Political Insiders Poll

Poll: Will Congress Reach an Agreement in Time to Avert Another Shutdown?

Michael Catalini, Alex Roarty and Peter Bell
See more stories about...
Michael Catalini Alex Roarty Peter Bell
Oct. 24, 2013, 5 p.m.

Do you think Demo­crats and Re­pub­lic­ans will reach an agree­ment in time to avert an­oth­er gov­ern­ment shut­down on Jan. 15?

DEMO­CRATS (97 VOTES)

Yes: 73%
No: 27%

Yes

“It will al­ways come down to the last day or mo­ment, but there will cer­tainly be more GOP dis­cip­line this time.”

“There is no in­cent­ive for Re­pub­lic­ans to force an­oth­er shut­down as they get closer to an ac­tu­al elec­tion.”

“Be­cause [Mitch] Mc­Con­nell said so.”

“For Re­pub­lic­ans’ sake, they bet­ter hope so. Oth­er­wise, House will be un­der Demo­crat­ic con­trol in Janu­ary 2015.”

“Les­son learned?”

“Elec­tions are around the corner, and the shut­down doesn’t serve any in­cum­bent party.”

“Des­pite Ted Cruz and the tea-party zealots push­ing for an­oth­er shut­down, I think cool­er heads will pre­vail this time.”

“Most likely they will kick the can down the road again.”

“Demo­crats may say GOP lost shut­down, but no one really won.”

“De­fault is where the rub­ber meets the road.”

“If not, Re­pub­lic­an House mem­bers are truly mas­ochist­ic.”

“I have to be­lieve the Re­pub­lic­ans aren’t that wacko!”

“Mc­Con­nell keeps say­ing no more shut­downs, but [John] Boehner is the one that mat­ters.”

No

“There’s as much chance of reach­ing a budget agree­ment by Jan. 15 as there is for the New York Gi­ants to win the Su­per Bowl a month later.”

“The speak­er of the House is a host­age of the tea party. There is no lead­er to stop it from hap­pen­ing again.”

“The Ted Cruz crowd thinks they won a mor­al vic­tory. Why not at­tempt a twofer?”

“Give them an­oth­er week, just for sport.”

“You’re kid­ding, right? Have they reached an agree­ment on any­thing the past four years?”

Do you think Demo­crats and Re­pub­lic­ans will reach an agree­ment in time to avert an­oth­er gov­ern­ment shut­down on Jan. 15?

RE­PUB­LIC­ANS (97 VOTES)

Yes: 81%
No: 19%

Yes

“We can’t be that stu­pid twice in such a short time, I hope.”

“If they let self-in­dul­gent ego­ists like Cruz do this to them again, our party may need a lo­botomy.”

“No wis­dom gained from the second (third? fourth?) kick of a mule.”

“Small ball at best.”

“I can’t ima­gine Re­pub­lic­ans will want to re­live this.”

“There is no stom­ach among the GOP to put their col­lect­ive heads in a wood chip­per.”

“Uncle.”

“The re­cent dis­aster has em­boldened the Re­pub­lic­an lead­er­ship to push back firmly against Ted Cruz and the tea party.”

“Count on Pres­id­ent Obama to be AWOL again, but the adults in the room on Cap­it­ol Hill will get to a deal.”

“Boehner and Mc­Con­nell now have enough reas­ons to stare down the kami­kaze caucus.”

“The toll on Re­pub­lic­ans was too great to al­low a re­peat — and the hol­d­outs will be pummeled, threatened, and os­tra­cized as nev­er be­fore.”

“After the last gov­ern­ment shut­down put Santa’s elves way be­hind sched­ule, Santa is de­mand­ing a deal be­fore he de­liv­ers any gifts to mem­bers of Con­gress or the pres­id­ent. As the largest im­port­er of coal in the world, Santa ex­pects this to be done be­fore Christ­mas.”

No

“Not a chance. By Janu­ary every grand­stand­er will be ready for more.”

“Debt-ceil­ing death matches are (or should be) off the table. Shut­downs, not ne­ces­sar­ily.”

“The GOP has few cards to play. Fo­cus must be on win­ning in ‘14.”

… … … … … … .

Demo­crat­ic Polit­ic­al In­siders Jill Alp­er, John An­za­lone, Brad Ban­non, Dave Beat­tie, Andy Bech­hoe­fer, Cor­nell Belch­er, Matt Ben­nett, Mitchell W. Ber­ger, Mike Ber­man, Stephanie Bosh, Paul Brath­waite, Donna Brazile, Mark Brew­er, Ed Bruley, George Bruno, Bon­nie Camp­bell, Bill Car­rick, Guy Cecil, Mar­tin J. Chavez, Tony Coelho, Larry Co­hen, Jerry Craw­ford, Brendan Daly, Jeff Daniel­son, Peter Daou, Howard Dean, Scott De­Fife, Jim De­mers, Tad Dev­ine, Dav­id Di Mar­tino, Debbie Din­gell, Mon­ica Dix­on, Patrick Dor­ton, Pat Du­jakovich, An­ita Dunn, Jeff Eller, Steve El­men­d­orf, Carter Eskew, Vic Fazio, Peter Fenn, Scott Fer­son, Jim Fleischmann, Tina Flournoy, Don Fo­ley, Jef­frey For­bes, Vin­cent Fril­lici, Gina Glantz, Niles Godes, John Mi­chael Gonza­lez, Joe Grand­mais­on, Anna Green­berg, Stan Green­berg, Pat Griffin, Larry Griso­lano, Mi­chael Gron­stal, Lisa Grove, Mar­cia Hale, Jill Hanauer, Dick Har­poot­li­an, Paul Harstad, Laura Hartigan, Doug Hat­t­away, Mike Henry, Kar­en Hicks, Leo Hindery Jr., Har­old Ickes, Mar­cus Jadotte, John Jameson, Steve Jard­ing, Jona­thon Jones, Jim Jordan, Gale Kauf­man, Lisa Koun­toupes, Celinda Lake, Dav­id Lang, Penny Lee, Chris Le­hane, Jeff Link, Bob Malo­ney, Jim Man­ley, Steve Marchand, Jim Mar­gol­is, Paul Maslin, Keith Ma­son, Susan Mc­Cue, Ger­ald McEntee, Steve McMa­hon, Tom McMa­hon, Phil Mc­Namara, Dav­id Med­ina, Mi­chael Mee­han, Mark Mell­man, John Mer­rigan, Mi­chael Mon­roe, Steve Murphy, Janet Na­pol­it­ano, Dav­id Nas­sar, Mar­cia Nich­ols, John Nor­ris, Tom Ochs, Tom O’Don­nell, Jef­frey Peck, De­bora Pig­na­telli, Tony Podesta, Je­frey Pol­lock, Jack Quinn, Larry Rasky, Mame Re­iley, Ed Rendell, Steve Ric­chetti, Will Robin­son, Steve Rosenth­al, Dav­id Rudd, Ry­an Rudom­in­er, John Ry­an, Mi­chael Sar­geant, Stephanie Schriock, Terry Shu­maker, Sean Sin­clair, Phil Sing­er, Erik Smith, Doug Sosnik, Greg Speed, Darry Sragow, Ken Strasma, Doug Thor­nell, Jef­frey Tram­mell, Ed Tur­l­ing­ton, Rick Wien­er, James Wil­li­ams, JoDee Win­ter­hof, Bri­an Wolff, Jon Young­dahl, and Jim Zo­gby.

GOP Polit­ic­al In­siders Dan Al­len, Stan An­der­son, Gary An­dres, Saul­i­us (Saul) Anuzis, Rich Ashooh, Whit Ayres, Brett Bader, Mitch Bain­wol, Bri­an Baker, Gary Bauer, Dav­id Beck­with, Paul Ben­necke, Clark Ben­son, Wayne Ber­man, Bri­an Bieron, Charlie Black, Kirk Bla­lock, Car­mine Boal, Jeff Boeyink, Ron Bon­jean, Jeff Bu­ley, Luke Byars, Nick Calio, Al Carde­n­as, Danny Car­roll, Alex Cas­tel­lanos, Ron Christie, Jim Cic­coni, Jonath­an Col­le­gio, Rob Collins, Cesar Conda, Jake Cor­man, Scott Cot­ting­ton, Jay Cran­ford, Greg Crist, Di­ane Crookham-John­son, Fer­gus Cul­len, Tom Dav­is, Mike Den­nehy, Ken Duber­stein, Debi Durham, Sara Fa­gen, Frank Fahren­kopf, John Fee­hery, Don Fierce, Mindy Finn, Carl Forti, Alex Gage, Bruce A. Gates, Sam Geduldig, Adam Geller, Ben­jamin Gins­berg, Dav­id Gir­ard-di­Carlo, Bill Green­er, Jonath­an Grella, Lanny Grif­fith, Janet Mullins Gris­som, Doug Gross, Todd Har­ris, Steve Hart, Chris­toph­er Healy, Ral­ph Hell­mann, Chris Hen­ick, Terry Holt, Dav­id Ian­nel­li, Ed Ingle, Jim In­no­cenzi, Clark Judge, Dav­id Keat­ing, Dav­id Ken­sing­er, Bob Kjel­lander, Ed Kut­ler, Chris La­Civ­ita, Jim Lake, Steven Law, Steve Lom­bardo, Kev­in Mad­den, Joel Maiola, Gary Malo­ney, Dav­id Mar­in, Mary Matal­in, Dan Mat­toon, Bri­an Mc­Cor­mack, Mark McKin­non, Kyle Mc­Slar­row, Ken Mehl­man, Jim Mer­rill, Lisa Cam­ooso Miller, Tim Mor­ris­on, Mike Murphy, Phil Musser, Ron Nehring, Terry Nel­son, Neil Ne­w­house, Dav­id Nor­cross, Zi­ad Ojakli, Jack Oliv­er, Todd Olsen, Kev­in O’Neill, Con­nie Par­toy­an, Billy Piper, Van B. Poole, Tom Rath, Scott Reed, Dav­id Rehr, Tom Reyn­olds, Steve Roberts, Jason Roe, Dav­id Roeder­er, Dan Schnur, Russ Schriefer, Rich Schwarm, Brent Seaborn, Rick Shelby, An­drew Shore, Kev­in Shuvalov, Don Sipple, Ken Spain, Fred Steep­er, Bob Steven­son, Terry Sul­li­van, Dav­id Tamasi, Eric Tan­en­blatt, Richard Temple, Heath Thompson, Jay Tim­mons, War­ren Tomp­kins, Ted Van Der Meid, Dirk van Don­gen, Jan van Lo­huizen, Stew­art Ver­dery, Dick Wadhams, John Weaver, Lezlee West­ine, Dave Win­ston, Ginny Wolfe, Fred Wszolek, and Mat­thew Zablud. 

Do you think Democrats and Republicans will reach an agreement in time to avert another government shutdown on Jan. 15?

DEMO­CRATS (97 VOTES)

Yes: 73%
No: 27%

Yes

“It will al­ways come down to the last day or mo­ment, but there will cer­tainly be more GOP dis­cip­line this time.”

“There is no in­cent­ive for Re­pub­lic­ans to force an­oth­er shut­down as they get closer to an ac­tu­al elec­tion.”

“Be­cause [Mitch] Mc­Con­nell said so.”

“For Re­pub­lic­ans’ sake, they bet­ter hope so. Oth­er­wise, House will be un­der Demo­crat­ic con­trol in Janu­ary 2015.”

“Les­son learned?”

“Elec­tions are around the corner, and the shut­down doesn’t serve any in­cum­bent party.”

“Des­pite Ted Cruz and the tea-party zealots push­ing for an­oth­er shut­down, I think cool­er heads will pre­vail this time.”

“Most likely they will kick the can down the road again.”

“Demo­crats may say GOP lost shut­down, but no one really won.”

“De­fault is where the rub­ber meets the road.”

“If not, Re­pub­lic­an House mem­bers are truly mas­ochist­ic.”

“I have to be­lieve the Re­pub­lic­ans aren’t that wacko!”

“Mc­Con­nell keeps say­ing no more shut­downs, but [John] Boehner is the one that mat­ters.”

No

“There’s as much chance of reach­ing a budget agree­ment by Jan. 15 as there is for the New York Gi­ants to win the Su­per Bowl a month later.”

“The speak­er of the House is a host­age of the tea party. There is no lead­er to stop it from hap­pen­ing again.”

“The Ted Cruz crowd thinks they won a mor­al vic­tory. Why not at­tempt a twofer?”

“Give them an­oth­er week, just for sport.”

“You’re kid­ding, right? Have they reached an agree­ment on any­thing the past four years?”

Do you think Democrats and Republicans will reach an agreement in time to avert another government shutdown on Jan. 15?

RE­PUB­LIC­ANS (97 VOTES)

Yes: 81%
No: 19%

Yes

“We can’t be that stu­pid twice in such a short time, I hope.”

“If they let self-in­dul­gent ego­ists like Cruz do this to them again, our party may need a lo­botomy.”

“No wis­dom gained from the second (third? fourth?) kick of a mule.”

“Small ball at best.”

“I can’t ima­gine Re­pub­lic­ans will want to re­live this.”

“There is no stom­ach among the GOP to put their col­lect­ive heads in a wood chip­per.”

“Uncle.”

“The re­cent dis­aster has em­boldened the Re­pub­lic­an lead­er­ship to push back firmly against Ted Cruz and the tea party.”

“Count on Pres­id­ent Obama to be AWOL again, but the adults in the room on Cap­it­ol Hill will get to a deal.”

“Boehner and Mc­Con­nell now have enough reas­ons to stare down the kami­kaze caucus.”

“The toll on Re­pub­lic­ans was too great to al­low a re­peat — and the hol­d­outs will be pummeled, threatened, and os­tra­cized as nev­er be­fore.”

“After the last gov­ern­ment shut­down put Santa’s elves way be­hind sched­ule, Santa is de­mand­ing a deal be­fore he de­liv­ers any gifts to mem­bers of Con­gress or the pres­id­ent. As the largest im­port­er of coal in the world, Santa ex­pects this to be done be­fore Christ­mas.”

No

“Not a chance. By Janu­ary every grand­stand­er will be ready for more.”

“Debt-ceil­ing death matches are (or should be) off the table. Shut­downs, not ne­ces­sar­ily.”

“The GOP has few cards to play. Fo­cus must be on win­ning in ‘14.”

… … … … … … .

Demo­crat­ic Polit­ic­al In­siders Jill Alp­er, John An­za­lone, Brad Ban­non, Dave Beat­tie, Andy Bech­hoe­fer, Cor­nell Belch­er, Matt Ben­nett, Mitchell W. Ber­ger, Mike Ber­man, Stephanie Bosh, Paul Brath­waite, Donna Brazile, Mark Brew­er, Ed Bruley, George Bruno, Bon­nie Camp­bell, Bill Car­rick, Guy Cecil, Mar­tin J. Chavez, Tony Coelho, Larry Co­hen, Jerry Craw­ford, Brendan Daly, Jeff Daniel­son, Peter Daou, Howard Dean, Scott De­Fife, Jim De­mers, Tad Dev­ine, Dav­id Di Mar­tino, Debbie Din­gell, Mon­ica Dix­on, Patrick Dor­ton, Pat Du­jakovich, An­ita Dunn, Jeff Eller, Steve El­men­d­orf, Carter Eskew, Vic Fazio, Peter Fenn, Scott Fer­son, Jim Fleischmann, Tina Flournoy, Don Fo­ley, Jef­frey For­bes, Vin­cent Fril­lici, Gina Glantz, Niles Godes, John Mi­chael Gonza­lez, Joe Grand­mais­on, Anna Green­berg, Stan Green­berg, Pat Griffin, Larry Griso­lano, Mi­chael Gron­stal, Lisa Grove, Mar­cia Hale, Jill Hanauer, Dick Har­poot­li­an, Paul Harstad, Laura Hartigan, Doug Hat­t­away, Mike Henry, Kar­en Hicks, Leo Hindery Jr., Har­old Ickes, Mar­cus Jadotte, John Jameson, Steve Jard­ing, Jona­thon Jones, Jim Jordan, Gale Kauf­man, Lisa Koun­toupes, Celinda Lake, Dav­id Lang, Penny Lee, Chris Le­hane, Jeff Link, Bob Malo­ney, Jim Man­ley, Steve Marchand, Jim Mar­gol­is, Paul Maslin, Keith Ma­son, Susan Mc­Cue, Ger­ald McEntee, Steve McMa­hon, Tom McMa­hon, Phil Mc­Namara, Dav­id Med­ina, Mi­chael Mee­han, Mark Mell­man, John Mer­rigan, Mi­chael Mon­roe, Steve Murphy, Janet Na­pol­it­ano, Dav­id Nas­sar, Mar­cia Nich­ols, John Nor­ris, Tom Ochs, Tom O’Don­nell, Jef­frey Peck, De­bora Pig­na­telli, Tony Podesta, Je­frey Pol­lock, Jack Quinn, Larry Rasky, Mame Re­iley, Ed Rendell, Steve Ric­chetti, Will Robin­son, Steve Rosenth­al, Dav­id Rudd, Ry­an Rudom­in­er, John Ry­an, Mi­chael Sar­geant, Stephanie Schriock, Terry Shu­maker, Sean Sin­clair, Phil Sing­er, Erik Smith, Doug Sosnik, Greg Speed, Darry Sragow, Ken Strasma, Doug Thor­nell, Jef­frey Tram­mell, Ed Tur­l­ing­ton, Rick Wien­er, James Wil­li­ams, JoDee Win­ter­hof, Bri­an Wolff, Jon Young­dahl, and Jim Zo­gby.

GOP Polit­ic­al In­siders Dan Al­len, Stan An­der­son, Gary An­dres, Saul­i­us (Saul) Anuzis, Rich Ashooh, Whit Ayres, Brett Bader, Mitch Bain­wol, Bri­an Baker, Gary Bauer, Dav­id Beck­with, Paul Ben­necke, Clark Ben­son, Wayne Ber­man, Bri­an Bieron, Charlie Black, Kirk Bla­lock, Car­mine Boal, Jeff Boeyink, Ron Bon­jean, Jeff Bu­ley, Luke Byars, Nick Calio, Al Carde­n­as, Danny Car­roll, Alex Cas­tel­lanos, Ron Christie, Jim Cic­coni, Jonath­an Col­le­gio, Rob Collins, Cesar Conda, Jake Cor­man, Scott Cot­ting­ton, Jay Cran­ford, Greg Crist, Di­ane Crookham-John­son, Fer­gus Cul­len, Tom Dav­is, Mike Den­nehy, Ken Duber­stein, Debi Durham, Sara Fa­gen, Frank Fahren­kopf, John Fee­hery, Don Fierce, Mindy Finn, Carl Forti, Alex Gage, Bruce A. Gates, Sam Geduldig, Adam Geller, Ben­jamin Gins­berg, Dav­id Gir­ard-di­Carlo, Bill Green­er, Jonath­an Grella, Lanny Grif­fith, Janet Mullins Gris­som, Doug Gross, Todd Har­ris, Steve Hart, Chris­toph­er Healy, Ral­ph Hell­mann, Chris Hen­ick, Terry Holt, Dav­id Ian­nel­li, Ed Ingle, Jim In­no­cenzi, Clark Judge, Dav­id Keat­ing, Dav­id Ken­sing­er, Bob Kjel­lander, Ed Kut­ler, Chris La­Civ­ita, Jim Lake, Steven Law, Steve Lom­bardo, Kev­in Mad­den, Joel Maiola, Gary Malo­ney, Dav­id Mar­in, Mary Matal­in, Dan Mat­toon, Bri­an Mc­Cor­mack, Mark McKin­non, Kyle Mc­Slar­row, Ken Mehl­man, Jim Mer­rill, Lisa Cam­ooso Miller, Tim Mor­ris­on, Mike Murphy, Phil Musser, Ron Nehring, Terry Nel­son, Neil Ne­w­house, Dav­id Nor­cross, Zi­ad Ojakli, Jack Oliv­er, Todd Olsen, Kev­in O’Neill, Con­nie Par­toy­an, Billy Piper, Van B. Poole, Tom Rath, Scott Reed, Dav­id Rehr, Tom Reyn­olds, Steve Roberts, Jason Roe, Dav­id Roeder­er, Dan Schnur, Russ Schriefer, Rich Schwarm, Brent Seaborn, Rick Shelby, An­drew Shore, Kev­in Shuvalov, Don Sipple, Ken Spain, Fred Steep­er, Bob Steven­son, Terry Sul­li­van, Dav­id Tamasi, Eric Tan­en­blatt, Richard Temple, Heath Thompson, Jay Tim­mons, War­ren Tomp­kins, Ted Van Der Meid, Dirk van Don­gen, Jan van Lo­huizen, Stew­art Ver­dery, Dick Wadhams, John Weaver, Lezlee West­ine, Dave Win­ston, Ginny Wolfe, Fred Wszolek, and Mat­thew Zablud. 

What We're Following See More »
CNN/ORC
Clinton Ahead by 13 in Early Going
20 minutes ago
THE LATEST

"As Donald Trump captures the mantle of presumptive Republican nominee, a new poll finds he begins his general election campaign well behind Democratic front-runner Hillary Clinton. The new CNN/ORC Poll, completed ahead of Trump's victory last night, found Clinton leads 54% to 41%, a 13-point edge over the New York businessman, her largest lead since last July. Clinton is also more trusted than Trump on many issues voters rank as critically important, with one big exception. By a 50% to 45% margin, voters say Trump would do a better job handling the economy than Clinton would."

Source:
ACCEPT OR RESIST?
Wall Street Journal, Kristol Reflect Schism on the Right
28 minutes ago
WHY WE CARE

In an editorial, the Wall Street Journal sets out to relieve conservatives of the temptation to back a third-party candidate over Donald Trump. "The thought is more tempting this year than most, but it’s still hard to see how this would accomplish more than electing Hillary Clinton and muddling the message from a Trump defeat. ... The usual presidential result is that the party that splinters hands the election to the other, more united party." But in the Weekly Standard, Bill Kristol is having none of it: "Serious people, including serious conservatives, cannot acquiesce in Donald Trump as their candidate. ... Donald Trump should not be president of the United States. The Wall Street Journal cannot bring itself to say that. We can say it, we do say it, and we are proud to act accordingly."

NOT WELL FOR THE GOP
The Trump Triumph: How’s It Playing?
1 hours ago
WHY WE CARE
  • Nate Cohn, New York Times: "There have been 10-point shifts over the general election season before, even if it’s uncommon. But there isn’t much of a precedent for huge swings in races with candidates as well known as Mr. Trump and Mrs. Clinton. A majority of Americans may not like her, but they say they’re scared of him."
  • Roger Simon, PJ Media: "He is particularly fortunate that his opposition, Hillary Clinton, besides still being under threat of indictment and still not having defeated Bernie Sanders (go figure), is a truly uninspiring, almost soporific, figure. ... She's not a star. Trump is. All attention will be on him in the general election. The primaries have shown us what an advantage that is. What that means for American politics may not all be good, but it's true."
  • The editors, The Washington Examiner: "At the very least, Trump owes it to the country he boasts he will 'make great again' to try to demonstrate some seriousness about the office he seeks. He owes this even to those who will never consider voting for him. He can start by swearing off grand displays of aggressive and apparently deliberate ignorance. This is not too much to ask."
FOLLOWS UNITEDHEALTH
Humana Will Also Exit Obamacare Exchanges
1 hours ago
THE LATEST

Humana announced it plans to "exit certain statewide individual markets and products 'both on and off [Obamacare] exchange,' the insurer said in its financial results released Monday." The company also said price hikes may be forthcoming, "commensurate with anticipated levels of risk by state." Its individual-market enrollment was down 21% in the first quarter from a year ago.

Source:
‘PRESUMPTIVE NOMINEE’
Priebus Asks Party to Unite Behind Trump
13 hours ago
THE LATEST
×