Great news for people who like 2016 polls comically far-out from Election Day: New poll! With a new Republican front-runner! And it’s that guy who just said that thing that made all the outrage!
A new poll from CNN/ORC shows that former Arkansas governor and 2008 presidential candidate Mike Huckabee is now leading all other possible GOP presidential candidates with 14 percent of the Republican vote. That lead is followed up closely by Sen. Rand Paul, who carries 13 percent support. Further behind is Chris Christie, who is tied with Jeb Bush for 10 percent of the GOP-leaning vote.
This must be pretty exciting — for Mike Huckabee. Just under two weeks ago at the Republican National Committee’s winter meeting, the governor created a bit of a stir when he went off on Democrats for making women “believe that they are helpless without Uncle Sugar coming in and providing them a prescription each month for birth control because they cannot control their libido or their reproductive system without the government.”
Now, he’s leading in his second 2016 poll in the span of a week.
The downside for Huckabee? According to CNN’s poll, Hillary Clinton is just romping the opposition. In a head-to-head with Christie, CNN finds that Clinton has a 55-39 advantage among registered voters. And that’s the most competitive possible outcome. Against Huckabee, Clinton would have a 56-39 lead. She trails no Republicans in any of CNN’s head-to-heads.
All of this carries the most important caveat: It’s still wildly early to get a real sense of who’s going to win a party nomination in 2016, to say nothing of the White House itself. But Clinton is in a historically strong position if she decides to run, no matter whom she winds up going up against.
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"Wikileaks published more than 8,000 documents purportedly taken from the Democratic National Committee Friday, just days before the start of the party's convention in Philadelphia. The documents included briefings on off-the-record fundraisers and candid photographs."
Hillary Clinton "is widely expected to announce her choice" of vice president "in an email to supporters while on a campaign swing in Florida on Friday afternoon." The consensus: it'll be Sen. Tim Kaine of Virginia, although Sen. Cory Booker of New Jersey and Agriculture Secretary Tom Vilsack are also said to be in the running.
- A Rasmussen Reports poll shows Donald Trump ahead of Hillary Clinton, 43%-42%, the fourth week in a row he's led the poll (one of the few poll in which he's led consistently of late).
- A Reuters/Ipsos survey shows Clinton leading 40%-36%. In a four-way race, she maintains her four-point lead, 39%-35%, with Gary Johnson and Jill Stein pulling 7% and 3%, respectively.
- And the LA Times/USC daily tracking poll shows a dead heat, with Trump ahead by about half a percentage point.