A new Fox News poll showed Democrats up 15 points on a generic House ballot, leading 50 percent to Republicans’ 35 percent. The survey (Oct. 22-24; 1,005 RVs; +/- 3%), conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R), showed 11 percent undecided. (release)
TAX REFORM. House Republicans passed a budget Thursday morning even as 20 members of the caucus defected, many voting against it to preserve a state and local break. Members from high-tax states, like New York and New Jersey, made of several of the votes against the budget.
Members in competitive districts who voted “no”: Reps. Pete King (R-NY 02), Tom MacArthur (R-NJ 03), Frank LoBiondo (R-NJ 02), Lee Zeldin (R-NY 01), John Faso (R-NY 19), John Katko (R-NY 24), Claudia Tenney (R-NY 22), Dan Donovan (R-NY 11), Elise Stefanik (R-NY 21), Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick (R-PA 08), and Leonard Lance (R-NJ 07). (AP)
California Gov. Jerry Brown (D) “is sending letters to all 14 GOP members of the state’s congressional delegation, urging them to reject tax reform that eliminates state and local deductions. His pitch: ‘Although I am not a member of your party, I am a fellow citizen of California, and like you I care deeply about the state. It is for that reason that I am writing and asking you to vote NO on any proposal that would take away the right of our people to deduct their state and local taxes from their federal tax bill.’” (Politico) All GOP members of the California delegation voted in favor of the budget.
“Democrats are prepared to paint any Republicans voting for the budget as ‘accomplices’ in the push to eliminate the deduction, warns House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi.” She “points out that Republicans represent many of those Californians – on average, more than one-third of Republicans’ constituents used the deduction in 2015, IRS data shows. In seven GOP districts … more than 40 percent of constituents took the state and local tax write-off.” Four of those incumbents, Reps. Steve Knight (R-CA 25), Ed Royce (R-CA 39), Mimi Walters (R-CA 45), Dana Rohrabacher (R-CA 48), and Darrell Issa (R-CA 49) “all face competitive reelection races next year.” (McClatchy)
ON THE WEB. The NRCC’s new web ad slamming Pelosi for picking favorites in Democratic primaries will target candidates in 11 districts: state Assemblyman Anthony Brindisi in NY-22; former Ambassador Nancy Soderberg in FL-06; former Rep. Brad Ashford (NE-02), former Defense official Elissa Slotkin in MI-08; former Army Ranger Jason Crow in CO-06; St. Clair County State’s Attorney Brendan Kelly in IL-12; 2016 NV-04 candidate Susie Lee in NV-03; former federal prosecutor Jay Hulings (D) in TX-23; former Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick (AZ-01) in AZ-02; Air Force veteran Chrissy Houlahan in PA-06; and 2014 gubernatorial nominee Paul Davis in KS-02. (Politico)