After an off year filled with House, Senate, and state legislative special elections and a couple of races for governor, it’s a little hard to believe the election year is only just beginning.
The past year provided plenty of data to indicate Democrats head into 2018 with a significant enthusiasm gap. Meanwhile, President Trump starts the year with a 40 percent approval rating in the latest RCP average, and Democrats led on the generic ballot by some 13 points.
But there is still time for the environment to alter by early November, and lingering legislation on Capitol Hill will have some effect on how the next 10 months play out, beginning with funding the government, children’s health care, and DACA.
With House members returning next week from an extended stay at home, this also tends to be the time for another run of retirements. Depending on the districts, a new round of exit announcements would continue to shape a year already poised to see a larger number of seats change party hands than in the past few cycles.
— Kyle Trygstad