Recent stories by Charlie Cook
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When a nightmare scenario becomes the most likely scenario
Things are now officially bad for Republicans. It's just a matter of degree.
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Can Democrats find enough defectors to vote their way?
Their candidates will win almost every blue voter, and the lion's share of independents. It may not be enough in key Senate races.
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National Journal Radio Bonus Episode: Against the Rising Tide
Hotline editor Kirk A. Bado and Cook Political Report with Amy Walter founder Charlie Cook unpack the latest primary results.
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You can’t repeat the elections past
So we beat on, electoral boats against the current, borne back ceaselessly into the past.
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The purple-state problem
Swing states might be in the ideological center, but data shows they may be closer to one end than the other.
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The remaining primary risks for Democrats
Upcoming nominating contests could put must-win seats in play for Republicans if progressives prevail.
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Democrats saw Graham Platner as the key. The data said otherwise.
The now-defunct Senate candidacy had big assets and bigger liabilities.
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A generic Democrat is no guarantee in Maine
Sen. Susan Collins has a solid track record with political independents.
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National Journal Radio Bonus Episode: The Pine Tree State Puzzle
National Journal's Jeff Dufour and Cook Political Report with Amy Walter founder Charlie Cook unpack the evolving situation in Maine's Senate race.
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Maine, Michigan scramble the Senate picture
Facts on the ground are changing rapidly in two must-win states for Democrats.
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Remembering Alan Greenspan and Glen Bolger
Plus: New Senate polling in critical Ohio, Maine.
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Democrats still need the majority of toss-ups to go their way
The party currently has 205 solid, likely, and lean seats in its column. The GOP has 212—closer to the magic number of 218.
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For Republicans, is it about the environment or the exposure?
There aren't many low-lying political areas left that can get swallowed up in a political storm.
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Ohio poll could portend trouble for Republicans
Head-to-head matchups and favorability ratings are all trending in the wrong direction for the GOP.
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The Paxton-Platner connection
Did their respective parties nominate the wrong guys?
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Where are the Republicans who might vote for a Democrat?
A big win for Democrats will require GOP defections. And those are likely to be in short supply.
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Underneath the weirdness, this midterm is playing to type
Don't fall for talk of vibes and waves.
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National Journal Radio Bonus Episode: The Redistricting Rumble
Hotline Editor Kirk A. Bado and Cook Political Report with Amy Walter founder Charlie Cook discuss the recent rulings on redistricting.
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Have Republicans already bottomed out?
Given how many voters are locked into partisan lanes, there may not be that many more votes for the GOP to lose.
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Why American politics could benefit from a landslide
Because the parties are so fully sorted and evenly divided, voters rarely give them an unambiguous message about what they want. So they get gridlock instead.