A new poll shows an upheaval in the race to replace Rep. Gary Peters in the House, with a former congressman and an EMILY’s List-backed candidate running behind a popular state legislator in the Democratic primary.
State Rep. Rudy Hobbs leads by 14 points over former Rep. Hansen Clarke and Southfield Mayor Brenda Lawrence in a Mitchell Research and Communications poll conducted for Rep. Sander Levin’s GOAL PAC, which is supporting Hobbs. The poll surveyed 487 Democratic voters from July 28-30 in Peters’s district, which is open because Peters is running for the Senate.
Hobbs received 40 percent of the vote in the survey, while Lawrence received 26 percent, Clarke received 22 percent, and 11 percent said they were undecided.
The results deviate sharply from a mid-July EPIC-MRA poll conducted for the Detroit Free Press showing Clarke with an 11-point lead. Hobbs was in third place with only 20 percent of the vote in that poll.
Hobbs has raised and spent more money than any other candidates in the race, and attracted several major endorsements, including the Free Press, the Detroit News, Detroit Mayor Mike Duggan, Levin, and Levin’s brother, retiring Sen. Carl Levin. Former representatives often have the inside primary track if they decide to attempt a comeback, but at least one other has also lost a primary this year. Former Republican Rep. Quico Canseco’s comeback attempt ended in the Texas primaries in the spring.
GOAL PAC has spent more than $220,000 backing Hobbs, while an EMILY’s List affiliate has spent more than $250,000 backing Lawrence, according to the Center for Responsive Politics. Clarke held the seat until he lost it to Peters in 2012, after redistricting combined their seats, matching Clarke and Peters in the same primary. The district covers Detroit’s waterfront and curves through some of the city’s suburbs, including Southfield and Farmington.
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With three days until the first debate, the polls are coming fast and furious. The latest round:
- An Associated Press/Gfk poll of registered voters found very few voters committed, with Clinton leading Trump, 37% to 29%, and Gary Johnson at 7%.
- A McClatchy-Marist poll gave Clinton a six-point edge, 45% to 39%, in a four-way ballot test. Johnson pulls 10% support, with Jill Stein at 4%.
- Rasmussen, which has drawn criticism for continually showing Donald Trump doing much better than he does in other polls, is at it again. A new survey gives Trump a five-point lead, 44%-39%.
In contrast to Hillary Clinton's meticulous debate practice sessions, Donald Trump "is largely shunning traditional debate preparations, but has been watching video of…Clinton’s best and worst debate moments, looking for her vulnerabilities.” Trump “has paid only cursory attention to briefing materials. He has refused to use lecterns in mock debate sessions despite the urging of his advisers. He prefers spitballing ideas with his team rather than honing them into crisp, two-minute answers.”
Donald Trump "is on the precipice of becoming the only major-party presidential candidate this century not to reach out to millions of American voters whose dominant, first or just preferred language is Spanish. Trump has not only failed to buy any Spanish-language television or radio ads, he so far has avoided even offering a translation of his website into Spanish, breaking with two decades of bipartisan tradition."
Bill and Hillary Clinton have purchased the home next door to their primary residence in tony Chappaqua, New York, for $1.16 million. "By purchasing the new home, the Clinton's now own the entire cul-de-sac at the end of the road in the leafy New York suburb. The purchase makes it easier for the United States Secret Service to protect the former president and possible future commander in chief."