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Recent stories by Charlie Cook

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Looking at the election through funhouse mirrors

Why nothing is ever quite what it seems in today's politics, even when polls seem to be pointing in one direction.
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Republicans’ guardrails are collapsing

Structural factors should have kept their exposure to a minimum. Not anymore.
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National Journal Radio Bonus Episode: Poring Over the Details

National Journal's Jeff Dufour and Cook Political Report with Amy Walter founder Charlie Cook discuss the midterms with less than a month away.
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Stick a fork in these races

As the competitive landscape hardens, Georgia and North Carolina appear to be all but off the board. But here comes Kansas.
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Margin-of-error races as far as the eye can see

This is your regular reminder that close races tend to break in one direction.
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There is no ‘blue wave,’ but there is a ‘red undertow’

Where the election is about Trump, he's creating a current that could pull Republicans under. But in some key races, he's not the focus.
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Alaska poll is the latest demoralizing blow for GOP

Democrats last won a Senate seat there in 2008, and they last scored a gubernatorial victory in 1998. They could win both this year.
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Sununu, Marshall represent the GOP's best- and worst-case scenarios

Trump carried 20 of the 22 Republican-held Senate seats now up for reelection by double digits. It may not help.
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National Journal Radio Bonus Episode: The Homestretch

Hotline editor Kirk A. Bado and Cook Political Report with Amy Walter founder Charlie Cook discuss the general-election season.
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When a nightmare scenario becomes the most likely scenario

Things are now officially bad for Republicans. It's just a matter of degree.
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Can Democrats find enough defectors to vote their way?

Their candidates will win almost every blue voter, and the lion's share of independents. It may not be enough in key Senate races.
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National Journal Radio Bonus Episode: Against the Rising Tide

Hotline editor Kirk A. Bado and Cook Political Report with Amy Walter founder Charlie Cook unpack the latest primary results.
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You can’t repeat the elections past

So we beat on, electoral boats against the current, borne back ceaselessly into the past.
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The purple-state problem

Swing states might be in the ideological center, but data shows they may be closer to one end than the other.
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The remaining primary risks for Democrats

Upcoming nominating contests could put must-win seats in play for Republicans if progressives prevail.
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Democrats saw Graham Platner as the key. The data said otherwise.

The now-defunct Senate candidacy had big assets and bigger liabilities.
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A generic Democrat is no guarantee in Maine

Sen. Susan Collins has a solid track record with political independents.
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National Journal Radio Bonus Episode: The Pine Tree State Puzzle

National Journal's Jeff Dufour and Cook Political Report with Amy Walter founder Charlie Cook unpack the evolving situation in Maine's Senate race.
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Maine, Michigan scramble the Senate picture

Facts on the ground are changing rapidly in two must-win states for Democrats.
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Remembering Alan Greenspan and Glen Bolger

Plus: New Senate polling in critical Ohio, Maine.
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