Let’s stipulate that Obamacare, barring a dramatic reversal in the next 11 months, will be a difficult issue for Democrats in 2014. The most pertinent questions then become: To what extent, and how? What groups of swing voters will turn against Democratic candidates in 2014? New data provided by the Kaiser Family Foundation, which conducts a well-regarded monthly poll on the Affordable Care Act, suggests the party should worry most about white women.
— Half of blue-collar white women surveyed in November were “very unfavorable” about the law, while just 16% of them either regard it “very favorably” or “somewhat favorably.” And the discrepancy has grown worse since the October rollout of the law, which brought a cascade of problems and negative media reaction. In October, 40% of the women without a college degree had a “very unfavorable” view of the law, while 27% of them had an overall favorable view.
— Meanwhile, half of white women with a college degree don’t like what they see from Obamacare either, the poll found. That’s a dangerous sign for Democrats, because that’s one of the few groups of white voters with whom they still perform reasonably well. President Obama, for instance, won 46% of them in 2012 — and he underperformed relative to recent Democratic presidential candidates.
— The real problem for Democrats during next year’s midterms, of course, is they need strong white female support to survive Senate reelection fights in overwhelming white states like Alaska, Arkansas and Louisiana. The data suggest that the party’s candidates face an uphill climb on that front.
Democrats insist that they can still win the Obamacare argument by highlighting their attempts to fix the law rather than repeal. The idea has merit, but the law’s deepening unpopularity puts them at a disadvantage from the get-go. And, as the Kaiser poll shows, that’s especially true with a key part of their political coalition.
What We're Following See More »
"It's about time for unity," said UAW President Dennis Williams. "We're endorsing Hillary Clinton. She's gotten 3 million more votes than Bernie, a million more votes than Donald Trump. She's our nominee." He called Sanders "a great friend of the UAW" while saying Trump "does not support the economic security of UAW families." Some 28 percent of UAW members indicated their support for Trump in an internal survey.
"Airport screening delays have caused more than 70,000 American Airlines customers and 40,000 checked bags to miss their flights this year, an executive for the airline told a U.S. congressional subcommittee on Thursday. A shortage of staff and a surge in air travelers have created a nightmare scenario for the U.S. Transportation Security Administration (TSA), with airport wait times in places like Chicago stretching beyond two hours."
"Donald Trump on Thursday reached the number of delegates needed to clinch the Republican nomination for president, completing an unlikely rise that has upended the political landscape and sets the stage for a bitter fall campaign. Trump was put over the top in the Associated Press delegate count by a small number of the party's unbound delegates who told the AP they would support him at the convention."
That the minority leader curses the Senate with his "cancerous leadership." After Reid tried to halt a defense bill, Cotton took to the floor and blasted Reid, adding, "As a junior senator, I preside over the Senate. I usually do in the morning, which means I'm forced to listen to the bitter, vulgar, incoherent ramblings of the Minority Leader. Normally, like other Americans, I ignore them."