Political Insiders Poll

Poll: How Important Will Obamacare Be in the 2014 Elections?

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Alex Roarty and Peter Bell Michael Catalini
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Alex Roarty and Peter Bell Michael Catalini
Oct. 17, 2013, 5 p.m.

How im­port­ant an is­sue will Obama­care be in the 2014 elec­tions?

DEMO­CRATS (94 VOTES)

Very im­port­ant: 32%
Some­what im­port­ant: 56%
Not im­port­ant: 12%

Very im­port­ant

“All the Re­pub­lic­an ex­trem­ism ties dir­ectly back to Obama­care, mak­ing it un­avoid­able as an is­sue.”

“The 40 mil­lion un­in­sured voters will re­mem­ber that the GOP wanted to re­peal Obama­care and nev­er bothered to of­fer an al­tern­at­ive.”

“Re­pub­lic­ans will cer­tainly make a huge is­sue of it. If Dems can fix these damn ‘glitches’ (ac­tu­ally huge er­rors) in the web­site, then it could be­come an as­set for the Demo­crats.”

“The GOP can’t stop their cru­sade, but by 2014 real Amer­ic­ans will start to see and feel the be­ne­fits.”

“The rol­lout looks like it is go­ing to go very poorly for a long time.”

Some­what im­port­ant

“It looks more tempt­ing today than it will really be in Oc­to­ber of 2014.”

“The de­bate over Obama­care and the budget nev­er ends, but Amer­ic­ans worry most about the eco­nomy and vote their pock­et­books and wal­lets. It’s still the eco­nomy, stu­pid, and the GOP needs to get the mes­sage if they are to sur­vive midterm elec­tions.”

“It will simply de­pend on how well it’s do­ing.”

“If it goes well, it will only be a base is­sue for Re­pub­lic­ans. If it goes poorly, as it has so far, it will be a ser­i­ous is­sue.”

“It will still be used in cam­paigns, but not nearly as much as in the past. Amer­ic­ans want to talk about something else.”

“It will play both ways in 2014, but by 2016 it will be a plus for the Demo­crats.”

Not im­port­ant

“Re­pub­lic­ans missed their op­por­tun­ity to make this a big deal for 2014. The worst is be­hind the ad­min­is­tra­tion.”

“The pub­lic is weary about all the tea-party non­sense about it.”

How im­port­ant an is­sue will Obama­care be in the 2014 elec­tions?

RE­PUB­LIC­ANS (97 VOTES)

Very im­port­ant: 71%
Some­what im­port­ant: 27%
Not im­port­ant: 2%

Very im­port­ant

“The hor­rible rol­lout means it will be even more of an is­sue a year from now.”

“It cre­ates win­ners and losers in the middle class. The losers will be mo­tiv­ated to ex­press their dis­may.”

“Even low-in­form­a­tion voters will have figured out what an ab­om­in­a­tion it is by then.”

“By Novem­ber 2014, people will be feel­ing the im­pact of the law in a real and per­son­al way for the first time. It won’t feel good.”

“It will drive out the GOP base vote, and we’ll need it.”

“It’s an 11 be­cause reg­u­lar people will lose wages and be­ne­fits while seni­ors will quickly fig­ure out Medi­care is get­ting shor­ted in the pro­cess. Worse than Ver­dun.”

“If GOP can keep the fo­cus on the dis­aster Obama­care has be­come and will con­tin­ue to be, we may ac­tu­ally win a seat or two.”

“If Re­pub­lic­ans can shake off the dev­ast­a­tion of the Cruz shut­down fiasco, they will reap the be­ne­fits of voters who dis­cov­er how bad a deal Obama­care ac­tu­ally is.”

“It’s the cen­ter of the polit­ic­al and policy uni­verse. De­bates about the eco­nomy, taxes, spend­ing, role of gov­ern­ment … all run through it.”

Some­what im­port­ant

“It will have a great­er im­pact on Re­pub­lic­an primar­ies. The voters are de­sens­it­ized to the is­sue … un­less this rol­lout gets even more em­bar­rass­ing for Obama.”

“In base-vote elec­tions, this will be a big is­sue. In swing states or dis­tricts, not so much.”

“People don’t care about this as much as Ted Cruz thinks. A func­tion­ing gov­ern­ment is far more im­port­ant.”

Not im­port­ant

“People in the real world have already moved on.”

… … … … .

Demo­crat­ic Polit­ic­al In­siders Jill Alp­er, John An­za­lone, Brad Ban­non, Dave Beat­tie, Andy Bech­hoe­fer, Cor­nell Belch­er, Matt Ben­nett, Mitchell W. Ber­ger, Mike Ber­man, Stephanie Bosh, Paul Brath­waite, Donna Brazile, Mark Brew­er, Ed Bruley, George Bruno, Bon­nie Camp­bell, Bill Car­rick, Guy Cecil, Mar­tin J. Chavez, Tony Coelho, Larry Co­hen, Jerry Craw­ford, Brendan Daly, Jeff Daniel­son, Peter Daou, Howard Dean, Scott De­Fife, Jim De­mers, Tad Dev­ine, Dav­id Di Mar­tino, Debbie Din­gell, Mon­ica Dix­on, Patrick Dor­ton, Pat Du­jakovich, An­ita Dunn, Jeff Eller, Steve El­men­d­orf, Carter Eskew, Vic Fazio, Peter Fenn, Scott Fer­son, Jim Fleischmann, Tina Flournoy, Don Fo­ley, Jef­frey For­bes, Vin­cent Fril­lici, Gina Glantz, Niles Godes, John Mi­chael Gonza­lez, Joe Grand­mais­on, Anna Green­berg, Stan Green­berg, Pat Griffin, Larry Griso­lano, Mi­chael Gron­stal, Lisa Grove, Mar­cia Hale, Jill Hanauer, Dick Har­poot­li­an, Paul Harstad, Laura Hartigan, Doug Hat­t­away, Mike Henry, Kar­en Hicks, Leo Hindery Jr., Har­old Ickes, Mar­cus Jadotte, John Jameson, Steve Jard­ing, Jona­thon Jones, Jim Jordan, Gale Kauf­man, Lisa Koun­toupes, Celinda Lake, Dav­id Lang, Penny Lee, Chris Le­hane, Jeff Link, Bob Malo­ney, Jim Man­ley, Steve Marchand, Jim Mar­gol­is, Paul Maslin, Keith Ma­son, Susan Mc­Cue, Ger­ald McEntee, Steve McMa­hon, Tom McMa­hon, Phil Mc­Namara, Dav­id Med­ina, Mi­chael Mee­han, Mark Mell­man, John Mer­rigan, Mi­chael Mon­roe, Steve Murphy, Janet Na­pol­it­ano, Dav­id Nas­sar, Mar­cia Nich­ols, John Nor­ris, Tom Ochs, Tom O’Don­nell, Jef­frey Peck, De­bora Pig­na­telli, Tony Podesta, Je­frey Pol­lock, Jack Quinn, Larry Rasky, Mame Re­iley, Ed Rendell, Steve Ric­chetti, Will Robin­son, Steve Rosenth­al, Dav­id Rudd, Ry­an Rudom­in­er, John Ry­an, Mi­chael Sar­geant, Stephanie Schriock, Terry Shu­maker, Sean Sin­clair, Phil Sing­er, Erik Smith, Doug Sosnik, Greg Speed, Darry Sragow, Ken Strasma, Doug Thor­nell, Jef­frey Tram­mell, Ed Tur­l­ing­ton, Rick Wien­er, James Wil­li­ams, JoDee Win­ter­hof, Bri­an Wolff, Jon Young­dahl, and Jim Zo­gby.

GOP Polit­ic­al In­siders Dan Al­len, Stan An­der­son, Gary An­dres, Saul­i­us (Saul) Anuzis, Rich Ashooh, Whit Ayres, Brett Bader, Mitch Bain­wol, Bri­an Baker, Gary Bauer, Dav­id Beck­with, Paul Ben­necke, Clark Ben­son, Wayne Ber­man, Bri­an Bieron, Charlie Black, Kirk Bla­lock, Car­mine Boal, Jeff Boeyink, Ron Bon­jean, Jeff Bu­ley, Luke Byars, Nick Calio, Al Carde­n­as, Danny Car­roll, Alex Cas­tel­lanos, Ron Christie, Jim Cic­coni, Jonath­an Col­le­gio, Rob Collins, Cesar Conda, Jake Cor­man, Scott Cot­ting­ton, Jay Cran­ford, Greg Crist, Di­ane Crookham-John­son, Fer­gus Cul­len, Tom Dav­is, Mike Den­nehy, Ken Duber­stein, Debi Durham, Sara Fa­gen, Frank Fahren­kopf, John Fee­hery, Don Fierce, Mindy Finn, Carl Forti, Alex Gage, Bruce A. Gates, Sam Geduldig, Adam Geller, Ben­jamin Gins­berg, Dav­id Gir­ard-di­Carlo, Bill Green­er, Jonath­an Grella, Lanny Grif­fith, Janet Mullins Gris­som, Doug Gross, Todd Har­ris, Steve Hart, Chris­toph­er Healy, Ral­ph Hell­mann, Chris Hen­ick, Terry Holt, Dav­id Ian­nel­li, Ed Ingle, Jim In­no­cenzi, Clark Judge, Dav­id Keat­ing, Dav­id Ken­sing­er, Bob Kjel­lander, Ed Kut­ler, Chris La­Civ­ita, Jim Lake, Steven Law, Steve Lom­bardo, Kev­in Mad­den, Joel Maiola, Gary Malo­ney, Dav­id Mar­in, Mary Matal­in, Dan Mat­toon, Bri­an Mc­Cor­mack, Mark McKin­non, Kyle Mc­Slar­row, Ken Mehl­man, Jim Mer­rill, Lisa Cam­ooso Miller, Tim Mor­ris­on, Mike Murphy, Phil Musser, Ron Nehring, Terry Nel­son, Neil Ne­w­house, Dav­id Nor­cross, Zi­ad Ojakli, Jack Oliv­er, Todd Olsen, Kev­in O’Neill, Con­nie Par­toy­an, Billy Piper, Van B. Poole, Tom Rath, Scott Reed, Dav­id Rehr, Tom Reyn­olds, Steve Roberts, Jason Roe, Dav­id Roeder­er, Dan Schnur, Russ Schriefer, Rich Schwarm, Brent Seaborn, Rick Shelby, An­drew Shore, Kev­in Shuvalov, Don Sipple, Ken Spain, Fred Steep­er, Bob Steven­son, Terry Sul­li­van, Dav­id Tamasi, Eric Tan­en­blatt, Richard Temple, Heath Thompson, Jay Tim­mons, War­ren Tomp­kins, Ted Van Der Meid, Dirk van Don­gen, Jan van Lo­huizen, Stew­art Ver­dery, Dick Wadhams, John Weaver, Lezlee West­ine, Dave Win­ston, Ginny Wolfe, Fred Wszolek, and Mat­thew Zablud.

How important an issue will Obamacare be in the 2014 elections?

DEMO­CRATS (94 VOTES)

Very im­port­ant: 32%
Some­what im­port­ant: 56%
Not im­port­ant: 12%

Very im­port­ant

“All the Re­pub­lic­an ex­trem­ism ties dir­ectly back to Obama­care, mak­ing it un­avoid­able as an is­sue.”

“The 40 mil­lion un­in­sured voters will re­mem­ber that the GOP wanted to re­peal Obama­care and nev­er bothered to of­fer an al­tern­at­ive.”

“Re­pub­lic­ans will cer­tainly make a huge is­sue of it. If Dems can fix these damn ‘glitches’ (ac­tu­ally huge er­rors) in the web­site, then it could be­come an as­set for the Demo­crats.”

“The GOP can’t stop their cru­sade, but by 2014 real Amer­ic­ans will start to see and feel the be­ne­fits.”

“The rol­lout looks like it is go­ing to go very poorly for a long time.”

Some­what im­port­ant

“It looks more tempt­ing today than it will really be in Oc­to­ber of 2014.”

“The de­bate over Obama­care and the budget nev­er ends, but Amer­ic­ans worry most about the eco­nomy and vote their pock­et­books and wal­lets. It’s still the eco­nomy, stu­pid, and the GOP needs to get the mes­sage if they are to sur­vive midterm elec­tions.”

“It will simply de­pend on how well it’s do­ing.”

“If it goes well, it will only be a base is­sue for Re­pub­lic­ans. If it goes poorly, as it has so far, it will be a ser­i­ous is­sue.”

“It will still be used in cam­paigns, but not nearly as much as in the past. Amer­ic­ans want to talk about something else.”

“It will play both ways in 2014, but by 2016 it will be a plus for the Demo­crats.”

Not im­port­ant

“Re­pub­lic­ans missed their op­por­tun­ity to make this a big deal for 2014. The worst is be­hind the ad­min­is­tra­tion.”

“The pub­lic is weary about all the tea-party non­sense about it.”

How important an issue will Obamacare be in the 2014 elections?

RE­PUB­LIC­ANS (97 VOTES)

Very im­port­ant: 71%
Some­what im­port­ant: 27%
Not im­port­ant: 2%

Very im­port­ant

“The hor­rible rol­lout means it will be even more of an is­sue a year from now.”

“It cre­ates win­ners and losers in the middle class. The losers will be mo­tiv­ated to ex­press their dis­may.”

“Even low-in­form­a­tion voters will have figured out what an ab­om­in­a­tion it is by then.”

“By Novem­ber 2014, people will be feel­ing the im­pact of the law in a real and per­son­al way for the first time. It won’t feel good.”

“It will drive out the GOP base vote, and we’ll need it.”

“It’s an 11 be­cause reg­u­lar people will lose wages and be­ne­fits while seni­ors will quickly fig­ure out Medi­care is get­ting shor­ted in the pro­cess. Worse than Ver­dun.”

“If GOP can keep the fo­cus on the dis­aster Obama­care has be­come and will con­tin­ue to be, we may ac­tu­ally win a seat or two.”

“If Re­pub­lic­ans can shake off the dev­ast­a­tion of the Cruz shut­down fiasco, they will reap the be­ne­fits of voters who dis­cov­er how bad a deal Obama­care ac­tu­ally is.”

“It’s the cen­ter of the polit­ic­al and policy uni­verse. De­bates about the eco­nomy, taxes, spend­ing, role of gov­ern­ment … all run through it.”

Some­what im­port­ant

“It will have a great­er im­pact on Re­pub­lic­an primar­ies. The voters are de­sens­it­ized to the is­sue … un­less this rol­lout gets even more em­bar­rass­ing for Obama.”

“In base-vote elec­tions, this will be a big is­sue. In swing states or dis­tricts, not so much.”

“People don’t care about this as much as Ted Cruz thinks. A func­tion­ing gov­ern­ment is far more im­port­ant.”

Not im­port­ant

“People in the real world have already moved on.”

… … … … .

Demo­crat­ic Polit­ic­al In­siders Jill Alp­er, John An­za­lone, Brad Ban­non, Dave Beat­tie, Andy Bech­hoe­fer, Cor­nell Belch­er, Matt Ben­nett, Mitchell W. Ber­ger, Mike Ber­man, Stephanie Bosh, Paul Brath­waite, Donna Brazile, Mark Brew­er, Ed Bruley, George Bruno, Bon­nie Camp­bell, Bill Car­rick, Guy Cecil, Mar­tin J. Chavez, Tony Coelho, Larry Co­hen, Jerry Craw­ford, Brendan Daly, Jeff Daniel­son, Peter Daou, Howard Dean, Scott De­Fife, Jim De­mers, Tad Dev­ine, Dav­id Di Mar­tino, Debbie Din­gell, Mon­ica Dix­on, Patrick Dor­ton, Pat Du­jakovich, An­ita Dunn, Jeff Eller, Steve El­men­d­orf, Carter Eskew, Vic Fazio, Peter Fenn, Scott Fer­son, Jim Fleischmann, Tina Flournoy, Don Fo­ley, Jef­frey For­bes, Vin­cent Fril­lici, Gina Glantz, Niles Godes, John Mi­chael Gonza­lez, Joe Grand­mais­on, Anna Green­berg, Stan Green­berg, Pat Griffin, Larry Griso­lano, Mi­chael Gron­stal, Lisa Grove, Mar­cia Hale, Jill Hanauer, Dick Har­poot­li­an, Paul Harstad, Laura Hartigan, Doug Hat­t­away, Mike Henry, Kar­en Hicks, Leo Hindery Jr., Har­old Ickes, Mar­cus Jadotte, John Jameson, Steve Jard­ing, Jona­thon Jones, Jim Jordan, Gale Kauf­man, Lisa Koun­toupes, Celinda Lake, Dav­id Lang, Penny Lee, Chris Le­hane, Jeff Link, Bob Malo­ney, Jim Man­ley, Steve Marchand, Jim Mar­gol­is, Paul Maslin, Keith Ma­son, Susan Mc­Cue, Ger­ald McEntee, Steve McMa­hon, Tom McMa­hon, Phil Mc­Namara, Dav­id Med­ina, Mi­chael Mee­han, Mark Mell­man, John Mer­rigan, Mi­chael Mon­roe, Steve Murphy, Janet Na­pol­it­ano, Dav­id Nas­sar, Mar­cia Nich­ols, John Nor­ris, Tom Ochs, Tom O’Don­nell, Jef­frey Peck, De­bora Pig­na­telli, Tony Podesta, Je­frey Pol­lock, Jack Quinn, Larry Rasky, Mame Re­iley, Ed Rendell, Steve Ric­chetti, Will Robin­son, Steve Rosenth­al, Dav­id Rudd, Ry­an Rudom­in­er, John Ry­an, Mi­chael Sar­geant, Stephanie Schriock, Terry Shu­maker, Sean Sin­clair, Phil Sing­er, Erik Smith, Doug Sosnik, Greg Speed, Darry Sragow, Ken Strasma, Doug Thor­nell, Jef­frey Tram­mell, Ed Tur­l­ing­ton, Rick Wien­er, James Wil­li­ams, JoDee Win­ter­hof, Bri­an Wolff, Jon Young­dahl, and Jim Zo­gby.

GOP Polit­ic­al In­siders Dan Al­len, Stan An­der­son, Gary An­dres, Saul­i­us (Saul) Anuzis, Rich Ashooh, Whit Ayres, Brett Bader, Mitch Bain­wol, Bri­an Baker, Gary Bauer, Dav­id Beck­with, Paul Ben­necke, Clark Ben­son, Wayne Ber­man, Bri­an Bieron, Charlie Black, Kirk Bla­lock, Car­mine Boal, Jeff Boeyink, Ron Bon­jean, Jeff Bu­ley, Luke Byars, Nick Calio, Al Carde­n­as, Danny Car­roll, Alex Cas­tel­lanos, Ron Christie, Jim Cic­coni, Jonath­an Col­le­gio, Rob Collins, Cesar Conda, Jake Cor­man, Scott Cot­ting­ton, Jay Cran­ford, Greg Crist, Di­ane Crookham-John­son, Fer­gus Cul­len, Tom Dav­is, Mike Den­nehy, Ken Duber­stein, Debi Durham, Sara Fa­gen, Frank Fahren­kopf, John Fee­hery, Don Fierce, Mindy Finn, Carl Forti, Alex Gage, Bruce A. Gates, Sam Geduldig, Adam Geller, Ben­jamin Gins­berg, Dav­id Gir­ard-di­Carlo, Bill Green­er, Jonath­an Grella, Lanny Grif­fith, Janet Mullins Gris­som, Doug Gross, Todd Har­ris, Steve Hart, Chris­toph­er Healy, Ral­ph Hell­mann, Chris Hen­ick, Terry Holt, Dav­id Ian­nel­li, Ed Ingle, Jim In­no­cenzi, Clark Judge, Dav­id Keat­ing, Dav­id Ken­sing­er, Bob Kjel­lander, Ed Kut­ler, Chris La­Civ­ita, Jim Lake, Steven Law, Steve Lom­bardo, Kev­in Mad­den, Joel Maiola, Gary Malo­ney, Dav­id Mar­in, Mary Matal­in, Dan Mat­toon, Bri­an Mc­Cor­mack, Mark McKin­non, Kyle Mc­Slar­row, Ken Mehl­man, Jim Mer­rill, Lisa Cam­ooso Miller, Tim Mor­ris­on, Mike Murphy, Phil Musser, Ron Nehring, Terry Nel­son, Neil Ne­w­house, Dav­id Nor­cross, Zi­ad Ojakli, Jack Oliv­er, Todd Olsen, Kev­in O’Neill, Con­nie Par­toy­an, Billy Piper, Van B. Poole, Tom Rath, Scott Reed, Dav­id Rehr, Tom Reyn­olds, Steve Roberts, Jason Roe, Dav­id Roeder­er, Dan Schnur, Russ Schriefer, Rich Schwarm, Brent Seaborn, Rick Shelby, An­drew Shore, Kev­in Shuvalov, Don Sipple, Ken Spain, Fred Steep­er, Bob Steven­son, Terry Sul­li­van, Dav­id Tamasi, Eric Tan­en­blatt, Richard Temple, Heath Thompson, Jay Tim­mons, War­ren Tomp­kins, Ted Van Der Meid, Dirk van Don­gen, Jan van Lo­huizen, Stew­art Ver­dery, Dick Wadhams, John Weaver, Lezlee West­ine, Dave Win­ston, Ginny Wolfe, Fred Wszolek, and Mat­thew Zablud.

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