They may not have gotten many concessions on Obamacare during the latest fiscal fight, but Republicans believe they’ll have another chance to make their case on the health-reform law in the 2014 elections. Democrats aren’t so sure.
Seventy-one percent of the GOP insiders surveyed by National Journal this week said the issue would be “very important” in the coming elections. “Even low-information voters will have figured out what an abomination it is by then,” said one.
Just 2 percent of Republicans surveyed said it was “not important,” and the rest were in between.
Democrats were much less likely to believe the success or travails of the law’s first year would be the key issue for voters. Just 32 percent thought it would be “very important” in the coming fight, and 12 percent said it wouldn’t be important at all. The majority said it was “somewhat important.” In comments, they offered a common caveat: It depends on whether the glitches that have plagued the law’s rollout since Oct. 1 are fixed, and how quickly.
“If it goes well, it will only be a base issue for Republicans,” said one Democrat. “If it goes poorly, as it has so far, it will be a serious issue.”
Obamacare’s rocky rollout got a break from front-page headlines this week as a federal government shutdown dragged on and a national default loomed. During those uncertain fiscal times, it was tempting to reminisce about the past, and National Journal also asked insiders who had been the most effective president in the past 30 years.
Democrats overwhelmingly ““ 75 percent ““ named Bill Clinton (“Intelligence, charisma and a good economy, stupid,” said one). Republicans even more overwhelmingly ““ 89 percent ““ pointed to Ronald Reagan (“Turning around the economy, defeating communism, restoring faith in the future — these are not small things.”)
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The national polls, once again, tell very different stories: Clinton leads by just one point in the IBD, Rasmussen, and LA Times tracking polls, while she shows a commanding 12 point lead in the ABC news poll and a smaller but sizable five point lead in the CNN poll. The Republican Remington Research Group released a slew of polls showing Trump up in Ohio, Nevada, and North Carolina, a tie in Florida, and Clinton leads in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Virginia. However, an independent Siena poll shows Clinton up 7 in North Carolina, while a Monmouth poll shows Trump up one in Arizona
If you need a marker for how confident Hillary Clinton is at this point of the race, here's one: CNN's Jeff Zeleny reports "she's been talking to Republican senators, old allies and new, saying that she is willing to work with them and govern."
Sources tell CNN that longtime Democratic operative Ron Klain, who has been Vice President Biden's chief of staff, is "high on the list of prospects" to be chief of staff in a Clinton White House. "John Podesta, the campaign chairman, has signaled his interest in joining the Cabinet, perhaps as Energy secretary."