The clearest dividing line on how people think about the Obamacare right now is between college- and non-college-educated white voters, a key distinction as one red-state Democratic group goes on the air with TV ads defending the law as strongly as any spots in four years.
— In new data from the Pew Research Center, Obamacare approval only narrowly trails disapproval among college whites, 42%-49%. But that gap becomes a chasm among non-college whites (22%-66%). And while college whites split 31%-33% on whether the law will affect their families positively or negatively in the future, non-college whites emphatically reject the possibility that it will help (17%-48%).
— That sets up very different fights over the law in, say, Colorado and New Hampshire (where recent exit polls put college whites at over half the electorate) versus red states like Arkansas or Montana (or Kentucky, where the state health exchange has performed well) where there have been non-college white majorities of voters.
— That makes the latest TV ad out in Alaska particularly interesting: The pro-Mark Begich super PAC there is featuring a woman cancer survivor who says that after being denied coverage by insurance companies, “I now have health insurance again, because of Mark Begich.” Personalizing the issue, which research demonstrates to work better than statistics, looks like a stab at “showing, not telling” people that Obamacare could affect them positively in the future.
Among non-college whites, at least, there’s really no where for Democrats to go on Obamacare but up. Whether that represents an opportunity to message to them in new ways, or a harsh reality ahead of November, remains to be seen.
— Scott Bland
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When it comes to name-calling among America's upper echelon of politicians, there may be perhaps no greater spat than the one currently going on between Sen. Elizabeth Warren and Donald Trump. While receiving an award Tuesday night, she continued a months-long feud with the presumptive GOP presidential nominee. Calling him a "small, insecure moneygrubber" who probably doesn't know three things about Dodd-Frank, she said he "will NEVER be president of the United States," according to her prepared remarks."We don't know what Trump pays in taxes because he is the first presidential nominee in 40 years to refuse to disclose his tax returns. Maybe he’s just a lousy businessman who doesn’t want you to find out that he’s worth a lot less money than he claims." It follows a long-line of Warren attacks over Twitter, Facebook and in interviews that Trump is a sexist, racist, narcissistic loser. In reply, Trump has called Warren either "goofy" or "the Indian"—referring to her controversial assertion of her Native American heritage.
The House on Tuesday voted 403-12 "to pass an overhaul to the nation’s chemical safety standards for the first time in four decades. The Frank R. Lautenberg Chemical Safety for the 21st Century Act aims to answer years of complaints that the Environmental Protection Agency lacks the necessary authority to oversee and control the thousands of chemicals being produced and sold in the United States. It also significantly clamps down on states’ authorities, in an effort to stop a nationwide patchwork of chemical laws that industry says is difficult to deal with."
"Leaders of the Republican Party have begun internal deliberations over making fundamental changes to the way its presidential nominees are chosen, a recognition that the chaotic process that played out this year is seriously flawed and helped exacerbate tensions within the party." Among the possible changes: forbidding independent voters to cast ballots in Republican primaries, and "doubling the number of early states to eight."
Citing the unpredictable nature of this primary season and the possible leverage they could bring at the convention, John Kasich is hanging onto his 161 delegates. "Kasich sent personal letters Monday to Republican officials in the 16 states and the District of Columbia where he won delegates, requesting that they stay bound to him in accordance with party rules."
Bernie Sanders "signed a letter Tuesday morning requesting a full and complete check and recanvass of the election results in Kentucky ... where he trails Hillary Clinton by less than one-half of 1 percent of the vote. The Sanders campaign said it has asked the Kentucky secretary of state to have election officials review electronic voting machines and absentee ballots from last week's primary in each of the state's 120 counties.