RACE FOR THE HOUSE | CA-48 | FL-7 | TX-32 | CA-45 | CA-49 | CA-39

Dems Lead in Monmouth, Quinnipiac Generic Ballots

Tom Steyer launched a voter turnout effort in California and Florida.

March 8, 2018, 10:06 a.m.

Democrats took a 10-point lead on a new Quinnipiac generic ballot (March 3-5; 1,122 voters; +/- 3.5%), leading 48 percent to 38 percent. Among Independents, Democrats’ lead increases to 12 points, 45 percent to 33 percent. (release) Meanwhile a Monmouth University poll showed Democrats with a 9-point lead on a generic ballot (March 2-5; 708 RVs;+/- 3.7%), leading 50 percent to 41 percent. That’s an increase from a 2-point lead in January. (release)

MOBILIZATION. Tom Steyer’s NextGen Climate organization announced a $7 million voter turnout effort to be split evenly between Florida and California. The group will target 300,000 young voters via 80 organizers in seven GOP-held congressional districts, including those of retiring Reps. Darrell Issa (CA-49), Ed Royce (CA-39), and Dana Rohrabacher (CA-48). In Florida, the group will boost Rep. Stephanie Murphy (D-FL 07) and three other GOP-held seats. (The Hill)

FUNDING MATTERS. Daily Kos announced raising $225,000 to distribute amongst the eventual nominees of the winners of the primary runoffs against Reps. Will Hurd (R-TX 23), John Culberson (R-TX 07), and Pete Sessions (R-TX 32) and the Senate race. (release)

ON BOARD. NARAL Pro-Choice announced endorsements of former State Department adviser Lauren Baer (D) in the race against Rep. Brian Mast (R) and 2016 state Senate candidate Debbie Mucarsel-Powell (D) in the race against Rep. Carlos Curbelo (R). (Florida Politics)

PRIMARY POLITICS. “Can the” DCCC “and the Resistance share a midterm election without driving each other crazy? … The basic problem is that the two camps have fundamentally different approaches to elections. Former DCCC deputy executive director Ian Russell” notes “that DCCC decisions are ‘data-driven: Who’s the best candidate? Not ideologically who’s too liberal or too conservative … but who is running a professional campaign? Do we have polling that this individual can win?’”

“But the network of progressive groups playing in House races believe fervently that ideologically like-minded candidates are not only superior on policy grounds, they also have the best chance to win.” (Politico)

Former DCCC Chairman Steve Israel: “The job of the chairperson is to win seats. That’s it. It’s not to enforce party doctrine, purge ideological dissenters, or purify the wellspring of party orthodoxy. It’s to set a battlefield of offense and defense that maximizes your potential to win general elections and, in the case of the DCCC, win the majority.” (The Hill)

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