Ted Cruz Is Losing His Grip on the GOP

Early presidential polling doesn’t tell you much about 2016. But a steep drop in support for the Texas Republican shows he may need another filibuster.

Republican Senator Ted Cruz of Texas attends a hearing on sequestration effects on military budget and spending before the Senate Armed Services Committee on Capitol Hill in Washington, DC, November 7, 2013.
National Journal
Matt Berman
Add to Briefcase
Matt Berman
Jan. 16, 2014, midnight

Hid­den in a new NBC News/Mar­ist poll on Chris Christie are some pretty bleak num­bers for Sen. Ted Cruz.

The poll asked Re­pub­lic­ans and Re­pub­lic­an-lean­ing in­de­pend­ents who, if they were vot­ing today, they’d sup­port in a 2016 GOP pres­id­en­tial primary. Christie came in first with 16 per­cent sup­port, fol­lowed by Rep. Paul Ry­an, R-Wis. (12 per­cent), Sen. Rand Paul, R-Ky. (9 per­cent), former Flor­ida Gov. Jeb Bush (8 per­cent), and Sen. Marco Ru­bio, R-Fla. (7 per­cent).

You’ll no­tice Cruz — who was in the top five in dis­tant Decem­ber, 2013 — is miss­ing from that list. That’s be­cause the Texas Re­pub­lic­an, who briefly led the GOP pack in at least one poll fol­low­ing his 21-hour Septem­ber Sen­ate floor speech, dropped from 10 per­cent sup­port in Decem­ber to 5 per­cent sup­port in Janu­ary. If Chris Christie doesn’t run, Ted Cruz is still not a top five choice, be­ing beat out by the likes of Rick San­tor­um. The poll does have a 5 per­cent mar­gin of er­ror among Re­pub­lic­an voters though, so good news for Cruz is, he could really be back up at 10. Or, you know, all the way down to zero.

This bears re­peat­ing: 2016 polls so far out are really, really silly for try­ing to get a good sense of who is go­ing to win come Elec­tion Day. In the NBC News/Mar­ist poll, a quarter of GOP voters are un­de­cided. But these new num­bers do show just how fleet­ing polit­ic­al crushes can be.

Def­in­itely don’t bet against Cruz re­gain­ing some of that fall 2013 fire ahead of a pos­sible pres­id­en­tial cam­paign. But right now, he seems to be drift­ing away from the radar.

What We're Following See More »
STARTS LEGAL FUND FOR WH STAFF
Trump to Begin Covering His Own Legal Bills
23 hours ago
THE DETAILS
DISCUSSED THE MATTER FOR A NEW BOOK
Steele Says Follow the Money
1 days ago
STAFF PICKS

"Christopher Steele, the former British intelligence officer who wrote the explosive dossier alleging ties between Donald Trump and Russia," says in a new book by The Guardian's Luke Harding that "Trump's land and hotel deals with Russians needed to be examined. ... Steele did not go into further detail, Harding said, but seemed to be referring to a 2008 home sale to the Russian oligarch Dmitry Rybolovlev. Richard Dearlove, who headed the UK foreign-intelligence unit MI6 between 1999 and 2004, said in April that Trump borrowed money from Russia for his business during the 2008 financial crisis."

Source:
BRITISH PUBLICIST CONNECTED TO TRUMP TOWER MEETING
Goldstone Ready to Meet with Mueller’s Team
1 days ago
THE LATEST

"The British publicist who helped set up the fateful meeting between Donald Trump Jr. and a group of Russians at Trump Tower in June 2016 is ready to meet with Special Prosecutor Robert Mueller's office, according to several people familiar with the matter. Rob Goldstone has been living in Bangkok, Thailand, but has been communicating with Mueller's office through his lawyer, said a source close to Goldstone."

Source:
SPEAKING ON RUSSIAN STATE TV
Kislyak Says Trump Campaign Contacts Too Numerous to List
1 days ago
THE LATEST

"Russian Ambassador Sergey Kislyak said on Wednesday that it would take him more than 20 minutes to name all of the Trump officials he's met with or spoken to on the phone. ... Kislyak made the remarks in a sprawling interview with Russia-1, a popular state-owned Russian television channel."

Source:
“BLOWING A SURE THING”
Sabato Moves Alabama to “Lean Democrat”
1 days ago
WHY WE CARE
×
×

Welcome to National Journal!

You are currently accessing National Journal from IP access. Please login to access this feature. If you have any questions, please contact your Dedicated Advisor.

Login