en­dorse­ment. “In­stead, he would chal­lenge the con­ven­tion’s win­ner in a primary elec­tion.” Dav­is: “Don’t un­der­es­tim­ate me” (Dav­is, Grand Forks Her­ald, 10/4).

Marty Like There’s No To­mor­row

Seifert “took an early lead” in the con­vo straw poll, col­lect­ing 37% of the vote, “a con­vin­cing vic­tory in a nine-can­did­ate field. Fin­ish­ing second was” Em­mer, get­ting 23% “in the non­bind­ing poll. In third with” 14% was” An­der­son. Seifert “said he was sur­prised to re­ceive such a strong show­ing from both urb­an and rur­al con­ven­tion del­eg­ates. Many rur­al del­eg­ates who may have sup­por­ted him were ‘duck hunt­ing or farm­ing’” on 10/3, “he said after it took two and a half hours to count slightly more than” 1K votes. Seifert “said his vic­tory will help him raise money and at­tract vo­lun­teers.”

Em­mer “was thrilled to fin­ish second to Seifert, who has much more statewide name re­cog­ni­tion from his time as a le­gis­lat­ive lead­er.” Em­mer: “This is a great spot to be in after just 10 weeks.” An­der­son “said her goal was to fin­ish in the top three. She said she con­tin­ued to work full time dur­ing the early” camp, “while oth­er can­did­ates cam­paigned full time. She said she ex­pects the field to nar­row after the straw poll.” An­der­son: “I think you are go­ing to see sev­er­al can­did­ates over the next week get out of the race.”

But “all can­did­ates ini­tially said they plan to re­main act­ive.” Trail­ing the top three were Hann, 12%; Kohls, 5%; Dav­is, 1%; Haas, 1%; Jun­g­bauer, 1%; and Her­wig, 1%. “In a bal­lot ask­ing who the del­eg­ates’ second choice would be, Hann took first” with 18%, “fol­lowed by Em­mer, An­der­son and Seifert.” Ex-Sen. Norm Cole­man (R) also picked up a few write-in votes. Cole­man “mingled with fel­low” GOP­ers “at the con­ven­tion. He said he plans to make his de­cision” wheth­er or not to run “in the first two months of” ‘10.

Rep. Michele Bach­mann (R-06) gave a speech to the con­ven­tion, and “gave no in­dic­a­tion she was look­ing at” the GOV, “al­though some would like her to join the crowded field. She said the party needs to bring in in­de­pend­ents, liber­tari­ans and oth­ers.” Bach­mann: “These are start­ling times, stun­ning times.”

Can­did­ate speeches on 10/3 “took a vari­ety of forms,” but the “most un­usu­al speech came from” Jun­g­bauer, who showed for that days events. He “was bit­ten by a bat a few weeks ago and said people now call him ‘Bat­man.’ Telling wo­men not to listen,” Jun­g­bauer “said he has been ex­per­i­en­cing naus­ea like preg­nant wo­men and hot flashes like older wo­men be­cause of a series of ra­bies-pre­vent­ing shots.” Jun­g­bauer: “It is a way for God to get ahold of you and give you a dose of hu­mil­ity” (Dav­is, Grand Forks Her­ald, 10/3).

More Seifert on his poll win: “Re­pub­lic­ans want to bet on a win­ner. They don’t want to bet on the horse head­ing to the glue fact­ory. … I was con­ser­vat­ive be­fore con­ser­vat­ive was cool” (Salis­bury, St. Paul Pi­on­eer Press, 10/3).

Em­mer “said he was happy to keep pace with oth­er top can­did­ates that had a head start.” Em­mer: “They’re out there es­sen­tially already driv­ing the fully loaded Ca­dillac with leath­er seats and Siri­us ra­dio and I’m on a bike. I got star­ted in the middle of Ju­ly” (Bakst, AP, 10/3).

That’s What Friends Are For

St. Paul May­or Chris Cole­man (D) and Min­neapol­is May­or R.T. Ry­bak (D), “have been pop­ping up all over the state lately, in places Twin Cit­ies may­ors don’t usu­ally fre­quent. Both stopped by Kolacky Days in Mont­gomery to fete the prune-filled pastry. They were spot­ted at a re­cent Coon Rap­ids pig roast. Ry­bak has pos­ted pho­tos of him­self stand­ing next to a farm­er in a” Pope Co. “cattle pas­ture and ad­dress­ing a crowd in Aus­tin on his Face­book page. Mean­while,” Cole­man camp signs — “with ‘for St. Paul’ in small let­ters — have turned up as far north as Du­luth.” DFL act­iv­ists “from Pequot Lakes to Hutchin­son re­port vis­its from each of them.” MN-03 DFL chair Marge Hoffa: “I see them every­where. When don’t I see them?”

The “two may­ors are blunt about what’s be­hind their statewide so­journs — they’re both ser­i­ously con­sid­er­ing” en­ter­ing the GOV next year, “even as they run for reelec­tion” this Nov. “A Ry­bak-Cole­man con­test for en­dorse­ment could also strain what has been one of the closest work­ing re­la­tion­ships between St. Paul and Min­neapol­is may­ors in re­cent memory. Neither one is ready to form­ally” de­clare a GOV bid, nor do they deny the gov. of­fice “is in their sights. Cole­man and Ry­bak are stick­ing to their own timetables for now.”

Cole­man “says he’ll de­cide this month, so voters in St. Paul’s may­or­al con­test this fall will know his in­tent. Ry­bak’s an­nounce­ment may not be quite that soon, but he said Min­neapol­is voters should know that he is ‘in­creas­ingly likely’ to run” in the GOV. “n early sup­port­er of” Pres. Obama, “Ry­bak says he has even told” the POTUS “of his pos­sible in­ten­tions” (Stassen-Ber­ger, Min­neapol­is Star-Tribune, 10/3)

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