Political Insiders Poll

Poll: Will Congress Reach an Agreement in Time to Avert Another Shutdown?

Michael Catalini, Alex Roarty and Peter Bell
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Michael Catalini Alex Roarty Peter Bell
Oct. 24, 2013, 5 p.m.

Do you think Demo­crats and Re­pub­lic­ans will reach an agree­ment in time to avert an­oth­er gov­ern­ment shut­down on Jan. 15?

DEMO­CRATS (97 VOTES)

Yes: 73%
No: 27%

Yes

“It will al­ways come down to the last day or mo­ment, but there will cer­tainly be more GOP dis­cip­line this time.”

“There is no in­cent­ive for Re­pub­lic­ans to force an­oth­er shut­down as they get closer to an ac­tu­al elec­tion.”

“Be­cause [Mitch] Mc­Con­nell said so.”

“For Re­pub­lic­ans’ sake, they bet­ter hope so. Oth­er­wise, House will be un­der Demo­crat­ic con­trol in Janu­ary 2015.”

“Les­son learned?”

“Elec­tions are around the corner, and the shut­down doesn’t serve any in­cum­bent party.”

“Des­pite Ted Cruz and the tea-party zealots push­ing for an­oth­er shut­down, I think cool­er heads will pre­vail this time.”

“Most likely they will kick the can down the road again.”

“Demo­crats may say GOP lost shut­down, but no one really won.”

“De­fault is where the rub­ber meets the road.”

“If not, Re­pub­lic­an House mem­bers are truly mas­ochist­ic.”

“I have to be­lieve the Re­pub­lic­ans aren’t that wacko!”

“Mc­Con­nell keeps say­ing no more shut­downs, but [John] Boehner is the one that mat­ters.”

No

“There’s as much chance of reach­ing a budget agree­ment by Jan. 15 as there is for the New York Gi­ants to win the Su­per Bowl a month later.”

“The speak­er of the House is a host­age of the tea party. There is no lead­er to stop it from hap­pen­ing again.”

“The Ted Cruz crowd thinks they won a mor­al vic­tory. Why not at­tempt a twofer?”

“Give them an­oth­er week, just for sport.”

“You’re kid­ding, right? Have they reached an agree­ment on any­thing the past four years?”

Do you think Demo­crats and Re­pub­lic­ans will reach an agree­ment in time to avert an­oth­er gov­ern­ment shut­down on Jan. 15?

RE­PUB­LIC­ANS (97 VOTES)

Yes: 81%
No: 19%

Yes

“We can’t be that stu­pid twice in such a short time, I hope.”

“If they let self-in­dul­gent ego­ists like Cruz do this to them again, our party may need a lo­botomy.”

“No wis­dom gained from the second (third? fourth?) kick of a mule.”

“Small ball at best.”

“I can’t ima­gine Re­pub­lic­ans will want to re­live this.”

“There is no stom­ach among the GOP to put their col­lect­ive heads in a wood chip­per.”

“Uncle.”

“The re­cent dis­aster has em­boldened the Re­pub­lic­an lead­er­ship to push back firmly against Ted Cruz and the tea party.”

“Count on Pres­id­ent Obama to be AWOL again, but the adults in the room on Cap­it­ol Hill will get to a deal.”

“Boehner and Mc­Con­nell now have enough reas­ons to stare down the kami­kaze caucus.”

“The toll on Re­pub­lic­ans was too great to al­low a re­peat — and the hol­d­outs will be pummeled, threatened, and os­tra­cized as nev­er be­fore.”

“After the last gov­ern­ment shut­down put Santa’s elves way be­hind sched­ule, Santa is de­mand­ing a deal be­fore he de­liv­ers any gifts to mem­bers of Con­gress or the pres­id­ent. As the largest im­port­er of coal in the world, Santa ex­pects this to be done be­fore Christ­mas.”

No

“Not a chance. By Janu­ary every grand­stand­er will be ready for more.”

“Debt-ceil­ing death matches are (or should be) off the table. Shut­downs, not ne­ces­sar­ily.”

“The GOP has few cards to play. Fo­cus must be on win­ning in ‘14.”

… … … … … … .

Demo­crat­ic Polit­ic­al In­siders Jill Alp­er, John An­za­lone, Brad Ban­non, Dave Beat­tie, Andy Bech­hoe­fer, Cor­nell Belch­er, Matt Ben­nett, Mitchell W. Ber­ger, Mike Ber­man, Stephanie Bosh, Paul Brath­waite, Donna Brazile, Mark Brew­er, Ed Bruley, George Bruno, Bon­nie Camp­bell, Bill Car­rick, Guy Cecil, Mar­tin J. Chavez, Tony Coelho, Larry Co­hen, Jerry Craw­ford, Brendan Daly, Jeff Daniel­son, Peter Daou, Howard Dean, Scott De­Fife, Jim De­mers, Tad Dev­ine, Dav­id Di Mar­tino, Debbie Din­gell, Mon­ica Dix­on, Patrick Dor­ton, Pat Du­jakovich, An­ita Dunn, Jeff Eller, Steve El­men­d­orf, Carter Eskew, Vic Fazio, Peter Fenn, Scott Fer­son, Jim Fleischmann, Tina Flournoy, Don Fo­ley, Jef­frey For­bes, Vin­cent Fril­lici, Gina Glantz, Niles Godes, John Mi­chael Gonza­lez, Joe Grand­mais­on, Anna Green­berg, Stan Green­berg, Pat Griffin, Larry Griso­lano, Mi­chael Gron­stal, Lisa Grove, Mar­cia Hale, Jill Hanauer, Dick Har­poot­li­an, Paul Harstad, Laura Hartigan, Doug Hat­t­away, Mike Henry, Kar­en Hicks, Leo Hindery Jr., Har­old Ickes, Mar­cus Jadotte, John Jameson, Steve Jard­ing, Jona­thon Jones, Jim Jordan, Gale Kauf­man, Lisa Koun­toupes, Celinda Lake, Dav­id Lang, Penny Lee, Chris Le­hane, Jeff Link, Bob Malo­ney, Jim Man­ley, Steve Marchand, Jim Mar­gol­is, Paul Maslin, Keith Ma­son, Susan Mc­Cue, Ger­ald McEntee, Steve McMa­hon, Tom McMa­hon, Phil Mc­Namara, Dav­id Med­ina, Mi­chael Mee­han, Mark Mell­man, John Mer­rigan, Mi­chael Mon­roe, Steve Murphy, Janet Na­pol­it­ano, Dav­id Nas­sar, Mar­cia Nich­ols, John Nor­ris, Tom Ochs, Tom O’Don­nell, Jef­frey Peck, De­bora Pig­na­telli, Tony Podesta, Je­frey Pol­lock, Jack Quinn, Larry Rasky, Mame Re­iley, Ed Rendell, Steve Ric­chetti, Will Robin­son, Steve Rosenth­al, Dav­id Rudd, Ry­an Rudom­in­er, John Ry­an, Mi­chael Sar­geant, Stephanie Schriock, Terry Shu­maker, Sean Sin­clair, Phil Sing­er, Erik Smith, Doug Sosnik, Greg Speed, Darry Sragow, Ken Strasma, Doug Thor­nell, Jef­frey Tram­mell, Ed Tur­l­ing­ton, Rick Wien­er, James Wil­li­ams, JoDee Win­ter­hof, Bri­an Wolff, Jon Young­dahl, and Jim Zo­gby.

GOP Polit­ic­al In­siders Dan Al­len, Stan An­der­son, Gary An­dres, Saul­i­us (Saul) Anuzis, Rich Ashooh, Whit Ayres, Brett Bader, Mitch Bain­wol, Bri­an Baker, Gary Bauer, Dav­id Beck­with, Paul Ben­necke, Clark Ben­son, Wayne Ber­man, Bri­an Bieron, Charlie Black, Kirk Bla­lock, Car­mine Boal, Jeff Boeyink, Ron Bon­jean, Jeff Bu­ley, Luke Byars, Nick Calio, Al Carde­n­as, Danny Car­roll, Alex Cas­tel­lanos, Ron Christie, Jim Cic­coni, Jonath­an Col­le­gio, Rob Collins, Cesar Conda, Jake Cor­man, Scott Cot­ting­ton, Jay Cran­ford, Greg Crist, Di­ane Crookham-John­son, Fer­gus Cul­len, Tom Dav­is, Mike Den­nehy, Ken Duber­stein, Debi Durham, Sara Fa­gen, Frank Fahren­kopf, John Fee­hery, Don Fierce, Mindy Finn, Carl Forti, Alex Gage, Bruce A. Gates, Sam Geduldig, Adam Geller, Ben­jamin Gins­berg, Dav­id Gir­ard-di­Carlo, Bill Green­er, Jonath­an Grella, Lanny Grif­fith, Janet Mullins Gris­som, Doug Gross, Todd Har­ris, Steve Hart, Chris­toph­er Healy, Ral­ph Hell­mann, Chris Hen­ick, Terry Holt, Dav­id Ian­nel­li, Ed Ingle, Jim In­no­cenzi, Clark Judge, Dav­id Keat­ing, Dav­id Ken­sing­er, Bob Kjel­lander, Ed Kut­ler, Chris La­Civ­ita, Jim Lake, Steven Law, Steve Lom­bardo, Kev­in Mad­den, Joel Maiola, Gary Malo­ney, Dav­id Mar­in, Mary Matal­in, Dan Mat­toon, Bri­an Mc­Cor­mack, Mark McKin­non, Kyle Mc­Slar­row, Ken Mehl­man, Jim Mer­rill, Lisa Cam­ooso Miller, Tim Mor­ris­on, Mike Murphy, Phil Musser, Ron Nehring, Terry Nel­son, Neil Ne­w­house, Dav­id Nor­cross, Zi­ad Ojakli, Jack Oliv­er, Todd Olsen, Kev­in O’Neill, Con­nie Par­toy­an, Billy Piper, Van B. Poole, Tom Rath, Scott Reed, Dav­id Rehr, Tom Reyn­olds, Steve Roberts, Jason Roe, Dav­id Roeder­er, Dan Schnur, Russ Schriefer, Rich Schwarm, Brent Seaborn, Rick Shelby, An­drew Shore, Kev­in Shuvalov, Don Sipple, Ken Spain, Fred Steep­er, Bob Steven­son, Terry Sul­li­van, Dav­id Tamasi, Eric Tan­en­blatt, Richard Temple, Heath Thompson, Jay Tim­mons, War­ren Tomp­kins, Ted Van Der Meid, Dirk van Don­gen, Jan van Lo­huizen, Stew­art Ver­dery, Dick Wadhams, John Weaver, Lezlee West­ine, Dave Win­ston, Ginny Wolfe, Fred Wszolek, and Mat­thew Zablud. 

Do you think Democrats and Republicans will reach an agreement in time to avert another government shutdown on Jan. 15?

DEMO­CRATS (97 VOTES)

Yes: 73%
No: 27%

Yes

“It will al­ways come down to the last day or mo­ment, but there will cer­tainly be more GOP dis­cip­line this time.”

“There is no in­cent­ive for Re­pub­lic­ans to force an­oth­er shut­down as they get closer to an ac­tu­al elec­tion.”

“Be­cause [Mitch] Mc­Con­nell said so.”

“For Re­pub­lic­ans’ sake, they bet­ter hope so. Oth­er­wise, House will be un­der Demo­crat­ic con­trol in Janu­ary 2015.”

“Les­son learned?”

“Elec­tions are around the corner, and the shut­down doesn’t serve any in­cum­bent party.”

“Des­pite Ted Cruz and the tea-party zealots push­ing for an­oth­er shut­down, I think cool­er heads will pre­vail this time.”

“Most likely they will kick the can down the road again.”

“Demo­crats may say GOP lost shut­down, but no one really won.”

“De­fault is where the rub­ber meets the road.”

“If not, Re­pub­lic­an House mem­bers are truly mas­ochist­ic.”

“I have to be­lieve the Re­pub­lic­ans aren’t that wacko!”

“Mc­Con­nell keeps say­ing no more shut­downs, but [John] Boehner is the one that mat­ters.”

No

“There’s as much chance of reach­ing a budget agree­ment by Jan. 15 as there is for the New York Gi­ants to win the Su­per Bowl a month later.”

“The speak­er of the House is a host­age of the tea party. There is no lead­er to stop it from hap­pen­ing again.”

“The Ted Cruz crowd thinks they won a mor­al vic­tory. Why not at­tempt a twofer?”

“Give them an­oth­er week, just for sport.”

“You’re kid­ding, right? Have they reached an agree­ment on any­thing the past four years?”

Do you think Democrats and Republicans will reach an agreement in time to avert another government shutdown on Jan. 15?

RE­PUB­LIC­ANS (97 VOTES)

Yes: 81%
No: 19%

Yes

“We can’t be that stu­pid twice in such a short time, I hope.”

“If they let self-in­dul­gent ego­ists like Cruz do this to them again, our party may need a lo­botomy.”

“No wis­dom gained from the second (third? fourth?) kick of a mule.”

“Small ball at best.”

“I can’t ima­gine Re­pub­lic­ans will want to re­live this.”

“There is no stom­ach among the GOP to put their col­lect­ive heads in a wood chip­per.”

“Uncle.”

“The re­cent dis­aster has em­boldened the Re­pub­lic­an lead­er­ship to push back firmly against Ted Cruz and the tea party.”

“Count on Pres­id­ent Obama to be AWOL again, but the adults in the room on Cap­it­ol Hill will get to a deal.”

“Boehner and Mc­Con­nell now have enough reas­ons to stare down the kami­kaze caucus.”

“The toll on Re­pub­lic­ans was too great to al­low a re­peat — and the hol­d­outs will be pummeled, threatened, and os­tra­cized as nev­er be­fore.”

“After the last gov­ern­ment shut­down put Santa’s elves way be­hind sched­ule, Santa is de­mand­ing a deal be­fore he de­liv­ers any gifts to mem­bers of Con­gress or the pres­id­ent. As the largest im­port­er of coal in the world, Santa ex­pects this to be done be­fore Christ­mas.”

No

“Not a chance. By Janu­ary every grand­stand­er will be ready for more.”

“Debt-ceil­ing death matches are (or should be) off the table. Shut­downs, not ne­ces­sar­ily.”

“The GOP has few cards to play. Fo­cus must be on win­ning in ‘14.”

… … … … … … .

Demo­crat­ic Polit­ic­al In­siders Jill Alp­er, John An­za­lone, Brad Ban­non, Dave Beat­tie, Andy Bech­hoe­fer, Cor­nell Belch­er, Matt Ben­nett, Mitchell W. Ber­ger, Mike Ber­man, Stephanie Bosh, Paul Brath­waite, Donna Brazile, Mark Brew­er, Ed Bruley, George Bruno, Bon­nie Camp­bell, Bill Car­rick, Guy Cecil, Mar­tin J. Chavez, Tony Coelho, Larry Co­hen, Jerry Craw­ford, Brendan Daly, Jeff Daniel­son, Peter Daou, Howard Dean, Scott De­Fife, Jim De­mers, Tad Dev­ine, Dav­id Di Mar­tino, Debbie Din­gell, Mon­ica Dix­on, Patrick Dor­ton, Pat Du­jakovich, An­ita Dunn, Jeff Eller, Steve El­men­d­orf, Carter Eskew, Vic Fazio, Peter Fenn, Scott Fer­son, Jim Fleischmann, Tina Flournoy, Don Fo­ley, Jef­frey For­bes, Vin­cent Fril­lici, Gina Glantz, Niles Godes, John Mi­chael Gonza­lez, Joe Grand­mais­on, Anna Green­berg, Stan Green­berg, Pat Griffin, Larry Griso­lano, Mi­chael Gron­stal, Lisa Grove, Mar­cia Hale, Jill Hanauer, Dick Har­poot­li­an, Paul Harstad, Laura Hartigan, Doug Hat­t­away, Mike Henry, Kar­en Hicks, Leo Hindery Jr., Har­old Ickes, Mar­cus Jadotte, John Jameson, Steve Jard­ing, Jona­thon Jones, Jim Jordan, Gale Kauf­man, Lisa Koun­toupes, Celinda Lake, Dav­id Lang, Penny Lee, Chris Le­hane, Jeff Link, Bob Malo­ney, Jim Man­ley, Steve Marchand, Jim Mar­gol­is, Paul Maslin, Keith Ma­son, Susan Mc­Cue, Ger­ald McEntee, Steve McMa­hon, Tom McMa­hon, Phil Mc­Namara, Dav­id Med­ina, Mi­chael Mee­han, Mark Mell­man, John Mer­rigan, Mi­chael Mon­roe, Steve Murphy, Janet Na­pol­it­ano, Dav­id Nas­sar, Mar­cia Nich­ols, John Nor­ris, Tom Ochs, Tom O’Don­nell, Jef­frey Peck, De­bora Pig­na­telli, Tony Podesta, Je­frey Pol­lock, Jack Quinn, Larry Rasky, Mame Re­iley, Ed Rendell, Steve Ric­chetti, Will Robin­son, Steve Rosenth­al, Dav­id Rudd, Ry­an Rudom­in­er, John Ry­an, Mi­chael Sar­geant, Stephanie Schriock, Terry Shu­maker, Sean Sin­clair, Phil Sing­er, Erik Smith, Doug Sosnik, Greg Speed, Darry Sragow, Ken Strasma, Doug Thor­nell, Jef­frey Tram­mell, Ed Tur­l­ing­ton, Rick Wien­er, James Wil­li­ams, JoDee Win­ter­hof, Bri­an Wolff, Jon Young­dahl, and Jim Zo­gby.

GOP Polit­ic­al In­siders Dan Al­len, Stan An­der­son, Gary An­dres, Saul­i­us (Saul) Anuzis, Rich Ashooh, Whit Ayres, Brett Bader, Mitch Bain­wol, Bri­an Baker, Gary Bauer, Dav­id Beck­with, Paul Ben­necke, Clark Ben­son, Wayne Ber­man, Bri­an Bieron, Charlie Black, Kirk Bla­lock, Car­mine Boal, Jeff Boeyink, Ron Bon­jean, Jeff Bu­ley, Luke Byars, Nick Calio, Al Carde­n­as, Danny Car­roll, Alex Cas­tel­lanos, Ron Christie, Jim Cic­coni, Jonath­an Col­le­gio, Rob Collins, Cesar Conda, Jake Cor­man, Scott Cot­ting­ton, Jay Cran­ford, Greg Crist, Di­ane Crookham-John­son, Fer­gus Cul­len, Tom Dav­is, Mike Den­nehy, Ken Duber­stein, Debi Durham, Sara Fa­gen, Frank Fahren­kopf, John Fee­hery, Don Fierce, Mindy Finn, Carl Forti, Alex Gage, Bruce A. Gates, Sam Geduldig, Adam Geller, Ben­jamin Gins­berg, Dav­id Gir­ard-di­Carlo, Bill Green­er, Jonath­an Grella, Lanny Grif­fith, Janet Mullins Gris­som, Doug Gross, Todd Har­ris, Steve Hart, Chris­toph­er Healy, Ral­ph Hell­mann, Chris Hen­ick, Terry Holt, Dav­id Ian­nel­li, Ed Ingle, Jim In­no­cenzi, Clark Judge, Dav­id Keat­ing, Dav­id Ken­sing­er, Bob Kjel­lander, Ed Kut­ler, Chris La­Civ­ita, Jim Lake, Steven Law, Steve Lom­bardo, Kev­in Mad­den, Joel Maiola, Gary Malo­ney, Dav­id Mar­in, Mary Matal­in, Dan Mat­toon, Bri­an Mc­Cor­mack, Mark McKin­non, Kyle Mc­Slar­row, Ken Mehl­man, Jim Mer­rill, Lisa Cam­ooso Miller, Tim Mor­ris­on, Mike Murphy, Phil Musser, Ron Nehring, Terry Nel­son, Neil Ne­w­house, Dav­id Nor­cross, Zi­ad Ojakli, Jack Oliv­er, Todd Olsen, Kev­in O’Neill, Con­nie Par­toy­an, Billy Piper, Van B. Poole, Tom Rath, Scott Reed, Dav­id Rehr, Tom Reyn­olds, Steve Roberts, Jason Roe, Dav­id Roeder­er, Dan Schnur, Russ Schriefer, Rich Schwarm, Brent Seaborn, Rick Shelby, An­drew Shore, Kev­in Shuvalov, Don Sipple, Ken Spain, Fred Steep­er, Bob Steven­son, Terry Sul­li­van, Dav­id Tamasi, Eric Tan­en­blatt, Richard Temple, Heath Thompson, Jay Tim­mons, War­ren Tomp­kins, Ted Van Der Meid, Dirk van Don­gen, Jan van Lo­huizen, Stew­art Ver­dery, Dick Wadhams, John Weaver, Lezlee West­ine, Dave Win­ston, Ginny Wolfe, Fred Wszolek, and Mat­thew Zablud. 

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