The NRCC’s cancelation of $1 million in Denver TV time signals the end of Republican domination in Colorado’s 6th District.
Congressional Leadership Fund had canceled its reservations there last month, but the beginning of the end likely came after the 2010 Census, when the new lines doubled the suburban district’s Hispanic population and increased President Obama’s 2008 winning margin by 6 points.
Rep. Mike Coffman was reelected three times since then, including an 8-point 2016 win as Hillary Clinton carried the district by 9 points. But the five-term incumbent is now facing both significant national headwinds that are particularly potent in the suburbs and a Democratic challenger, former Army Ranger Jason Crow, who has outraised and outspent him by more than $1 million—and led in recent polling.
This Aurora-based district has been held by a Republican since it was created after the 1980 Census. It was once represented by Republican Tom Tancredo, though that was when President George W. Bush was carrying it twice by double digits. A Democratic win there would give the party a one-seat edge in Colorado's seven-seat House delegation.
-- Kyle Trygstad