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Poll Indicates Tough Statewide Terrain for Republicans

The GOP generic ballot advantage in districts they hold was down significantly from 2014.

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Drew Gerber
April 17, 2018, 11:07 a.m.

“New Jersey voters overwhelmingly preferred to have a Democrat rather than a Republican representing them in the U.S. House, and the unpopularity of President Donald Trump and the GOP tax plan were major reasons, according to a poll released Monday. The Democrats held a 54 percent to 35 percent edge in the Monmouth University poll‘s generic ballot holds up, threatening five Republican-held seats.

Patrick Murray, director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute: “This is pretty astounding. If these results hold, we could be down to just one or two - or maybe even zero - Republican members in the state congressional delegation after November.”

“The Democrats held a 21-point edge in the seven districts they now hold, compared with 26 percent in the 2014 midterm elections. But the Republican advantage in their five districts was only 46 percent to 44 percent, within the margin of error, compared with 23 points four years ago.” (Newark Star-Ledger)


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