Gov. John Bel Edwards (D), armed with a 55-31 percent approval rating, led three Republicans in hypothetical 2019 matchups by varying margins, according to a Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy survey (Feb. 20-22; 625 RVs; +/-4%).
Edwards vs. Sen. John Kennedy (R): 45-44%
Edwards vs. Rep. Steve Scalise (R-01): 46-43%
Edwards vs. Rep. Ralph Abraham (R-05): 51-28%
“Edwards has solid support from black voters in all three match-ups – drawing 86-87% against each GOP challenger and also runs strong among Democrats and women. But while Edwards has 24% approval rating from Republican voters, he draws well under 10% of the GOP vote when matched against Kennedy or Scalise. Against Edwards, Kennedy draws 85% of the Republican vote, narrowly leads among Independents (44%-42%) and receives the cross-over support from 15% of Democrats. Kennedy also receives strong backing from white voters (60%) and likewise achieves a majority with men (51%). Scalise runs similar to Kennedy, but receives slightly lower support in each group – 10% of Democrats, 41% of Independents and 49% of men. Other than those marginal differences, the demographic dynamics of an Edwards-Kennedy race and an Edwards-Scalise race are virtually identical.” (release)