Poll: Will Events in Ukraine Affect This Year’s Midterms?

Michael Catalini, Sarah Mimms and Peter Bell
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Michael Catalini Sarah Mimms Peter Bell
March 6, 2014, 4 p.m.

Will the events in Ukraine af­fect this year’s midterm elec­tions?

DEMO­CRATS (87 VOTES)

Yes: 31%
No: 69%

Yes

“Demo­crat­ic suc­cess in 2014 is a func­tion of an in­creased job rat­ing for Pres­id­ent Obama. Amer­ic­ans unite be­hind the pres­id­ent in times of crisis. If POTUS can re­solve the Crimean crisis suc­cess­fully, his job rat­ing will in­crease and help all Demo­crat­ic can­did­ates.”

“Ukraine will test the lead­er­ship of the pres­id­ent and the Demo­crats versus the GOP’s in­terest in re­start­ing the Cold War.”

“De­pends — but Putin backs down, Obama’s num­bers go up, which helps across the board.”

“I’d like to think it’s a little early to tell on this, but the ad­min­is­tra­tion’s con­tin­ued weak­ness on ma­jor for­eign policy is­sues cre­ates a huge ap­pear­ance of vul­ner­ab­il­ity. That just does not help any Demo­crat.”

“If Obama looks strong, it helps with in­de­pend­ents. If Obama looks weak, it will push toss-ups in­to the R column.”

No

“Did Geor­gia im­pact 2008? Ex­actly.”

“Voters don’t care about for­eign policy in midterm elec­tions (if they care about for­eign policy at all).”

“It will be LONG over and will have made al­most no im­pact on voters.”

“Not only do Amer­ic­ans have war fa­tigue, they have for­eign policy fa­tigue.”

“It doesn’t change a thing.”

“Too ab­stract to most people — un­less of course, the U.S. takes some overt ac­tion that im­pacts the mil­it­ary. But even then, with the eco­nomy still strug­gling, eco­nom­ic is­sues will dom­in­ate.”

“It’s March. As our pres­id­ent wisely noted, the snow will melt at some point. And this will play out, prob­ably to no one’s — in­clud­ing and es­pe­cially Vlad’s — be­ne­fit.”

“The elec­tion will turn on do­mest­ic is­sues — spe­cific­ally which party can help the strug­gling middle class.”

Will the events in Ukraine af­fect this year’s midterm elec­tions?

RE­PUB­LIC­ANS (93 VOTES)

Yes: 50%
No: 50%

Yes

“Obama’s weak­ness in hand­ling for­eign af­fairs can’t help Dems run­ning in the fall.”

“It’s an­oth­er straw on the camel’s back, as Obama heads to Carter-like stand­ing on for­eign policy.”

“Demo­crats have a per­cep­tion of be­ing weak on for­eign policy. Ukraine will re­in­force this per­cep­tion.”

“Dur­ing this crisis, Obama, Biden, Kerry, and Hagel will be the face of the party; that’s OK with us.”

“Just one more re­mind­er to voters that this ad­min­is­tra­tion and those who sup­port it are un­will­ing to deal with real­ity as adults.”

“When a pres­id­ent’s for­eign policy col­lapses and the world be­comes far more dan­ger­ous, his whole party suf­fers.”

“Even lib­er­al com­ment­at­ors are be­gin­ning to talk about Pres­id­ent Obama’s empty threats.”

“The midterm will be a ref­er­en­dum on POTUS and his lead­er­ship more than any­thing else. He seems to have let Putin totally play him here.”

No

“It’s un­likely, al­though the more the nar­rat­ive con­tin­ues that Rom­ney was right and Obama was wrong on Rus­sia, the worse it gets for the Demo­crats.”

“No, but this will im­pact the pres­id­en­tial elec­tion. Obama’s lead­er­ship (or lack there­of) will make Hil­lary more hawk­ish. Dems can’t keep bring­ing a baguette to these dip­lo­mat­ic knife fights.”

“Not un­less it turns in­to a world war, which it won’t.”

“House and Sen­ate races tend not to be im­pacted by for­eign af­fairs.”

“No Amer­ic­an troops are in harm’s way, and both U.S. polit­ic­al parties are on Kiev’s side.”

“While ex­tremely im­port­ant, it is not the eco­nomy.”

… … … … .

Demo­crat­ic Polit­ic­al In­siders Jill Alp­er, John An­za­lone, Brad Ban­non, Dave Beat­tie, Andy Bech­hoe­fer, Cor­nell Belch­er, Matt Ben­nett, Mitchell W. Ber­ger, Mike Ber­man, Stephanie Bosh, Paul Brath­waite, Donna Brazile, Mark Brew­er, Ed Bruley, George Bruno, Bon­nie Camp­bell, Bill Car­rick, Guy Cecil, Mar­tin J. Chavez, Tony Coelho, Larry Co­hen, Jerry Craw­ford, Brendan Daly, Jeff Daniel­son, Peter Daou, Howard Dean, Scott De­Fife, Jim De­mers, Tad Dev­ine, Dav­id Di Mar­tino, Debbie Din­gell, Mon­ica Dix­on, Patrick Dor­ton, Pat Du­jakovich, An­ita Dunn, Jeff Eller, Steve El­men­d­orf, Carter Eskew, Vic Fazio, Peter Fenn, Scott Fer­son, Jim Fleischmann, Tina Flournoy, Don Fo­ley, Jef­frey For­bes, Vin­cent Fril­lici, Gina Glantz, Niles Godes, John Mi­chael Gonza­lez, Joe Grand­mais­on, Anna Green­berg, Stan Green­berg, Pat Griffin, Larry Griso­lano, Mi­chael Gron­stal, Lisa Grove, Mar­cia Hale, Jill Hanauer, Dick Har­poot­li­an, Paul Harstad, Laura Hartigan, Doug Hat­t­away, Mike Henry, Kar­en Hicks, Leo Hindery Jr., Har­old Ickes, Mar­cus Jadotte, John Jameson, Steve Jard­ing, Jona­thon Jones, Jim Jordan, Gale Kauf­man, Lisa Koun­toupes, Celinda Lake, Dav­id Lang, Penny Lee, Chris Le­hane, Jeff Link, Bob Malo­ney, Jim Man­ley, Steve Marchand, Jim Mar­gol­is, Paul Maslin, Keith Ma­son, Susan Mc­Cue, Ger­ald McEntee, Steve McMa­hon, Tom McMa­hon, Phil Mc­Namara, Dav­id Med­ina, Mi­chael Mee­han, Mark Mell­man, John Mer­rigan, Mi­chael Mon­roe, Steve Murphy, Janet Na­pol­it­ano, Dav­id Nas­sar, Mar­cia Nich­ols, John Nor­ris, Tom Ochs, Tom O’Don­nell, Jef­frey Peck, De­bora Pig­na­telli, Tony Podesta, Je­frey Pol­lock, Jack Quinn, Larry Rasky, Mame Re­iley, Ed Rendell, Steve Ric­chetti, Will Robin­son, Steve Rosenth­al, Dav­id Rudd, Ry­an Rudom­in­er, John Ry­an, Mi­chael Sar­geant, Stephanie Schriock, Terry Shu­maker, Sean Sin­clair, Phil Sing­er, Erik Smith, Doug Sosnik, Greg Speed, Darry Sragow, Ken Strasma, Doug Thor­nell, Jef­frey Tram­mell, Ed Tur­l­ing­ton, Rick Wien­er, James Wil­li­ams, JoDee Win­ter­hof, Bri­an Wolff, Jon Young­dahl, and Jim Zo­gby.

GOP Polit­ic­al In­siders Dan Al­len, Stan An­der­son, Gary An­dres, Saul­i­us (Saul) Anuzis, Rich Ashooh, Whit Ayres, Brett Bader, Mitch Bain­wol, Bri­an Baker, Gary Bauer, Dav­id Beck­with, Paul Ben­necke, Clark Ben­son, Wayne Ber­man, Bri­an Bieron, Charlie Black, Kirk Bla­lock, Car­mine Boal, Jeff Boeyink, Ron Bon­jean, Jeff Bu­ley, Luke Byars, Nick Calio, Al Carde­n­as, Danny Car­roll, Alex Cas­tel­lanos, Ron Christie, Jim Cic­coni, Jonath­an Col­le­gio, Rob Collins, Cesar Conda, Jake Cor­man, Scott Cot­ting­ton, Jay Cran­ford, Greg Crist, Di­ane Crookham-John­son, Fer­gus Cul­len, Tom Dav­is, Mike Den­nehy, Ken Duber­stein, Debi Durham, Sara Fa­gen, Frank Fahren­kopf, John Fee­hery, Don Fierce, Mindy Finn, Carl Forti, Alex Gage, Bruce A. Gates, Sam Geduldig, Adam Geller, Ben­jamin Gins­berg, Dav­id Gir­ard-di­Carlo, Bill Green­er, Jonath­an Grella, Lanny Grif­fith, Janet Mullins Gris­som, Doug Gross, Todd Har­ris, Steve Hart, Chris­toph­er Healy, Ral­ph Hell­mann, Chris Hen­ick, Terry Holt, Dav­id Ian­nel­li, Ed Ingle, Jim In­no­cenzi, Clark Judge, Dav­id Keat­ing, Dav­id Ken­sing­er, Bob Kjel­lander, Ed Kut­ler, Chris La­Civ­ita, Jim Lake, Steven Law, Steve Lom­bardo, Kev­in Mad­den, Joel Maiola, Gary Malo­ney, Dav­id Mar­in, Mary Matal­in, Dan Mat­toon, Bri­an Mc­Cor­mack, Mark McKin­non, Kyle Mc­Slar­row, Ken Mehl­man, Jim Mer­rill, Lisa Cam­ooso Miller, Tim Mor­ris­on, Mike Murphy, Phil Musser, Ron Nehring, Terry Nel­son, Neil Ne­w­house, Dav­id Nor­cross, Zi­ad Ojakli, Jack Oliv­er, Todd Olsen, Kev­in O’Neill, Con­nie Par­toy­an, Billy Piper, Van B. Poole, Tom Rath, Scott Reed, Dav­id Rehr, Tom Reyn­olds, Steve Roberts, Jason Roe, Dav­id Roeder­er, Dan Schnur, Russ Schriefer, Rich Schwarm, Brent Seaborn, Rick Shelby, An­drew Shore, Kev­in Shuvalov, Don Sipple, Ken Spain, Fred Steep­er, Bob Steven­son, Terry Sul­li­van, Dav­id Tamasi, Eric Tan­en­blatt, Richard Temple, Heath Thompson, Jay Tim­mons, War­ren Tomp­kins, Ted Van Der Meid, Dirk van Don­gen, Jan van Lo­huizen, Stew­art Ver­dery, Dick Wadhams, John Weaver, Lezlee West­ine, Dave Win­ston, Ginny Wolfe, Fred Wszolek, and Mat­thew Zablud.

Will the events in Ukraine affect this year's midterm elections?

DEMO­CRATS (87 VOTES)

Yes: 31%
No: 69%

Yes

“Demo­crat­ic suc­cess in 2014 is a func­tion of an in­creased job rat­ing for Pres­id­ent Obama. Amer­ic­ans unite be­hind the pres­id­ent in times of crisis. If POTUS can re­solve the Crimean crisis suc­cess­fully, his job rat­ing will in­crease and help all Demo­crat­ic can­did­ates.”

“Ukraine will test the lead­er­ship of the pres­id­ent and the Demo­crats versus the GOP’s in­terest in re­start­ing the Cold War.”

“De­pends — but Putin backs down, Obama’s num­bers go up, which helps across the board.”

“I’d like to think it’s a little early to tell on this, but the ad­min­is­tra­tion’s con­tin­ued weak­ness on ma­jor for­eign policy is­sues cre­ates a huge ap­pear­ance of vul­ner­ab­il­ity. That just does not help any Demo­crat.”

“If Obama looks strong, it helps with in­de­pend­ents. If Obama looks weak, it will push toss-ups in­to the R column.”

No

“Did Geor­gia im­pact 2008? Ex­actly.”

“Voters don’t care about for­eign policy in midterm elec­tions (if they care about for­eign policy at all).”

“It will be LONG over and will have made al­most no im­pact on voters.”

“Not only do Amer­ic­ans have war fa­tigue, they have for­eign policy fa­tigue.”

“It doesn’t change a thing.”

“Too ab­stract to most people — un­less of course, the U.S. takes some overt ac­tion that im­pacts the mil­it­ary. But even then, with the eco­nomy still strug­gling, eco­nom­ic is­sues will dom­in­ate.”

“It’s March. As our pres­id­ent wisely noted, the snow will melt at some point. And this will play out, prob­ably to no one’s — in­clud­ing and es­pe­cially Vlad’s — be­ne­fit.”

“The elec­tion will turn on do­mest­ic is­sues — spe­cific­ally which party can help the strug­gling middle class.”

Will the events in Ukraine affect this year's midterm elections?

RE­PUB­LIC­ANS (93 VOTES)

Yes: 50%
No: 50%

Yes

“Obama’s weak­ness in hand­ling for­eign af­fairs can’t help Dems run­ning in the fall.”

“It’s an­oth­er straw on the camel’s back, as Obama heads to Carter-like stand­ing on for­eign policy.”

“Demo­crats have a per­cep­tion of be­ing weak on for­eign policy. Ukraine will re­in­force this per­cep­tion.”

“Dur­ing this crisis, Obama, Biden, Kerry, and Hagel will be the face of the party; that’s OK with us.”

“Just one more re­mind­er to voters that this ad­min­is­tra­tion and those who sup­port it are un­will­ing to deal with real­ity as adults.”

“When a pres­id­ent’s for­eign policy col­lapses and the world be­comes far more dan­ger­ous, his whole party suf­fers.”

“Even lib­er­al com­ment­at­ors are be­gin­ning to talk about Pres­id­ent Obama’s empty threats.”

“The midterm will be a ref­er­en­dum on POTUS and his lead­er­ship more than any­thing else. He seems to have let Putin totally play him here.”

No

“It’s un­likely, al­though the more the nar­rat­ive con­tin­ues that Rom­ney was right and Obama was wrong on Rus­sia, the worse it gets for the Demo­crats.”

“No, but this will im­pact the pres­id­en­tial elec­tion. Obama’s lead­er­ship (or lack there­of) will make Hil­lary more hawk­ish. Dems can’t keep bring­ing a baguette to these dip­lo­mat­ic knife fights.”

“Not un­less it turns in­to a world war, which it won’t.”

“House and Sen­ate races tend not to be im­pacted by for­eign af­fairs.”

“No Amer­ic­an troops are in harm’s way, and both U.S. polit­ic­al parties are on Kiev’s side.”

“While ex­tremely im­port­ant, it is not the eco­nomy.”

… … … … .

Demo­crat­ic Polit­ic­al In­siders Jill Alp­er, John An­za­lone, Brad Ban­non, Dave Beat­tie, Andy Bech­hoe­fer, Cor­nell Belch­er, Matt Ben­nett, Mitchell W. Ber­ger, Mike Ber­man, Stephanie Bosh, Paul Brath­waite, Donna Brazile, Mark Brew­er, Ed Bruley, George Bruno, Bon­nie Camp­bell, Bill Car­rick, Guy Cecil, Mar­tin J. Chavez, Tony Coelho, Larry Co­hen, Jerry Craw­ford, Brendan Daly, Jeff Daniel­son, Peter Daou, Howard Dean, Scott De­Fife, Jim De­mers, Tad Dev­ine, Dav­id Di Mar­tino, Debbie Din­gell, Mon­ica Dix­on, Patrick Dor­ton, Pat Du­jakovich, An­ita Dunn, Jeff Eller, Steve El­men­d­orf, Carter Eskew, Vic Fazio, Peter Fenn, Scott Fer­son, Jim Fleischmann, Tina Flournoy, Don Fo­ley, Jef­frey For­bes, Vin­cent Fril­lici, Gina Glantz, Niles Godes, John Mi­chael Gonza­lez, Joe Grand­mais­on, Anna Green­berg, Stan Green­berg, Pat Griffin, Larry Griso­lano, Mi­chael Gron­stal, Lisa Grove, Mar­cia Hale, Jill Hanauer, Dick Har­poot­li­an, Paul Harstad, Laura Hartigan, Doug Hat­t­away, Mike Henry, Kar­en Hicks, Leo Hindery Jr., Har­old Ickes, Mar­cus Jadotte, John Jameson, Steve Jard­ing, Jona­thon Jones, Jim Jordan, Gale Kauf­man, Lisa Koun­toupes, Celinda Lake, Dav­id Lang, Penny Lee, Chris Le­hane, Jeff Link, Bob Malo­ney, Jim Man­ley, Steve Marchand, Jim Mar­gol­is, Paul Maslin, Keith Ma­son, Susan Mc­Cue, Ger­ald McEntee, Steve McMa­hon, Tom McMa­hon, Phil Mc­Namara, Dav­id Med­ina, Mi­chael Mee­han, Mark Mell­man, John Mer­rigan, Mi­chael Mon­roe, Steve Murphy, Janet Na­pol­it­ano, Dav­id Nas­sar, Mar­cia Nich­ols, John Nor­ris, Tom Ochs, Tom O’Don­nell, Jef­frey Peck, De­bora Pig­na­telli, Tony Podesta, Je­frey Pol­lock, Jack Quinn, Larry Rasky, Mame Re­iley, Ed Rendell, Steve Ric­chetti, Will Robin­son, Steve Rosenth­al, Dav­id Rudd, Ry­an Rudom­in­er, John Ry­an, Mi­chael Sar­geant, Stephanie Schriock, Terry Shu­maker, Sean Sin­clair, Phil Sing­er, Erik Smith, Doug Sosnik, Greg Speed, Darry Sragow, Ken Strasma, Doug Thor­nell, Jef­frey Tram­mell, Ed Tur­l­ing­ton, Rick Wien­er, James Wil­li­ams, JoDee Win­ter­hof, Bri­an Wolff, Jon Young­dahl, and Jim Zo­gby.

GOP Polit­ic­al In­siders Dan Al­len, Stan An­der­son, Gary An­dres, Saul­i­us (Saul) Anuzis, Rich Ashooh, Whit Ayres, Brett Bader, Mitch Bain­wol, Bri­an Baker, Gary Bauer, Dav­id Beck­with, Paul Ben­necke, Clark Ben­son, Wayne Ber­man, Bri­an Bieron, Charlie Black, Kirk Bla­lock, Car­mine Boal, Jeff Boeyink, Ron Bon­jean, Jeff Bu­ley, Luke Byars, Nick Calio, Al Carde­n­as, Danny Car­roll, Alex Cas­tel­lanos, Ron Christie, Jim Cic­coni, Jonath­an Col­le­gio, Rob Collins, Cesar Conda, Jake Cor­man, Scott Cot­ting­ton, Jay Cran­ford, Greg Crist, Di­ane Crookham-John­son, Fer­gus Cul­len, Tom Dav­is, Mike Den­nehy, Ken Duber­stein, Debi Durham, Sara Fa­gen, Frank Fahren­kopf, John Fee­hery, Don Fierce, Mindy Finn, Carl Forti, Alex Gage, Bruce A. Gates, Sam Geduldig, Adam Geller, Ben­jamin Gins­berg, Dav­id Gir­ard-di­Carlo, Bill Green­er, Jonath­an Grella, Lanny Grif­fith, Janet Mullins Gris­som, Doug Gross, Todd Har­ris, Steve Hart, Chris­toph­er Healy, Ral­ph Hell­mann, Chris Hen­ick, Terry Holt, Dav­id Ian­nel­li, Ed Ingle, Jim In­no­cenzi, Clark Judge, Dav­id Keat­ing, Dav­id Ken­sing­er, Bob Kjel­lander, Ed Kut­ler, Chris La­Civ­ita, Jim Lake, Steven Law, Steve Lom­bardo, Kev­in Mad­den, Joel Maiola, Gary Malo­ney, Dav­id Mar­in, Mary Matal­in, Dan Mat­toon, Bri­an Mc­Cor­mack, Mark McKin­non, Kyle Mc­Slar­row, Ken Mehl­man, Jim Mer­rill, Lisa Cam­ooso Miller, Tim Mor­ris­on, Mike Murphy, Phil Musser, Ron Nehring, Terry Nel­son, Neil Ne­w­house, Dav­id Nor­cross, Zi­ad Ojakli, Jack Oliv­er, Todd Olsen, Kev­in O’Neill, Con­nie Par­toy­an, Billy Piper, Van B. Poole, Tom Rath, Scott Reed, Dav­id Rehr, Tom Reyn­olds, Steve Roberts, Jason Roe, Dav­id Roeder­er, Dan Schnur, Russ Schriefer, Rich Schwarm, Brent Seaborn, Rick Shelby, An­drew Shore, Kev­in Shuvalov, Don Sipple, Ken Spain, Fred Steep­er, Bob Steven­son, Terry Sul­li­van, Dav­id Tamasi, Eric Tan­en­blatt, Richard Temple, Heath Thompson, Jay Tim­mons, War­ren Tomp­kins, Ted Van Der Meid, Dirk van Don­gen, Jan van Lo­huizen, Stew­art Ver­dery, Dick Wadhams, John Weaver, Lezlee West­ine, Dave Win­ston, Ginny Wolfe, Fred Wszolek, and Mat­thew Zablud.

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