Will Scott Brown run in New Hampshire after all? For months, most Granite State and D.C. Republicans have considered the former lawmaker more interested in attention than an actual Senate campaign. But Brown’s deluge of campaign-style visits, accompanied by a raft of stories about his intentions, have convinced many he’s now serious about running. Still, he’s not in yet, and there are a host of reasons to think he never will be.
— Despite his visits, Brown hasn’t personally courted GOP leaders and conservative activists, an important step for any candidate considering a bid for statewide office (much less in a place where voters expect future presidents to bend hand-on-knee asking for their vote). Many party leaders, in fact, say they don’t think Brown even has a formal group of advisers, in Massachusetts or New Hampshire. Brown’s contemplating a campaign, but he appears to be doing entirely inside his own head.
— He won’t necessarily receive a free pass in a primary. Yes, Republicans are excited that they might finally have found a credible candidate to take on incumbent Jeanne Shaheen, and, yes, the primary field is so far barren of any other top-tier contenders. But the Bay State Republican’s record begs for sort of conservative challenge all too common in GOP politics: Among other things, he has supported abortion rights, a ban on assault weapons and opposed Paul Ryan’s budget and the Bush-era tax cuts. Does Brown, currently earning a comfortable living in the private sector, have the stomach to beat back conservative criticism?
— And then there’s the matter of the general election. New Hampshire is a swing state, especially in a midterm election, but Shaheen is a relatively popular incumbent staring down an overt carpetbagger. Even with Obamacare’s struggles, Brown would start as an underdog.
Most agree he can wait until late winter to decide on a campaign. By that time, hopefully he remembers which state he’s running in.
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Trump, in a statement: “Based on the fact that the Democratic nominating process is totally rigged and Crooked Hillary Clinton and Deborah Wasserman Schultz will not allow Bernie Sanders to win, and now that I am the presumptive Republican nominee, it seems inappropriate that I would debate the second place finisher. ... I will wait to debate the first place finisher in the Democratic Party, probably Crooked Hillary Clinton, or whoever it may be.”
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"Donald Trump on Thursday reached the number of delegates needed to clinch the Republican nomination for president, completing an unlikely rise that has upended the political landscape and sets the stage for a bitter fall campaign. Trump was put over the top in the Associated Press delegate count by a small number of the party's unbound delegates who told the AP they would support him at the convention."
"Clinton and Bernie Sanders "are now devoting additional money to television advertising. A day after Sanders announced a new ad buy of less than $2 million in the state, Clinton announced her own television campaign. Ads featuring actor Morgan Freeman as well as labor leader and civil rights activist Dolores Huerta will air beginning on Fridayin Fresno, Sacramento, and Los Angeles media markets. Some ads will also target Latino voters and Asian American voters. The total value of the buy is about six figures according to the Clinton campaign." Meanwhile, a new poll shows Sanders within the margin of error, trailing Clinton 44%-46%.