EXCLUSIVE POLL: Insiders from Both Parties Give Obama High Marks

.photo.right { display:none; }

Closure: Obama provided some.
National Journal
James A. Barnes Peter Bell
See more stories about...
James A. Barnes Peter Bell
May 2, 2011, 2:17 p.m.

Pres­id­ent Obama has re­ceived a ma­jor polit­ic­al boost””at least for now””from the suc­cess­ful U.S. mil­it­ary ac­tion that killed 9-11 mas­ter-mind Osama bin Laden, ac­cord­ing to a Na­tion­al Journ­al Polit­ic­al In­siders Poll con­duc­ted this af­ter­noon. Asked what the im­pact of killing Bin Laden would be the Pres­id­ent’s polit­ic­al stand­ing, more than 90 per­cent of the Demo­crat­ic In­siders and two-thirds of the Re­pub­lic­an In­siders said that the Obama would see a “great deal” or a “fair amount” of im­prove­ment in his po­s­i­tion.

With the suc­cess­ful mil­it­ary strike, In­siders in both parties felt that Obama has been able to quell doubts about his con­duct of for­eign policy and burn­ished his lead­er­ship im­age. “For once the Pres­id­ent has shown he can lead and get res­ults,” said one Re­pub­lic­an In­sider. “He looks stronger than he has on any oth­er is­sue.” A Demo­crat­ic In­sider echoed that this is a “huge pos­it­ive for him as com­mand­er in chief: the more de­tails come out the bet­ter he and his na­tion­al se­cur­ity team look.” An­oth­er Demo­crat­ic In­sider noted: “One of the main cri­ti­cisms [of Obama] is that when it comes to for­eign policy, he is not strong enough and is an apo­lo­gist to the world””this puts those ar­gu­ments to bed.”

And one Re­pub­lic­an In­sider went so far as to de­clare that “for­eign Policy is off the table as a 2012 is­sue. Go­ing from spec­tat­or-in-chief to ‘Lord High Ex­e­cu­tion­er’ demon­strates re­solve, tough­ness and pur­pose.”

At the same time, many In­siders cau­tioned that the boost to Obama’s stand­ing could be short-lived. “It will be fleet­ing,” averred a Demo­crat­ic In­sider. “The [pub­lic’s] fo­cus will re­turn to jobs and the eco­nomy in un­der two weeks. However, OBL will be a stand­ing line in all speeches go­ing for­ward.” Ad­ded a GOP In­sider: “Amer­ic­ans have short memor­ies, so gas prices, the wars, and the gen­er­al eco­nom­ic mal­aise will come back in a week or two.”

Sev­er­al In­siders, both Demo­crats and Re­pub­lic­ans, re­called that after the suc­cess­ful pro­sec­u­tion of the first Ir­aq war, Pres­id­ent George H. W. Bush saw his poll num­bers leap in­to the polit­ic­al stra­to­sphere, only to tumble back to earth when the eco­nomy soured in 1991 and 1992. “We all re­mem­ber the tri­umphant Bush 41 at the Gulf War vic­tory parade; however by Novem­ber, ‘92, not so much,” said one Re­pub­lic­an In­sider. “Re­mem­ber, these bumps are not al­ways en­dur­ing,” said a Demo­crat­ic In­sider. “[George H. W.] Bush after Desert Storm had a 91 per­cent ap­prov­al rat­ing then lost the elec­tion 18 months later to Bill Clin­ton.”

In­deed, In­siders in both parties spec­u­lated that the rising gas prices could quickly un­der­cut the Pres­id­ent’s polit­ic­al gain. “It will have a small im­prove­ment that people will re­mem­ber un­til the next time they fill their cars with gas,” said a Demo­crat­ic In­sider. “It will help a lot, un­til gas hits $4.50 a gal­lon,” echoed a Re­pub­lic­an.

The Na­tion­al Journ­al Polit­ic­al In­siders Poll is a reg­u­lar sur­vey of polit­ic­al op­er­at­ives, strategists, cam­paign con­sult­ants and lob­by­ists in both parties. Be­low are the names of the In­siders who are sur­veyed:

Demo­crat­ic Polit­ic­al In­siders Jill Alp­er, John An­za­lone, Brad Ban­non, Dave Beat­tie, Andy Bech­hoe­fer, Cor­nell Belch­er, Matt Ben­nett, Mitchell W. Ber­ger, Mike Ber­man, Stephanie Bosh, Paul Brath­waite, Donna Brazile, Mark Brew­er, Ed Bruley, George Bruno, Deb Cal­la­han, Bon­nie Camp­bell, Bill Car­rick, Guy Cecil, Mar­tin J. Chavez, Tony Coelho, Larry Co­hen, Jerry Craw­ford, Brendan Daly, Jeff Daniel­son, Peter Daou, Howard Dean, Scott De­Fife, Jim De­mers, Tad Dev­ine, Dav­id Di Mar­tino, Debbie Din­gell, Mon­ica Dix­on, Patrick Dor­ton, Pat Du­jakovich, An­ita Dunn, Jeff Eller, Steve El­men­d­orf, Carter Eskew, Vic Fazio, Peter Fenn, Scott Fer­son, Jim Fleischmann, Tina Flournoy, Don Fo­ley, Jef­frey For­bes, Vin­cent Fril­lici, Gina Glantz, Niles Godes, John Mi­chael Gonza­lez, Joe Grand­mais­on, Anna Green­berg, Stan Green­berg, Pat Griffin, Larry Griso­lano, Mi­chael Gron­stal, Lisa Grove, Mar­cia Hale, Jill Hanauer, Dick Har­poot­li­an, Paul Harstad, Laura Hartigan, Doug Hat­t­away, Mike Henry, Kar­en Hicks, Leo Hindery Jr., Har­old Ickes, Mar­cus Jadotte, John Jameson, Steve Jard­ing, Jona­thon Jones, Jim Jordan, Gale Kauf­man, Lisa Koun­toupes, Kam Kuwata, Celinda Lake, Dav­id Lang, Penny Lee, Chris Le­hane, Jeff Link, Bill Lynch, Bob Malo­ney, Steve Marchand, Jim Mar­gol­is, Paul Maslin, Keith Ma­son, Susan Mc­Cue, Ger­ald McEntee, Tom McMa­hon, Phil Mc­Namara, Dav­id Med­ina, Mi­chael Mee­han, Mark Mell­man, John Mer­rigan, Steve Murphy, Janet Na­pol­it­ano, Dav­id Nas­sar, Mar­cia Nich­ols, John Nor­ris, Tom Ochs, Tom O’Don­nell, Scott Par­ven, Jef­frey Peck, De­bora Pig­na­telli, Tony Podesta, Jack Quinn, Larry Rasky, Mame Re­iley, Steve Ric­chetti, Will Robin­son, Steve Rosenth­al, Dav­id Rudd, John Ry­an, Mi­chael Sar­geant, Stephanie Schriock, Wendy Sher­man, Terry Shu­maker, Sean Sin­clair, Phil Sing­er, Erik Smith, Doug Sosnik, Greg Speed, Darry Sragow, Ken Strasma, Kat­rina Swett Sarah, Swish­er, Doug Thor­nell, Jef­frey Tram­mell, Ed Tur­l­ing­ton, Rick Wien­er, James Wil­li­ams, JoDee Win­ter­hof, Bri­an Wolff, Jon Young­dahl, and Jim Zo­gby.

GOP Polit­ic­al In­siders Dan Al­len, Stan An­der­son, Gary An­dres, Saul­i­us (Saul) Anuzis, Rich Ashooh, Whit Ayres, Brett Bader, Mitch Bain­wol, Gary Bauer, Dav­id Beck­with, Paul Ben­necke, Clark Ben­son, Wayne Ber­man, Bri­an Bieron, Charlie Black, Kirk Bla­lock, Car­mine Boal, Jeff Boeyink, Ron Bon­jean, Jeff Bu­ley, Luke Byars, Nick Calio, Al Carde­n­as, Danny Car­roll, Ron Christie, Jim Cic­coni, Rob Collins, Cesar Conda, Jake Cor­man, Scott Cot­ting­ton, Greg Crist, Di­ane Crookham-John­son, Fer­gus Cul­len, Tom Dav­is, Mike Den­nehy, Ken Duber­stein, Steve Duprey, Debi Durham, Sara Fa­gen, Frank Fahren­kopf, John Fee­hery, Don Fierce, Mindy Finn, Mindy Fletch­er, Carl Forti, Alex Gage, Bruce A. Gates, Sam Geduldig, Adam Geller, Ben­jamin Gins­berg, Dav­id Gir­ard-di­Carlo, Bill Green­er, Lanny Grif­fith, Janet Mullins Gris­som, Doug Gross, Todd Har­ris, Steve Hart, Chris­toph­er Healy, Ral­ph Hell­mann, Chris Hen­ick, Terry Holt, Dav­id Ian­nel­li, Ed Ingle, Jim In­no­conzi, Clark Judge, Dav­id Keat­ing, Dav­id Ken­sing­er, Bob Kjel­lander, Ed Kut­ler, Chris La­Civ­ita, Jim Lake, George S. LeMieux, Steve Lom­bardo, Kev­in Mad­den, Joel Maiola, Gary Malo­ney, Dav­id Mar­in, Mary Matal­in, Dan Mat­toon, Bri­an Mc­Cor­mack, Mark McKin­non, Kyle Mc­Slar­row, Ken Mehl­man, Jim Mer­rill, Lisa Cam­ooso Miller, Tim Mor­ris­on, Mike Murphy, Phil Musser, Ron Nehring, Terry Nel­son, Neil Ne­w­house, Dav­id Nor­cross, Zi­ad Ojakli, Jack Oliv­er, Todd Olsen, Con­nie Par­toy­an, Dana Peri­no, Billy Piper, Van B. Poole, Tom Rath, Scott Reed, Dav­id Rehr, Tom Reyn­olds, Steve Roberts, Jason Roe, Dav­id Roeder­er, Dan Schnur, Russ Schriefer, Rich Schwarm, Brent Seaborn, Rick Shelby, An­drew Shore, Kev­in Shuvalov, Don Sipple, Ken Spain, Fred Steep­er, Bob Steven­son, Terry Sul­li­van, Eric Tan­en­blatt, Richard Temple, Heath Thompson, Jay Tim­mons, War­ren Tomp­kins, Ted Van Der Meid, Dirk van Don­gen, Jan van Lo­huizen, Stew­art Ver­dery, Dick Wadhams, John Weaver, Lezlee West­ine, Dave Win­ston, Ginny Wolfe, and Fred Wszolek.

What We're Following See More »
‘PULLING A TRUMP’
GOP Budget Chiefs Won’t Invite Administration to Testify
1 days ago
THE DETAILS

The administration will release its 2017 budget blueprint tomorrow, but the House and Senate budget committees won’t be inviting anyone from the White House to come talk about it. “The chairmen of the House and Senate Budget committees released a joint statement saying it simply wasn’t worth their time” to hear from OMB Director Shaun Donovan. Accusing the members of pulling a “Donald Trump,” White House spokesman Josh Earnest said the move “raises some questions about how confident they are about the kinds of arguments that they could make.”

Source:
A DARK CLOUD OVER TRUMP?
Snowstorm Could Impact Primary Turnout
1 days ago
THE LATEST

A snowstorm is supposed to hit New Hampshire today and “linger into Primary Tuesday.” GOP consultant Ron Kaufman said lower turnout should help candidates who have spent a lot of time in the state tending to retail politicking. Donald Trump “has acknowledged that he needs to step up his ground-game, and a heavy snowfall could depress his figures relative to more organized candidates.”

Source:
IN CASE OF EMERGENCY
A Shake-Up in the Offing in the Clinton Camp?
1 days ago
THE DETAILS

Anticipating a primary loss in New Hampshire on Tuesday, Hillary and Bill Clinton “are considering staffing and strategy changes” to their campaign. Sources tell Politico that the Clintons are likely to layer over top officials with experienced talent, rather than fire their staff en masse.

Source:
THE LAST ROUND OF NEW HAMPSHIRE POLLS
Trump Is Still Ahead, but Who’s in Second?
16 hours ago
THE LATEST

We may not be talking about New Hampshire primary polls for another three-and-a-half years, so here goes:

  • American Research Group’s tracking poll has Donald Trump in the lead with 30% support, followed by Marco Rubio and John Kasich tying for second place at 16%. On the Democratic side, Bernie Sanders leads Hillary Clinton 53%-41%.
  • The 7 News/UMass Lowell tracking poll has Trump way out front with 34%, followed by Rubio and Ted Cruz with 13% apiece. Among the Democrats, Sanders is in front 56%-40%.
  • A Gravis poll puts Trump ahead with 28%, followed by Kasich with 17% and Rubio with 15%.
IT’S ALL ABOUT SECOND PLACE
CNN Calls the Primary for Sanders and Trump
3 hours ago
THE LATEST

Well that didn’t take long. CNN has already declared Bernie Sanders and Donald Trump the winners of the New Hampshire primary, leaving the rest of the candidates to fight for the scraps. Five minutes later, the Associated Press echoed CNN’s call.

Source:
×