The Hotline’s House Race Rankings: The 30 Districts Most Likely to Change Hands in November

Republicans are on offense in the House and will likely pick up seats in this election. But Democrats still have a few opportunities on the board, too.

Jack Fitzpatrick
Add to Briefcase
See more stories about...
Jack Fitzpatrick
Oct. 8, 2014, 4:07 p.m.

Less than a month be­fore Elec­tion Day, dozens of House races are still in flux—but Demo­crat­ic in­cum­bents face far more coin tosses than Re­pub­lic­ans, mean­ing the GOP is likely to ex­pand its ma­jor­ity in the House of Rep­res­ent­at­ives this Novem­ber. Re­pub­lic­ans ex­pect mod­er­ate gains this cycle, us­ing a fa­vor­able polit­ic­al cli­mate to at­tack a slew of Demo­crat­ic fresh­men and add to their already sol­id ma­jor­ity. But few of those dis­tricts are ob­vi­ous wins: Demo­crat­ic in­cum­bents like Car­ol Shea-Port­er of New Hamp­shire, Ann Kirk­patrick of Ari­zona, and Bill En­yart of Illinois—among the most en­dangered Demo­crats on the bal­lot—still have roughly 50-50 shots at be­ing reelec­ted, ac­cord­ing to a sur­vey of strategists from both sides who are watch­ing and work­ing on these races.

Re­pub­lic­ans have a large num­ber of pickup op­por­tun­it­ies to choose from this year. Fif­teen of our 30 top races are dis­tricts where Re­pub­lic­an chal­lengers have le­git­im­ate shots at beat­ing Demo­crat­ic in­cum­bents. That’s in ad­di­tion to two safe bets for the GOP and nine oth­er open-seat races.

Demo­crats, mean­while, are on of­fense in a se­lect num­ber of dis­tricts, hop­ing to pick off sev­er­al seats where Re­pub­lic­an in­cum­bents have tripped over their own feet. In New York, Rep. Mi­chael Grimm’s fraud in­dict­ments dealt his reelec­tion pro­spects a heavy blow. In Flor­ida, Rep. Steve South­er­land’s gender-cent­ric gaffes may have ali­en­ated wo­men voters, mak­ing Gwen Gra­ham an even stronger chal­lenger—and Re­pub­lic­ans already knew the polit­ic­al scion was a threat. And in Neb­raska, Rep. Lee Terry’s re­fus­al to give up his own pay dur­ing last year’s gov­ern­ment shut­down con­tin­ues to be an an­chor on his reelec­tion hopes.

For Re­pub­lic­ans, the races that have fallen off the radar are just as im­port­ant as some of their pickup op­por­tun­it­ies. In­cum­bents like Rod­ney Dav­is, Dan Ben­ishek, Mike Fitzpatrick, Joe Heck, and Dav­id Valadao look sig­ni­fic­antly more safe than they did at the start of the elec­tion cycle or even a few months ago. That has al­lowed Re­pub­lic­ans to go on the of­fens­ive, spend­ing very little money on re­tain­ing seats.

While the Sen­ate and gubernat­ori­al races are awash in polling data right now, de­tailed, non­par­tis­an polls are hard to find in House races. These rat­ings are based partly on what polls are out there, but also on Na­tion­al Journ­al‘s cu­mu­lat­ive re­search and re­port­ing on these dis­tricts, in­clud­ing fin­an­cial in­form­a­tion, his­tor­ic­al data, and in­form­a­tion from the cam­paigns, party com­mit­tees, out­side groups, and act­iv­ists in­volved in these races.

These rank­ings fo­cus on which dis­tricts are most likely to flip from one party to an­oth­er, with the most likely sus­pects lis­ted at the top. That in­cludes sev­er­al races that are no longer con­sidered com­pet­it­ive, like Mia Love’s cam­paign in Utah. It does not in­clude com­pet­it­ive in­tra-party races like Rep. Mike Honda’s reelec­tion cam­paign in Cali­for­nia. With that, here is our list of the 30 House dis­tricts most likely to change hands this fall.

1. UT-04: Demo­crat­ic Rep. Jim Math­eson re­tir­ing. Re­pub­lic­an Mia Love, former may­or of Saratoga Springs, is the heavy fa­vor­ite to win in one of the most heav­ily Re­pub­lic­an-lean­ing dis­tricts cur­rently held by a Demo­crat. Mitt Rom­ney won 67 per­cent of the vote in this dis­trict in 2012 while Math­eson just squeaked by against Love; without the in­cum­bent Demo­crat on the tick­et, this is Love’s seat.

2. NC-07: Demo­crat­ic Rep. Mike McIntyre re­tir­ing. Re­pub­lic­an Dav­id Rouzer has a ma­jor ad­vant­age in an­oth­er con­ser­vat­ive dis­trict. Demo­crat Jonath­an Bar­field isn’t seen as a ser­i­ous con­tender in a dis­trict Rom­ney won by a 20-point mar­gin in 2012.

3. CA-31: Re­pub­lic­an Rep. Gary Miller re­tir­ing. Demo­crats should have beaten Miller two years ago, but a mass of Demo­crats in the dis­trict’s top-two primary led to a two-Re­pub­lic­an gen­er­al elec­tion after the pro­gress­ive vote split in the primary. Demo­crats faced a sim­il­ar scen­ario this cycle, but Red­lands May­or Pete Aguilar sur­vived the primary and is favored to beat Navy vet­er­an Paul Chabot.

4. NY-21: Demo­crat­ic Rep. Bill Owens re­tir­ing. Demo­crats have clearly lost con­fid­ence in their pro­spect­ive re­place­ment for Owens. The Demo­crat­ic Con­gres­sion­al Cam­paign Com­mit­tee pulled two weeks of air­time sup­port­ing doc­u­ment­ary film­maker Aaron Woolf. It doesn’t help that Green Party can­did­ate Matt Fu­ni­ci­ello could pull a sig­ni­fic­ant num­ber of votes from Woolf. Re­cent sur­veys have shown Re­pub­lic­an Elise Stefanik lead­ing Woolf and Fu­ni­ci­ello pick­ing up a healthy level of sup­port for a third-party can­did­ate.

5. IA-03: Re­pub­lic­an Rep. Tom Lath­am re­tir­ing. It hasn’t been a per­fect cam­paign for Demo­crat­ic former state Sen. Staci Ap­pel—her mis­steps on na­tion­al se­cur­ity in a de­bate gave Re­pub­lic­ans an easy tar­get in at­tack ads—but she still holds an edge over her Re­pub­lic­an op­pon­ent, former con­gres­sion­al aide Dav­id Young. Ap­pel holds a ma­jor fin­an­cial ad­vant­age over Young, who struggled to win the Re­pub­lic­an nom­in­a­tion while Ap­pel faced no primary com­pet­i­tion. A Demo­crat­ic poll showed Ap­pel with a 3-point lead in late Septem­ber, and a Lor­as Col­lege poll earli­er in Septem­ber showed her with a 6-point lead.

6. NH-01: Demo­crat­ic Rep. Car­ol Shea-Port­er run­ning for reelec­tion. Shea-Port­er looks like the most vul­ner­able in­cum­bent in the coun­try be­cause of a hos­tile polit­ic­al at­mo­sphere and a strong chal­lenger. Pub­lic polling between her and ex-Rep. Frank Guinta, the Re­pub­lic­an nom­in­ee, has been all over the map. Guinta beat Shea-Port­er soundly in 2010 and lost to her by a nar­row mar­gin in 2012. With lower turnout this year and a tough­er at­mo­sphere for Demo­crats, Guinta seems to have an edge in this quint­es­sen­tial swing dis­trict.

7. AZ-01: Demo­crat­ic Rep. Ann Kirk­patrick run­ning for reelec­tion. Kirk­patrick faces an even harsh­er polit­ic­al at­mo­sphere in a dis­trict where Re­pub­lic­ans are con­fid­ent that voters’ con­cerns over Obama­care and im­mig­ra­tion will drag down any Demo­crat. But she has a slight ad­vant­age in that her op­pon­ent, Re­pub­lic­an state House Speak­er Andy To­bin, struggled through his primary and has to earn the sup­port of tea parti­ers who pre­vi­ously op­posed him. Re­pub­lic­ans have re­leased two polls show­ing To­bin lead­ing. Demo­crats have poin­ted to the polls’ un­usu­ally low samples of Nat­ive Amer­ic­ans, who over­whelm­ingly sup­port Kirk­patrick, but they haven’t re­leased any polls of their own. Kirk­patrick has shown enough in­de­pend­ence and au­then­ti­city to earn The Ari­zona Re­pub­lic‘s en­dorse­ment, but this is still one of the top dis­tricts where Pres­id­ent Obama’s un­pop­ular­ity is an an­chor for any Demo­crat. After all, Obama didn’t carry it in either 2008 or 2012.

8. NY-11: Re­pub­lic­an Rep. Mi­chael Grimm run­ning for reelec­tion. The line of at­tack against Grimm is clear: He was in­dicted on 20 counts re­lat­ing to skimp­ing on payroll taxes while em­ploy­ing un­doc­u­mented im­mig­rants at his res­taur­ant. And he threatened to throw a re­port­er off a bal­cony and break him in half, “like a boy.” Some of that neg­at­ive press may not res­on­ate with some loy­al sup­port­ers, but it’s hard to see this race go­ing any­where but down­hill for Grimm. A mid-Septem­ber Demo­crat­ic poll shows Grimm tied with former New York City Coun­cil­man Domen­ic Rec­chia, and an earli­er Si­ena Col­lege poll showed Grimm with a 4-point lead.

9. IL-12: Demo­crat­ic Rep. Bill En­yart run­ning for reelec­tion. Like Kirk­patrick, En­yart isn’t par­tic­u­larly well-known, which may be what forced the DCCC, which usu­ally runs at­tack ads, to air pos­it­ive TV spots boost­ing En­yart this fall. En­yart faces a chal­lenge from high-pro­file Re­pub­lic­an state Rep. Mike Bost in a mod­er­ate-to-con­ser­vat­ive down­state dis­trict where Gov. Pat Quinn’s coat­tails, or lack there­of, aren’t much help. A mid-Septem­ber sur­vey by the Re­pub­lic­an-af­fil­i­ated Tar­rance Group showed Bost with a 4-point lead, but as with most House races, de­tailed data is tough to come by.

10. FL-02: Re­pub­lic­an Rep. Steve South­er­land run­ning for reelec­tion. South­er­land has dug him­self in­to a hole with wo­men voters, first hold­ing a men-only fun­draiser that dir­ec­ted at­tendees to “tell the Misses not to wait up,” and then re­spond­ing to ac­cus­a­tions of sex­ism by say­ing he lives with five wo­men and ask­ing if his op­pon­ent had “ever been to a linger­ie shower.” More im­port­antly, South­er­land faces at­tor­ney Gwen Gra­ham, the daugh­ter of pop­u­lar former Demo­crat­ic Sen. and Gov. Bob Gra­ham. Gra­ham may be Demo­crats’ top triple threat: She’s a pro­lif­ic fun­draiser, she has high name iden­ti­fic­a­tion, and she has no polit­ic­al re­cord that can be used against her—though that hasn’t stopped Re­pub­lic­ans from try­ing to tie her to Minor­ity Lead­er Nancy Pelosi.

11. NE-02: Re­pub­lic­an Rep. Lee Terry run­ning for reelec­tion. Last year’s gov­ern­ment shut­down hasn’t hurt any in­cum­bent as much as it’s hurt Terry, who re­fused to give up his pay dur­ing the shut­down be­cause, he said, he had “a nice house and a kid in col­lege.” This wasn’t seen as a top-tier race earli­er this cycle, but Demo­crat­ic state Sen. Brad Ash­ford has kept the fo­cus on con­gres­sion­al pay and perks, call­ing for a 10 per­cent con­gres­sion­al pay cut—which Terry un­wisely sided against.

12. WV-03: Demo­crat­ic Rep. Nick Ra­hall run­ning for reelec­tion. Ra­hall is swim­ming against a strong polit­ic­al cur­rent. Rom­ney won his dis­trict with 65 per­cent of the vote in 2012, and the En­vir­on­ment­al Pro­tec­tion Agency’s pro­pos­al to lim­it car­bon emis­sions has led this race to fo­cus heav­ily on Obama’s “war on coal.” But he has held this seat since 1977 and is fa­mil­i­ar to voters. He’s also suc­cess­fully pushed back against ads by Amer­ic­ans for Prosper­ity, ty­ing his op­pon­ent, state Sen. Evan Jen­kins, to “out-of-state bil­lion­aires from New York City.” Still, his levels of sup­port have fallen in re­cent elec­tions, and Re­pub­lic­ans re­main op­tim­ist­ic they can tip him be­low a win­ning mar­gin this year.

13. GA-12: Demo­crat­ic Rep. John Bar­row run­ning for reelec­tion. Bar­row is in the same boat as Ra­hall. They both rep­res­ent dis­tricts that heav­ily fa­vor Re­pub­lic­ans, but also have strong repu­ta­tions in­di­vidu­ally, and Bar­row is a par­tic­u­larly good cam­paign­er and per­former in TV ads like this one. Like Ra­hall, Bar­row touts his en­dorse­ment from the Na­tion­al Rifle As­so­ci­ation. Con­struc­tion-com­pany own­er Rick Al­len could beat Bar­row, but the bur­den is on him to un­seat a well-known in­cum­bent.

14. IL-10: Demo­crat­ic Rep. Brad Schneider run­ning for reelec­tion. Schneider isn’t in as bad shape as fel­low Illinois Demo­crat En­yart, but he faces a chal­lenge from former Rep. Bob Dold, and has been tar­geted by the U.S. Cham­ber of Com­merce and Cross­roads GPS. Schneider was one of four in­cum­bents whom the DCCC bought more air­time to sup­port this week.

15. AZ-02: Demo­crat­ic Rep. Ron Barber run­ning for reelec­tion. Barber faces one of the top Re­pub­lic­an chal­lengers in the coun­try: re­tired Air Force fight­er pi­lot Martha Mc­Sally, whom he beat by only about 2,500 votes in 2012. But Barber, who re­placed Gab­ri­elle Gif­fords in the House two years ago, has also played his cards right, tout­ing his in­de­pend­ence from party polit­ics and sup­port for tough­er bor­der se­cur­ity. Pub­lic polling has been scarce; a June poll con­duc­ted for Demo­crats’ House Ma­jor­ity PAC showed Barber with an 8-point lead. The race is still widely viewed as a toss-up.

16. FL-26: Demo­crat­ic Rep. Joe Gar­cia run­ning for reelec­tion. Gar­cia also faces a prized Re­pub­lic­an re­cruit in Miami-Dade County School Board mem­ber Car­los Cur­belo. The Na­tion­al Re­pub­lic­an Con­gres­sion­al Com­mit­tee has run re­peated ads on Gar­cia’s eth­ics is­sues—his former cam­paign man­ager pleaded guilty to ab­sent­ee-bal­lot fraud. But Cur­belo has suffered from some bad press, too: He was re­cently cap­tured on cam­era call­ing So­cial Se­cur­ity a “Ponzi scheme” while talk­ing to a group of Col­lege Re­pub­lic­ans. An early Septem­ber in­tern­al poll for Cur­belo showed him with a 4-point lead. The next couple weeks will show us wheth­er Cur­belo’s poll was on the money or op­tim­ist­ic—and wheth­er his com­ments have af­fected the race.

17. CA-52: Demo­crat­ic Rep. Scott Peters run­ning for reelec­tion. Peters and former San Diego City Coun­cil­man Carl De­Maio ap­pear dead­locked. Polling in the dis­trict, much of it from the auto­mated firm Sur­vey­USA, has bounced around. And the DCCC and NR­CC have spent roughly the same amount on the race so far. Both can­did­ates hope to neg­at­ively define each oth­er, with Peters ty­ing De­Maio to the tea party and De­Maio blam­ing Peters for San Diego’s pen­sion crisis.

18. CO-06: Re­pub­lic­an Rep. Mike Coff­man run­ning for reelec­tion. Coff­man rep­res­ents a nearly 20 per­cent Latino dis­trict that Obama won by a 5-point mar­gin in 2012, and his op­pon­ent, former state House Speak­er An­drew Ro­man­off, has proved to be a strong fun­draiser. But Coff­man has be­ne­fit­ted from more out­side spend­ing, and hasn’t made any ma­jor mis­takes on the cam­paign trail like South­er­land or Terry (or the 2012 vin­tage of Coff­man, for that mat­ter).

19. CA-07: Demo­crat­ic Rep. Ami Be­ra run­ning for reelec­tion. Be­ra ap­pears to have about a 50-50 chance at reelec­tion over Re­pub­lic­an former Rep. Doug Ose. Last month, a Demo­crat­ic poll showed Be­ra with a 4-point lead, and a Re­pub­lic­an poll showed Ose with a 4-point lead. The dis­trict leans slightly Demo­crat­ic, but both polls showed Obama’s ap­prov­al rat­ing un­der­wa­ter.

20. AR-02: Re­pub­lic­an Rep. Tim Griffin re­tir­ing. Demo­crats hope this could be their biggest sur­prise pickup. The dis­trict is con­ser­vat­ive, but Demo­crat Patrick Henry Hays, the former may­or of North Little Rock, has been on the air­waves to tout his work at­tract­ing loc­al jobs and bal­an­cing the town’s budget. And the DCCC has ag­gress­ively gone after “mil­lion­aire banker” French Hill. An in­tern­al poll showed Hays hold­ing a 3-point edge over Hill, per­haps ex­plain­ing why the DCCC re­cently re­in­forced its ad buy here.

21. VA-10: Re­pub­lic­an Rep. Frank Wolf re­tir­ing. Re­pub­lic­an state Del. Bar­bara Com­stock, who used to work for Wolf, hopes to run on his leg­acy—Wolf even ap­peared in her first TV ad. But the in­creas­ingly di­verse (and in­creas­ingly blue) dis­trict is in play for Fair­fax County Su­per­visor John Foust. Per­haps the biggest bar­ri­er to Demo­crats flip­ping this seat: Foust ac­cused Com­stock, who has mostly worked in polit­ics, of nev­er hav­ing “a real job,” which Re­pub­lic­ans called sex­ist. If Foust fails to hold an ad­vant­age among wo­men voters, this could be a wasted op­por­tun­ity for Demo­crats.

22. MN-08: Demo­crat­ic Rep. Rick No­lan run­ning for reelec­tion. Stew­art Mills, “the Brad Pitt of the Re­pub­lic­an Party,” turned No­lan’s reelec­tion bid in­to a toss-up des­pite Demo­crats’ slight re­gis­tra­tion ad­vant­age in the dis­trict. No­lan also seemed to run a leth­ar­gic cam­paign—al­though his re­cent an­nounce­ment that he raised an im­press­ive $641,000 in the third quarter of the year looks like a good sign.

23. MA-06: Demo­crat­ic Rep. John Tier­ney lost primary. Demo­crats have a bet­ter chance at hold­ing this seat now that Mar­ine Corps vet­er­an Seth Moulton is their can­did­ate in­stead of Tier­ney, whose fam­ily’s rack­et­eer­ing con­vic­tions would have been a bur­den. Re­pub­lic­an former state Sen. Richard Ti­sei nearly beat Tier­ney in 2012. He’s still a con­tender this cycle, but he has less to run against, though Moulton has to re­plen­ish his cam­paign cash quickly after the Septem­ber primary.

24. WV-02: Re­pub­lic­an Rep. Shel­ley Moore Capito run­ning for Sen­ate. The open-seat race may be Demo­crats’ most am­bi­tious le­git­im­ate at­tempt at flip­ping a seat. Like West Vir­gin­ia’s 3rd Dis­trict, this is a con­ser­vat­ive area where Obama is un­pop­u­lar. But Demo­crats hope that Re­pub­lic­an Alex Mooney, who lived in Mary­land and con­sidered a con­gres­sion­al run there be­fore mov­ing across the bor­der, fails to con­nect with voters who see him as a car­pet­bag­ger. Nick Ca­sey, the former chair­man of the West Vir­gin­ia Demo­crat­ic Party, has struck a bi­par­tis­an tone in the hopes of win­ning over in­de­pend­ents and Re­pub­lic­ans who want a loc­al to rep­res­ent them.

25. NY-01: Demo­crat­ic Rep. Tim Bish­op run­ning for reelec­tion. Bish­op faces a tough reelec­tion bid partly be­cause of al­leg­a­tions that he asked for a cam­paign con­tri­bu­tion after help­ing a con­stitu­ent get a per­mit. The NR­CC has run TV ads call­ing Bish­op “cor­rupt and proud of it.” But a Si­ena Col­lege poll last month had Bish­op lead­ing Re­pub­lic­an state Sen. Lee Zeld­in by 10 points.

26. ME-02: Demo­crat­ic Rep. Mike Michaud run­ning for gov­ernor. This dis­trict leans left, but Michaud’s gubernat­ori­al run has left the seat open and giv­en Re­pub­lic­ans hope at an up­set. Re­pub­lic­an former state treas­urer Bruce Poli­quin led a small Uni­versity of New Hamp­shire poll by 10 points, but he is still seen as an un­der­dog to Demo­crat­ic state Sen. Emily Cain, who has a col­lec­tion of ma­jor Demo­crat­ic groups back­ing her up.

27. CA-26: Demo­crat­ic Rep. Ju­lia Brown­ley run­ning for reelec­tion. Brown­ley’s dis­trict also fa­vors Demo­crats, but Demo­crats have ac­know­ledged that state As­sembly­man Jeff Gorell is keep­ing the race close, and the Con­gres­sion­al Lead­er­ship Fund is spend­ing $500,000 to sup­port Gorell. This Ven­tura County-based dis­trict is chan­ging quickly, and Re­pub­lic­ans may not get an­oth­er good shot at it for a while if Gorell can’t beat Brown­ley this year.

28. NJ-03: Re­pub­lic­an Rep. Jon Run­yan re­tir­ing. After Run­yan an­nounced his re­tire­ment, this mod­er­ate dis­trict was a top tar­get for Demo­crats. But when wealthy, cen­ter-right Re­pub­lic­an Tom Ma­cAr­thur won the nom­in­a­tion over Steve Loneg­an, the race turned slightly in Re­pub­lic­ans’ fa­vor. Demo­crat Aimee Bel­gard, a Bur­l­ing­ton County Free­hold­er, still could win—a Septem­ber poll showed her and Ma­cAr­thur ex­actly tied at 42 per­cent each—but the self-fund­ing Ma­cAr­thur has a sig­ni­fic­ant fin­an­cial ad­vant­age.

29. NY-24: Demo­crat­ic Rep. Dan Maf­fei run­ning for reelec­tion. Maf­fei, who lost his seat in 2010, isn’t safe, but he has an edge over at­tor­ney John Katko. Maf­fei led a Si­ena Col­lege poll by 8 points last month, and he had a more than $1 mil­lion cash ad­vant­age over Katko as of Ju­ly. Still, Maf­fei’s .500 re­cord in past House races isn’t set­tling Demo­crat­ic nerves.

30. MN-07: Demo­crat­ic Rep. Col­lin Peterson run­ning for reelec­tion. Peterson has rep­res­en­ted his con­ser­vat­ive-trend­ing dis­trict since 1991, but Re­pub­lic­ans are high on state Sen. Tor­rey Westrom, who has a com­pel­ling per­son­al story. Both Demo­crats and Re­pub­lic­ans have re­leased polls show­ing Peterson with a lead, but the NR­CC has spent nearly $3 mil­lion on air­time in the dis­trict to try and change that, while Demo­crats in­sist Peterson’s per­son­al brand can with­stand any­thing they throw at him.

Hon­or­able men­tions: In TX-23, Demo­crat­ic Rep. Pete Gal­lego is re­l­at­ively pop­u­lar but faces a chal­lenge from former CIA agent Will Hurd in an evenly split dis­trict. In NY-18, Demo­crat­ic Rep. Sean Patrick Malo­ney faces a chal­lenge from former Rep. Nan Hay­worth. In CT-05, Demo­crat­ic Rep. Eliza­beth Esty faces a chal­lenge from busi­ness­man Mark Green­berg. In CA-21, Re­pub­lic­an Rep. Dav­id Valadao faces Aman­da Renter­ia, the first Lat­ina chief of staff in Sen­ate his­tory, in a ma­jor­ity-Latino dis­trict. In AR-04, Demo­crats hope James Lee Witt, who served as FEMA dir­ect­or un­der Pres­id­ent Clin­ton, can over­come the dis­trict’s con­ser­vat­ive lean­ings in an open-seat race. In MI-01, Re­pub­lic­an Rep. Dan Ben­ishek faces a chal­lenge from Army vet­er­an Jerry Can­non. In IL-13, Re­pub­lic­an Rep. Rod­ney Dav­is seems to have pulled away from highly touted Demo­crat­ic chal­lenger Ann Cal­lis, a former county judge. In NY-23, Demo­crat­ic Tomp­kins County Le­gis­lat­or Martha Robertson is chal­len­ging Re­pub­lic­an Rep. Tom Reed. In HI-01, Demo­crat­ic state Rep. Mark Takai is con­sidered the fa­vor­ite over Re­pub­lic­an Charles Djou, who briefly served in Con­gress after win­ning a spe­cial elec­tion in 2010.

What We're Following See More »
PASSED ON SO-CALLED "SAR" REPORTS
FinCen Official Charged with Leaking Info on Manafort, Gates
30 minutes ago
THE DETAILS
"A senior official working for the Treasury Department's Financial Crimes Enforcement Network (FinCEN) has been charged with leaking confidential financial reports on former Trump campaign advisers Paul Manafort, Richard Gates and others to a media outlet. Prosecutors say that Natalie Mayflower Sours Edwards, a senior adviser to FinCEN, photographed what are called suspicious activity reports, or SARs, and other sensitive government files and sent them to an unnamed reporter, in violation of U.S. law."
Source:
SMOKE REPORTED ONBOARD
Melania Trump's Plane Lands Safely After Mechanical Issue
4 hours ago
THE LATEST
PROBING COLLUSION AND OBSTRUCTION
Mueller To Release Key Findings After Midterms
4 hours ago
THE LATEST

"Special Counsel Robert Mueller is expected to issue findings on core aspects of his Russia probe soon after the November midterm elections ... Specifically, Mueller is close to rendering judgment on two of the most explosive aspects of his inquiry: whether there were clear incidents of collusion between Russia and Donald Trump’s 2016 campaign, and whether the president took any actions that constitute obstruction of justice." Mueller has faced pressure to wrap up the investigation from Deputy Attorney General Rod Rosenstein, said an official, who would receive the results of the investigation and have "some discretion in deciding what is relayed to Congress and what is publicly released," if he remains at his post.

Source:
SCENE APPEARED TO HAVE BEEN CLEANED, SANITIZED
Turks Say They Found Evidence that Khashoggi Was Killed in Embassy
1 days ago
THE LATEST
SAYS MBS CAN NEVER BE A WORLD LEADER
Graham Threatens Sanctions on Saudi Arabia
1 days ago
THE LATEST

“I’m not going back to Saudi Arabia as long as" Mohammed Bin Salman is in charge, Sen. Lindsey Graham said on Fox News today. “I’ve been their biggest defender on the floor of the United States Senate. This guy is a wrecking ball. He had [Khashoggi] murdered in a consulate in Turkey and to expect me to ignore it, I feel used and abused. The MBS figure is to me toxic, he can never be a world leader on the world stage.” Graham added that he intends to "sanction the hell out of Saudi Arabia.”

Source:
×
×

Welcome to National Journal!

You are currently accessing National Journal from IP access. Please login to access this feature. If you have any questions, please contact your Dedicated Advisor.

Login